Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 20, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pacers	33%	112	111	108.8	102	104.0
	13	Nuggets	67%	118	134	134.0	100	98.1

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+22

-21

103

DEN

+12

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 53.9%

DEN

1.40 69.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 23	24.9	5	25%	1	6	1	0	5	5	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-8	13%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 30	24.8	9	64%	6	3	1	0	2	0	1	5	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	23.6	13	65%	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	23.1	15	58%	7	0	1	2	2	1	4	3	3-5	60%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	15.6	2	20%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	31.5	19	68%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	9-11	82%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	19.1	8	100%	3	6	0	0	4	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	16.8	18	82%	1	1	2	0	2	2	0	1	7-8	88%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	16.3	4	100%	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	15.9	9	45%	4	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	9.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	7.1	3	25%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	6.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	5.3	6	75%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Tibia; Stress reaction
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Elbow; Sprains
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	39	23	7	2	21	18	16	23	29-37	78%	29-52	56%	8-32	25%

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24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 23	24.9	5	25%	1	6	1	0	5	5	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-8	13%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 30	24.8	9	64%	6	3	1	0	2	0	1	5	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	23.6	13	65%	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	23.1	15	58%	7	0	1	2	2	1	4	3	3-5	60%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	15.6	2	20%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	31.5	19	68%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	9-11	82%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	19.1	8	100%	3	6	0	0	4	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	16.8	18	82%	1	1	2	0	2	2	0	1	7-8	88%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	16.3	4	100%	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	15.9	9	45%	4	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	9.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	7.1	3	25%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	6.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	5.3	6	75%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Tibia; Stress reaction
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Elbow; Sprains
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	39	23	7	2	21	18	16	23	29-37	78%	29-52	56%	8-32	25%

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13 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	31.4	19	68%	8	0	1	0	0	1	0	8	0-0	-	5-6	83%	3-8	38%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	30.4	28	74%	5	6	0	0	3	4	2	3	5-9	56%	10-13	77%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	29.5	17	77%	10	14	2	0	3	1	5	5	7-7	100%	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	26.3	9	64%	1	1	3	0	3	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	26.1	7	88%	3	1	3	1	0	5	2	1	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	26.8	17	77%	4	5	2	1	2	4	0	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	18.4	6	60%	2	3	2	0	0	5	1	1	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	17.8	10	71%	2	3	1	1	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	15.2	10	83%	2	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	8.8	5	50%	0	2	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	4.9	6	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	4.3	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Related Illness
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	70%	38	38	16	4	16	28	12	26	18-26	69%	37-55	67%	14-28	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 53.9%

DEN

1.40 69.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

61%

DEN

82%

Midrange

IND

44%

DEN

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

12.0

25%

38%

DEN

21.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

IND

78%

DEN

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Mathurin	19	68%	9.5 / 14
C. Duarte	18	82%	9.0 / 11
M. Turner	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Nesmith	13	65%	6.5 / 10
B. Hield	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Smith	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. McConnell	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Johnson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Nembhard	5	25%	2.5 / 10
T. Taylor	4	100%	2.0 / 2
T. Queen	3	25%	1.5 / 6
O. Brissett	2	20%	1.0 / 5
I. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 2
G. Bitadze	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	28	74%	14.0 / 19
M. Porter	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Murray	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Brown	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Jordan	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Braun	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	64%	4.5 / 7
Z. Nnaji	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Green	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Reed	6	150%	3.0 / 2
B. Hyland	5	50%	2.5 / 5
I. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 114.3 5 117.1	IND 108.8 DEN 134.0 +25.2
Pace	5 101.3 21 98.5	IND 104.0 +5.9 DEN 98.1
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 13 14.7	IND 13.8 −0.8 DEN 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.5% 1 57.3%	IND 48.8% DEN 69.9% +21.1%
TO %	21 13.9% 22 14.0%	IND 17.3% DEN 16.0% −1.3%
ORB %	18 23.4% 13 24.8%	IND 38.1% +3.8% DEN 34.3%
FTrt	15 26.5 19 25.9	IND 44.0 +12.7 DEN 31.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 64.3% 2 66.3%	IND 62.2% DEN 74.5% +12.3%
STL %	11 7.6% 9 7.6%	IND 6.9% DEN 16.0% +9.1%
BLK %	3 10.4% 19 8.3%	IND 3.6% DEN 7.7% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.7% 5 58.7%	IND 53.9% DEN 69.8% +15.9%
Rim FG%	28 60.5% 3 66.5%	IND 61.1% DEN 82.4% +21.3%
Mid FG%	17 42.8% 13 43.4%	IND 43.8% +0.9% DEN 42.9%
3P %	11 36.7% 4 37.9%	IND 25.0% DEN 50.0% +25.0%
FT %	13 79.0% 26 75.1%	IND 78.4% +9.2% DEN 69.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.2% 2 39.0%	IND 42.9% +1.9% DEN 41.0%
Mid Att. %	5 21.6% 12 24.9%	IND 19.0% −6.3% DEN 25.3%
3P Att. %	8 41.2% 21 36.1%	IND 38.1% +4.4% DEN 33.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	DEN
Possessions	102	100
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	111	134
Rebounds	39	38
Assists	23	38
Steals	7	16
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	18	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (6)	12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (2)	26 (3)
Field Goals	37-84	51-83
At-the-Rim FG	22-36	28-34
Midrange FG	7-16	9-21
2-Point FG	29-52	37-55
3-Point FG	8-32	14-28
Free Throws	29-37	18-26
Fast Break Pts	14	23
2nd Chance Pts	19	10
Points in Paint	50	68
Pts off Turnovers	26	22
Bench Points	67	54
Biggest Lead	1	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg