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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2023
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Thunder41%116113
17Kings59%119118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.5
38
32
37
1
7
2
1
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
14-20
8-14
70%
54%
2-3
67%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.8
35
29
15
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
48%
3-5
60%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.8
32
32
13
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
58%
1-3
33%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.3
30
31
15
10
5
0
1
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
6-9
6-11
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
25
13
4
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
2-5
1-3
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.6
29
18
21
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
7-12
58%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
26
22
3
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-2
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
57%
1-6
17%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
11
12
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
1-5
20%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
7
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-1
0%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.0
7
15
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
18
0
2-3
56%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.6
11
0
1-2
50%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.1
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.2
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.9
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.7
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
39
36
11
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
2-3
4-6
67%
55%
1-4
25%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
38
36
25
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-7
43%
8-16
8-14
50%
55%
2-6
33%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 26.7
38
34
18
13
14
0
1
0
6
3
10
8-8
100%
5-8
7-11
63%
61%
0-1
0%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
37
30
29
14
1
0
1
0
2
3
11
4-4
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
51%
5-7
71%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 24.4
35
29
14
6
1
0
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
2-7
29%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
16
14
5
3
5
0
0
1
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
55%
0-5
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.2
14
21
7
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
57%
1-5
20%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 24.4
11
13
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 25.8
10
13
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
59%
0-0
-
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.7
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-1
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
16
0
2-4
63%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
8
0
1-1
54%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
2
0
0-0
47%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 32.4
2
0
0-0
43%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 29.6
1
0
0-0
58%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 23.0
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.