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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 21, 2023
5:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics51%111106
5Raptors49%110104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 26.2
41.8
35.2
27
56%
8
6
3
1
0
5
2
6
3-3
100%
6-15
7-13
40%
57%
4-8
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.6
28.8
20.3
8
33%
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
52%
0-3
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
27.6
31.2
5
25%
7
2
2
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
56%
1-6
17%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
15.6
32.3
2
100%
2
4
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 25.3
15.4
25.2
2
50%
4
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
4-5
50%
71%
0-0
-
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 30.1
34.7
28.0
23
65%
7
2
1
1
1
2
1
6
4-4
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
52%
3-5
60%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.1
34.1
19.9
25
76%
5
1
0
0
1
4
3
2
7-8
88%
3-7
1-2
43%
58%
4-6
67%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
25.9
9.3
12
86%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
4-7
57%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 27.5
8.4
9.2
2
100%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
65%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 33.9
7.7
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 25.1
5.2
0
0-0
61%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.8
1.3
0
0-0
50%
JD Davison
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.3
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 34.5
Mfiondu Kabengele
F · 6'10" 256 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.8
43.1
38.2
29
61%
9
10
0
1
1
6
1
8
1-2
50%
14-19
7-13
74%
53%
0-4
0%
Scottie Barnes
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.5
42.3
36.0
10
56%
3
5
0
1
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
6-12
29%
54%
2-2
100%
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 24.0
38.2
35.0
22
60%
5
3
3
2
2
1
0
5
2-3
67%
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
2-6
33%
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.3
37.3
20.6
17
54%
11
3
2
0
2
2
1
10
2-2
100%
6-12
3-5
50%
50%
1-3
33%
O.G. Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
20.6
34.6
12
86%
3
0
0
2
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
54%
2-2
100%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.6
23.9
4.9
8
67%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
57%
0-1
0%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 30.0
19.4
10.4
6
43%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.3
9.8
10.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Malachi Flynn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.7
5.4
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 28.9
35.1
1
3-7
45%
Joe Wieskamp
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
6.1
0
0-0
48%
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
2.6
0
0-0
53%
Jeff Dowtin Jr.
G · 6'3" 177 · 25.7
Dalano Banton
F · 6'9" 204 · 23.2
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 29.6
Christian Koloko
C · 7'1" 230 · 22.6
Ron Harper Jr.
F · 6'6" 245 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.