Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 24, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	53%	114	99	106.5	93	94.6
	18	Pelicans	47%	112	98	107.7	91	91.0

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-12

NOP

+19

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.6%

NOP

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	40.2	25	60%	1	7	3	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	8-13	62%	3-8	38%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	36.1	25	78%	11	10	1	0	3	2	2	9	1-2	50%	9-11	82%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	33.9	11	55%	2	0	1	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.6	7	39%	2	4	2	1	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	23.6	11	61%	4	3	0	1	3	4	0	4	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%

Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	24.2	4	33%	7	0	0	1	0	2	3	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	20.1	7	70%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	17.1	7	70%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	14.1	2	20%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #4 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	Inactive – Personal \| Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	56%	34	27	8	5	12	20	7	27	10-13	77%	28-47	60%	11-33	33%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	40.2	25	60%	1	7	3	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	8-13	62%	3-8	38%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	36.1	25	78%	11	10	1	0	3	2	2	9	1-2	50%	9-11	82%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	33.9	11	55%	2	0	1	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.6	7	39%	2	4	2	1	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	23.6	11	61%	4	3	0	1	3	4	0	4	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%

Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	24.2	4	33%	7	0	0	1	0	2	3	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	20.1	7	70%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	17.1	7	70%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	14.1	2	20%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #4 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	Inactive – Personal \| Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	56%	34	27	8	5	12	20	7	27	10-13	77%	28-47	60%	11-33	33%

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18 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 31	36.0	20	43%	4	4	0	0	6	0	0	4	2-2	100%	9-14	64%	0-8	0%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	33.0	10	50%	6	1	1	0	0	1	0	6	1-1	100%	0-5	0%	3-5	60%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 24	23.6	6	38%	6	1	3	1	4	4	5	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Jaxson Hayes #10 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 23	23.5	4	40%	4	3	0	0	0	0	3	1	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	18.0	14	64%	9	0	0	1	2	4	3	6	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 25	27.2	17	71%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Willy Hernangomez #9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29	23.1	12	75%	6	2	1	0	1	2	0	6	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 30	22.5	10	63%	6	0	0	1	0	1	2	4	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	18.8	1	13%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 20	7.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #41 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 37	6.7	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Contusion
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Soreness
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	51%	43	18	5	3	14	14	14	29	17-20	85%	33-59	56%	5-26	19%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.6%

NOP

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

68%

NOP

73%

Midrange

DEN

47%

NOP

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

33%

50%

NOP

7.5

19%

29%

Free Throws

DEN

77%

NOP

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	25	60%	12.5 / 21
N. Jokić	25	78%	12.5 / 16
B. Brown	11	55%	5.5 / 10
A. Gordon	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	39%	3.5 / 9
C. Braun	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Green	7	70%	3.5 / 5
Z. Nnaji	4	33%	2.0 / 6
V. Cancar	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	20	43%	10.0 / 23
J. Alvarado	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Valančiūnas	14	64%	7.0 / 11
W. Hernangomez	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Murphy	10	50%	5.0 / 10
L. Nance	10	63%	5.0 / 8
H. Jones	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Hayes	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Daniels	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Temple	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Graham	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 22 114.3	DEN 106.5 NOP 107.7 +1.2
Pace	21 98.5 15 99.2	DEN 94.6 +3.6 NOP 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 20 14.3	DEN 15.2 −0.6 NOP 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 17 54.3%	DEN 55.6% +8.0% NOP 47.6%
TO %	22 14.0% 23 14.0%	DEN 12.3% −2.3% NOP 14.6%
ORB %	13 24.8% 11 24.8%	DEN 19.4% NOP 34.1% +14.7%
FTrt	19 25.9 10 27.8	DEN 16.3 NOP 23.5 +7.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 10 61.6%	DEN 69.2% +21.8% NOP 47.4%
STL %	9 7.6% 2 8.3%	DEN 8.6% +3.1% NOP 5.5%
BLK %	19 8.3% 20 8.1%	DEN 8.5% +2.1% NOP 6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 17 56.9%	DEN 55.6% +5.1% NOP 50.5%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 16 62.8%	DEN 67.9% NOP 73.0% +5.1%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 21 42.3%	DEN 47.4% +20.1% NOP 27.3%
3P %	4 37.9% 15 36.4%	DEN 33.3% +14.1% NOP 19.2%
FT %	26 75.1% 10 79.3%	DEN 76.9% NOP 85.0% +8.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 7 37.7%	DEN 35.0% NOP 43.5% +8.5%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 20 27.9%	DEN 23.8% −2.1% NOP 25.9%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 28 34.4%	DEN 41.3% +10.7% NOP 30.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	NOP
Possessions	93	91
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.0
Points	99	98
Rebounds	34	43
Assists	27	18
Steals	8	5
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	29 (5)
Field Goals	39-80	38-85
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	27-37
Midrange FG	9-19	6-22
2-Point FG	28-47	33-59
3-Point FG	11-33	5-26
Free Throws	10-13	17-20
Fast Break Pts	15	11
2nd Chance Pts	8	16
Points in Paint	48	62
Pts off Turnovers	17	16
Bench Points	20	44
Biggest Lead	19	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg