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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 25, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat56%109103
26Hornets44%107108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.1
40.9
27.4
33
63%
7
5
1
1
1
2
1
6
7-7
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
51%
6-12
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.4
33.4
23.3
28
83%
3
6
1
1
0
3
1
2
16-20
80%
6-8
5-10
75%
54%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
31.3
27.3
14
46%
6
4
2
1
0
2
2
4
2-3
67%
6-14
7-12
43%
57%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
26.8
25.1
5
50%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.5
26.2
18.7
13
55%
13
2
0
0
1
0
0
13
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
3-9
33%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.8
21.3
18.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-4
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.4
21.2
26.3
6
44%
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
55%
1-3
33%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
18.7
27.8
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-3
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.4
14.8
9.6
4
50%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
5.5
19.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
59%
0-1
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
10.6
0
1-1
53%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 23.9
7.7
0
1-2
55%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.7
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 22.6
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.9
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.7
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 21.5
39.9
37.3
19
39%
7
13
0
2
0
7
1
6
2-5
40%
1-6
5-10
17%
48%
5-16
31%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.9
35.1
30.8
14
40%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
6-6
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
50%
2-8
25%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.9
30.1
30.5
21
65%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
7-12
4-8
58%
52%
1-2
50%
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.2
28.9
18.3
18
75%
20
0
1
1
1
1
7
13
0-0
-
9-12
3-5
75%
59%
0-0
-
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 20.5
25.6
9.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.3
28.3
24.8
15
86%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
1-2
50%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.2
22.1
21.9
15
61%
8
0
0
1
0
1
1
7
4-5
80%
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.2
19.1
18.9
4
50%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 22.1
11.0
2.9
2
114%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 25.7
7.6
0
1-1
50%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.4
6.3
0
0-1
53%
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 21.7
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 24.5
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.