Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Heat	55%	110	103	99.0	104	108.3
	26	Hornets	45%	108	108	103.8	104	100.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	40.9	33	63%	7	5	1	1	2	3	1	6	7-7	100%	4-11	36%	6-12	50%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	33.4	28	82%	3	6	1	0	3	1	1	2	16-20	80%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	31.3	14	47%	6	4	2	0	2	5	2	4	2-3	67%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	26.8	5	50%	3	2	0	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	26.2	13	54%	13	2	0	1	0	1	0	13	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-9	33%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	21.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	21.2	6	43%	3	1	2	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	18.7	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	14.8	4	50%	3	0	1	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	5.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	42	24	7	2	16	25	7	35	28-34	82%	21-44	48%	11-36	31%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	40.9	33	63%	7	5	1	1	2	3	1	6	7-7	100%	4-11	36%	6-12	50%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	33.4	28	82%	3	6	1	0	3	1	1	2	16-20	80%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	31.3	14	47%	6	4	2	0	2	5	2	4	2-3	67%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	26.8	5	50%	3	2	0	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	26.2	13	54%	13	2	0	1	0	1	0	13	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-9	33%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	21.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	21.2	6	43%	3	1	2	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	18.7	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	14.8	4	50%	3	0	1	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	5.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	42	24	7	2	16	25	7	35	28-34	82%	21-44	48%	11-36	31%

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26 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22	39.9	19	40%	7	13	0	0	7	1	1	6	2-5	40%	1-6	17%	5-16	31%
Terry Rozier #3 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 29	35.1	14	39%	0	2	2	0	2	2	0	0	6-6	100%	1-7	14%	2-8	25%
Gordon Hayward #20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 33	30.1	21	66%	3	2	1	0	2	5	0	3	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	1-2	50%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 21	28.9	18	75%	20	0	1	1	1	4	7	13	0-0	-	9-12	75%	0-0	-
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21	25.6	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%

Dennis Smith Jr. #8 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 25	28.3	15	83%	2	2	3	0	2	4	0	2	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	22.1	15	68%	8	0	0	0	1	2	1	7	4-5	80%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 25	19.0	4	50%	7	0	0	1	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 22	11.0	2	100%	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
James Bouknight #2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Theo Maledon #9 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	48	20	10	3	15	22	11	37	22-27	81%	28-57	49%	10-31	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.04 52.0%

CHA

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

18

30

60%

CHA

18

29

62%

Midrange

MIA

3

14

21%

CHA

10

28

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

36

31%

46%

CHA

10

15.0

31

32%

48%

Free Throws

MIA

28

34

82%

CHA

22

27

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	33	63%	16.5 / 26
J. Butler	28	82%	14.0 / 17
B. Adebayo	14	47%	7.0 / 15
K. Love	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. Martin	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Vincent	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Zeller	4	50%	2.0 / 4
V. Oladipo	0	-	0.0 / 5
M. Strus	0	-	0.0 / 3
D. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Hayward	21	66%	10.5 / 16
L. Ball	19	40%	9.5 / 24
M. Williams	18	75%	9.0 / 12
D. Smith	15	83%	7.5 / 9
K. Oubre	15	68%	7.5 / 11
T. Rozier	14	39%	7.0 / 18
N. Richards	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Jones	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Thor	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.5 30 108.5	MIA 99.0 CHA 103.8 +4.8
Pace	29 96.8 10 101.2	MIA 108.3 +8.4 CHA 100.0
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 24 14.0	MIA 13.3 −1.1 CHA 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 29 51.6%	MIA 46.9% CHA 48.9% +2.0%
TO %	15 13.1% 16 13.4%	MIA 15.9% CHA 13.1% −2.8%
ORB %	21 22.8% 16 23.8%	MIA 15.9% CHA 23.9% +8.0%
FTrt	13 27.0 17 26.1	MIA 42.5 +11.8 CHA 30.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 13 60.9%	MIA 75.0% +22.4% CHA 52.6%
STL %	3 8.2% 10 7.6%	MIA 6.7% CHA 9.6% +2.9%
BLK %	23 7.5% 2 10.4%	MIA 3.5% CHA 6.8% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.43 and 2.43.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 30 53.8%	MIA 52.0% CHA 53.5% +1.5%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 25 62.3%	MIA 60.0% CHA 62.1% +2.1%
Mid FG%	6 45.5% 29 40.1%	MIA 21.4% CHA 35.7% +14.3%
3P %	27 34.4% 29 33.0%	MIA 30.6% CHA 32.3% +1.7%
FT %	2 83.1% 27 74.9%	MIA 82.4% +0.9% CHA 81.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 28.3% 6 36.5%	MIA 37.5% +4.5% CHA 33.0%
Mid Att. %	24 30.9% 16 27.5%	MIA 17.5% −14.3% CHA 31.8%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 23 36.0%	MIA 45.0% +9.8% CHA 35.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	CHA
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	103	108
Rebounds	42	48
Assists	24	20
Steals	7	10
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	15 (0)
Fouls	25	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (4)	37 (2)
Field Goals	32-80	38-88
At-the-Rim FG	18-30	18-29
Midrange FG	3-14	10-28
2-Point FG	21-44	28-57
3-Point FG	11-36	10-31
Free Throws	28-34	22-27
Fast Break Pts	15	13
2nd Chance Pts	6	10
Points in Paint	38	50
Pts off Turnovers	10	16
Bench Points	10	36
Biggest Lead	2	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg