Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, October 21, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Raptors | 74% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Magic | 13% | 106 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Heat | 72% | 120 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pistons | 45% | 112 | 111 |
 | 22 | Knicks | 55% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Bulls | 28% | 99 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Mavericks | 24% | 105 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bucks | 60% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 55% | 106 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, October 20, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Hornets | 67% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Blazers | 58% | 117 | 114 |
| 27 | Pacers | 42% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Celtics | 44% | 111 | 102 |
| 17 | 76ers | 56% | 113 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 28% | 110 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 116 |
| 14 | Bucks | 42% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 46% | 116 | 121 |
 | 24 | Nets | 54% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 40% | 105 | 97 |
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 60% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 37% | 106 | 93 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 63% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 68% | 113 | 128 |
 | 11 | Pelicans | 32% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Lakers | 40% | 111 | 132 |
| 29 | Suns | 60% | 115 | 130 |
Thursday, October 19, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 23% | 99 | 100 |
| 12 | Raptors | 77% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 20% | 104 | 84 |
| 3 | Thunder | 80% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 67% | 113 | 108 |
| 28 | Lakers | 33% | 106 | 92 |
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 53% | 106 | 90 |
| 21 | Pistons | 47% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 44% | 104 | 131 |
| 23 | Pacers | 56% | 106 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 59% | 108 | 109 |
| 24 | Magic | 41% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 34% | 104 | 115 |
| 7 | Wizards | 66% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 107 | 108 |
| 18 | Celtics | 51% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 47% | 106 | 91 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 53% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 38% | 102 | 117 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 62% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 43% | 106 | 96 |
| 10 | Jazz | 57% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 49% | 109 | 99 |
| 13 | Spurs | 51% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 57% | 112 | 124 |
| 26 | Suns | 43% | 109 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 73% | 114 | 105 |
| 27 | Kings | 27% | 105 | 100 |
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 28% | 106 | 99 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 72% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 31% | 108 | 122 |
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 115 | 121 |
Friday, October 13, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 96 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 113 | |
| Magic | - | - | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 110 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 125 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 101 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 142 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 106 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 95 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 103 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 93 | |||
| Suns | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 81 | |||
| Blazers | - | - | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 106 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 111 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 104 | |
Thursday, October 12, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 108 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 87 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 104 | |
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 108 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 133 | |
| Nets | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 115 | |
| Heat | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 101 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 113 | |
| Suns | - | - | 104 | |
Tuesday, October 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 94 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 89 | |||
| Pacers | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 108 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 103 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 96 | |
| Nuggets | - | - | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 105 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 99 | |
Monday, October 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 97 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 96 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 117 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 88 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 106 | |
| Heat | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 96 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 120 | |
| Suns | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 97 | |
| Kings | - | - | 83 | |
Sunday, October 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 142 | |
| Timberwolves | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 85 | |||
| Thunder | - | - | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 94 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 134 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 100 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 108 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 83 | |
| Nets | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 69 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 75 | |
Saturday, October 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 90 | |
| Magic | - | - | 93 | |
Friday, October 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 110 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 100 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 87 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 106 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 101 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 91 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 93 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 101 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 112 | |
Thursday, October 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 111 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 89 | |
| Magic | - | - | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 88 | |
| Nets | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 82 | |||
| Rockets | - | - | 144 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 101 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 106 | |
Wednesday, October 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 84 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 110 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 109 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 109 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 104 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 71 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 78 | |||
| Jazz | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 122 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 104 | |
Tuesday, October 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 115 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 113 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 104 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 114 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 112 | |
Monday, October 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 96 | |||
| Wizards | - | - | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 82 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 84 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 104 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 83 | |||
| Jazz | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 96 | |
| Kings | - | - | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 113 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 107 | |
Sunday, October 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 90 | |
| Heat | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 113 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 121 | |
Saturday, September 30, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 108 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 108 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 99 | |