Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 8, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 33% | 107 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Magic | 65% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Timberwolves | 68% | 123 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Raptors | 63% | 119 | 122 |
 | 20 | Pelicans | 37% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 18% | 107 | 106 |
 | 8 | Mavericks | 82% | 121 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Nets | 46% | 122 | 119 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Heat | 30% | 109 | 80 |
 | 3 | Lakers | 70% | 117 | 95 |
Thursday, November 7, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Celtics | 68% | 114 | 108 |
 | 27 | Hornets | 32% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Thunder | 44% | 111 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 45% | 114 | 124 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 118 | 101 |
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Wednesday, November 6, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 37% | 109 | 102 |
| 26 | Pistons | 63% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 45% | 116 | 106 |
| 18 | Pacers | 55% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 48% | 113 | 113 |
| 24 | Hawks | 52% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 27% | 108 | 120 |
| 5 | Raptors | 73% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 17% | 114 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 51% | 117 | 121 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 49% | 116 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 30% | 106 | 106 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 70% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 40% | 108 | 104 |
| 3 | Jazz | 60% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 62% | 118 | 129 |
| 15 | Clippers | 38% | 114 | 124 |
Tuesday, November 5, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 57% | 113 | 120 |
| 28 | Hornets | 43% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 66% | 118 | 119 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 34% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 59% | 116 | 100 |
| 24 | Hawks | 41% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 68% | 116 | 118 |
| 21 | Bulls | 32% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 41% | 104 | 94 |
| 13 | Thunder | 59% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 42% | 110 | 89 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 58% | 113 | 109 |
Monday, November 4, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 43% | 118 | 99 |
| 23 | Wizards | 57% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 38% | 119 | 125 |
| 16 | Nets | 62% | 123 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 63% | 124 | 107 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 37% | 120 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 65% | 121 | 134 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 35% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 54% | 117 | 109 |
| 11 | Suns | 46% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 120 | 118 |
| 29 | Warriors | 39% | 116 | 127 |
Sunday, November 3, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 46% | 112 | 95 |
| 22 | Pacers | 54% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 56% | 123 | 100 |
| 14 | Heat | 44% | 121 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 53% | 114 | 113 |
| 29 | Knicks | 47% | 112 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 57% | 116 | 103 |
| 13 | Spurs | 43% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 68% | 121 | 131 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 32% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 49% | 110 | 94 |
| 8 | Clippers | 51% | 111 | 105 |
Saturday, November 2, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 38% | 112 | 104 |
| 18 | Thunder | 62% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 55% | 118 | 109 |
| 25 | Pistons | 45% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 59% | 109 | 91 |
| 17 | Magic | 41% | 106 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 47% | 123 | 131 |
| 19 | Wizards | 53% | 124 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 62% | 118 | 114 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 38% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 41% | 113 | 105 |
| 1 | Bucks | 59% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 45% | 115 | 93 |
| 29 | Warriors | 55% | 117 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 61% | 120 | 129 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 116 | 128 |
Friday, November 1, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 63% | 128 | 116 |
| 19 | Nets | 37% | 123 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 29% | 111 | 95 |
| 20 | Pacers | 71% | 119 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 59% | 113 | 123 |
| 11 | Magic | 41% | 110 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 19% | 107 | 102 |
| 8 | Celtics | 81% | 119 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 39% | 112 | 106 |
| 21 | Bulls | 61% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 49% | 115 | 119 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 51% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 67% | 114 | 101 |
| 23 | Kings | 33% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 51% | 120 | 127 |
| 28 | Warriors | 49% | 119 | 110 |
Thursday, October 31, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 61% | 115 | 106 |
| 24 | Hawks | 39% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 66% | 117 | 107 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 34% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 43% | 118 | 97 |
| 10 | Clippers | 57% | 120 | 103 |
Wednesday, October 30, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 59% | 119 | 111 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 41% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 28% | 108 | 83 |
| 14 | Magic | 72% | 117 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 31% | 113 | 95 |
| 3 | 76ers | 69% | 120 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 61% | 118 | 105 |
| 12 | Celtics | 39% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 42% | 114 | 118 |
| 16 | Nets | 58% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 25% | 107 | 113 |
| 7 | Raptors | 75% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 65% | 125 | 159 |
| 21 | Wizards | 35% | 119 | 158 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 114 | 102 |
| 19 | Thunder | 53% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 33% | 108 | 96 |
| 5 | Jazz | 67% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 36% | 112 | 118 |
| 24 | Kings | 64% | 117 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 45% | 117 | 121 |
| 17 | Warriors | 55% | 119 | 110 |
Tuesday, October 29, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 31% | 112 | 97 |
| 19 | Heat | 69% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 41% | 113 | 109 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 59% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 18% | 106 | 91 |
| 4 | Lakers | 82% | 119 | 120 |
Monday, October 28, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 49% | 112 | 94 |
| 26 | Pistons | 51% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 60% | 121 | 98 |
| 30 | Knicks | 40% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 67% | 118 | 105 |
| 25 | Hawks | 33% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 40% | 108 | 95 |
| 8 | Raptors | 60% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 17% | 110 | 112 |
| 2 | Rockets | 83% | 124 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 14% | 110 | 112 |
| 1 | Bucks | 86% | 126 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 38% | 117 | 134 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 62% | 121 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 117 | 110 |
| 10 | Spurs | 64% | 122 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 54% | 112 | 96 |
| 12 | Suns | 46% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 66% | 118 | 101 |
| 24 | Kings | 34% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 13% | 111 | 96 |
| 7 | Clippers | 87% | 127 | 111 |
Sunday, October 27, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 47% | 115 | 92 |
| 18 | Thunder | 53% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 60% | 120 | 133 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 40% | 117 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 116 | 121 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 61% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 31% | 114 | 109 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 69% | 121 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 14% | 104 | 101 |
| 3 | Lakers | 86% | 120 | 120 |
Saturday, October 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 18% | 110 | 131 |
| 2 | Bucks | 82% | 123 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 63% | 114 | 117 |
| 27 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 58% | 112 | 99 |
| 23 | Hawks | 42% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 64% | 118 | 118 |
| 29 | Knicks | 36% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 62% | 115 | 99 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 38% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 53% | 115 | 108 |
| 17 | Bulls | 47% | 114 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 12% | 109 | 123 |
| 1 | Rockets | 88% | 126 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 28% | 114 | 122 |
| 11 | Spurs | 72% | 122 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 25% | 108 | 81 |
| 5 | Jazz | 75% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 65% | 119 | 122 |
| 19 | Suns | 35% | 114 | 130 |