Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 6, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Magic | 57% | 108 | 103 |
 | 27 | Knicks | 43% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Bucks | 72% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pelicans | 60% | 115 | 125 |
 | 24 | Bulls | 40% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Lakers | 63% | 118 | 111 |
Wednesday, February 5, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Pistons | 49% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Raptors | 60% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 40% | 104 | 100 |
 | 14 | Celtics | 60% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Nets | 66% | 115 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Timberwolves | 64% | 122 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Thunder | 82% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Mavericks | 66% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Heat | 39% | 112 | 111 |
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Tuesday, February 4, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 67% | 120 | 120 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 33% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 14% | 108 | 110 |
| 6 | Rockets | 86% | 123 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 112 | 99 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 60% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 25% | 107 | 102 |
| 3 | Lakers | 75% | 117 | 129 |
Monday, February 3, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 38% | 117 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 64% | 110 | 112 |
| 29 | Hornets | 36% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 57% | 113 | 139 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 43% | 111 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 41% | 108 | 112 |
| 8 | Pacers | 59% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 64% | 117 | 123 |
| 25 | Hawks | 36% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 45% | 106 | 106 |
| 9 | Heat | 55% | 108 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 41% | 111 | 97 |
| 21 | Nets | 59% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 34% | 110 | 82 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 66% | 116 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 29% | 111 | 105 |
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 119 | 108 |
Sunday, February 2, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 59% | 112 | 123 |
| 24 | Pistons | 41% | 108 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 22% | 109 | 108 |
| 1 | Bucks | 78% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 34% | 117 | 109 |
| 6 | Rockets | 66% | 123 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 21% | 104 | 102 |
| 5 | Raptors | 79% | 115 | 129 |
Saturday, February 1, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 30% | 112 | 106 |
| 7 | Clippers | 70% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 23% | 106 | 92 |
| 8 | Pacers | 77% | 116 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 56% | 109 | 102 |
| 20 | Magic | 44% | 107 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 53% | 113 | 131 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 47% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 47% | 120 | 107 |
| 23 | Wizards | 53% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 35% | 114 | 100 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 65% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 51% | 105 | 95 |
| 12 | Celtics | 49% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 28% | 108 | 90 |
| 15 | Spurs | 72% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 62% | 112 | 129 |
| 22 | Kings | 38% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 59% | 117 | 107 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 113 | 124 |
Friday, January 31, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 62% | 114 | 105 |
| 24 | Pistons | 38% | 110 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 38% | 115 | 121 |
| 7 | Rockets | 62% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 37% | 108 | 118 |
| 19 | Nets | 63% | 113 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 40% | 115 | 111 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 60% | 119 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 111 |
| 17 | Suns | 48% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 19% | 106 | 127 |
| 1 | Bucks | 81% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 111 | 127 |
| 3 | Lakers | 69% | 117 | 119 |
Thursday, January 30, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 37% | 115 | 107 |
| 23 | Wizards | 63% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 80% | 118 | 115 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 20% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 70% | 116 | 117 |
| 26 | Hawks | 30% | 108 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Warriors | 20% | 105 | 104 |
| 7 | Celtics | 80% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 17% | 106 | 124 |
| 2 | Clippers | 83% | 120 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 51% | 111 | 100 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 49% | 110 | 106 |
Wednesday, January 29, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 29% | 105 | 106 |
| 10 | Pacers | 71% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 38% | 110 | 115 |
| 18 | Nets | 62% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 51% | 114 | 127 |
| 26 | Knicks | 49% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 65% | 116 | 120 |
| 20 | Spurs | 35% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 56% | 120 | 112 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 54% | 109 | 120 |
| 21 | Kings | 46% | 108 | 100 |
Tuesday, January 28, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Warriors | 16% | 101 | 104 |
| 4 | 76ers | 84% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 51% | 111 | 92 |
| 28 | Hornets | 49% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 15% | 108 | 114 |
| 1 | Raptors | 85% | 123 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 73% | 119 | 125 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 27% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 20% | 112 | 131 |
| 5 | Bucks | 80% | 124 | 151 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 55% | 113 | 96 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 45% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 53% | 111 | 109 |
| 10 | Heat | 47% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 30% | 112 | 133 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 70% | 119 | 104 |
Monday, January 27, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 28% | 108 | 115 |
| 21 | Pistons | 72% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 32% | 103 | 92 |
| 10 | Heat | 68% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 47% | 110 | 109 |
| 24 | Bulls | 53% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 60% | 113 | 107 |
| 15 | Thunder | 40% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 40% | 110 | 133 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 60% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 17% | 107 | 126 |
| 3 | Jazz | 83% | 121 | 117 |
Sunday, January 26, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 43% | 111 | 110 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 57% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raptors | 63% | 114 | 110 |
| 11 | Spurs | 37% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 57% | 115 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 43% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 45% | 116 | 109 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 55% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 58% | 111 | 112 |
| 18 | Magic | 42% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 51% | 115 | 97 |
| 26 | Knicks | 49% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 52% | 122 | 133 |
| 27 | Hawks | 48% | 121 | 152 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 52% | 114 | 129 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 113 | 139 |
Saturday, January 25, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 107 |
| 3 | Jazz | 58% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 55% | 114 | 121 |
| 24 | Pistons | 45% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 44% | 109 | 113 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 56% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 51% | 110 | 118 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 49% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 52% | 108 | 91 |
| 8 | 76ers | 48% | 107 | 108 |
Friday, January 24, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 84% | 118 | 116 |
| 29 | Hornets | 16% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 56% | 108 | 109 |
| 15 | Magic | 44% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 46% | 115 | 125 |
| 24 | Pistons | 54% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 76% | 115 | 118 |
| 27 | Knicks | 24% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 28% | 109 | 111 |
| 11 | Thunder | 72% | 117 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 48% | 113 | 113 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 52% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 58% | 119 | 131 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 42% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 51% | 109 | 98 |
| 25 | Bulls | 49% | 108 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 46% | 112 | 122 |
| 9 | Heat | 54% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 40% | 113 | 103 |
| 13 | Spurs | 60% | 117 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 63% | 112 | 129 |
| 26 | Warriors | 37% | 107 | 118 |