Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 28, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Knicks | 51% | 111 | 92 |
 | 28 | Hornets | 49% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pelicans | 73% | 119 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Raptors | 85% | 123 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Celtics | 53% | 111 | 109 |
 | 10 | Heat | 47% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Bucks | 80% | 124 | 151 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Mavericks | 70% | 119 | 104 |
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Lakers | |||
Monday, January 27, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 28% | 108 | 115 |
 | 21 | Pistons | 72% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 32% | 103 | 92 |
| 10 | Heat | 68% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bulls | 53% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Timberwolves | 60% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 60% | 113 | 107 |
 | 15 | Thunder | 40% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, January 26, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 43% | 111 | 110 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 57% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raptors | 63% | 114 | 110 |
| 11 | Spurs | 37% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 52% | 122 | 133 |
| 27 | Hawks | 48% | 121 | 152 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Nets | 51% | 115 | 97 |
| 26 | Knicks | 49% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 58% | 111 | 112 |
| 18 | Magic | 42% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 45% | 116 | 109 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 55% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 57% | 115 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 43% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 107 |
| 3 | Jazz | 58% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 55% | 114 | 121 |
| 24 | Pistons | 45% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 51% | 110 | 118 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 49% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 44% | 109 | 113 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 56% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 52% | 108 | 91 |
| 8 | 76ers | 48% | 107 | 108 |
Friday, January 24, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 84% | 118 | 116 |
| 29 | Hornets | 16% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 46% | 115 | 125 |
| 24 | Pistons | 54% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 56% | 108 | 109 |
| 15 | Magic | 44% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 76% | 115 | 118 |
| 27 | Knicks | 24% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 46% | 112 | 122 |
| 9 | Heat | 54% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 51% | 109 | 98 |
| 25 | Bulls | 49% | 108 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 58% | 119 | 131 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 42% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 48% | 113 | 113 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 52% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 28% | 109 | 111 |
| 11 | Thunder | 72% | 117 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 40% | 113 | 103 |
| 13 | Spurs | 60% | 117 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 63% | 112 | 129 |
| 26 | Warriors | 37% | 107 | 118 |
Thursday, January 23, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 54% | 118 | 124 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 46% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 58% | 114 | 128 |
| 20 | Nets | 42% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 63% | 119 | 133 |
| 21 | Blazers | 37% | 115 | 125 |
Wednesday, January 22, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 45% | 111 | 106 |
| 23 | Pistons | 55% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 48% | 105 | 120 |
| 17 | Magic | 52% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 37% | 104 | 95 |
| 4 | Raptors | 63% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 63% | 116 | 95 |
| 30 | Hawks | 37% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 28% | 111 | 95 |
| 3 | Celtics | 72% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 27% | 111 | 129 |
| 8 | Heat | 73% | 120 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 72% | 116 | 100 |
| 27 | Knicks | 28% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 54% | 111 | 110 |
| 24 | Bulls | 46% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 33% | 112 | 105 |
| 5 | Rockets | 67% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 51% | 113 | 112 |
| 15 | Suns | 49% | 112 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 51% | 117 | 121 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 49% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 72% | 115 | 129 |
| 26 | Warriors | 28% | 107 | 96 |
Tuesday, January 21, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 40% | 115 | 110 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 60% | 119 | 107 |
Monday, January 20, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 47% | 116 | 100 |
| 23 | Wizards | 53% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 77% | 117 | 122 |
| 29 | Hawks | 23% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 64% | 111 | 117 |
| 24 | Nets | 36% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 61% | 109 | 106 |
| 28 | Hornets | 39% | 105 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 52% | 114 | 106 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 48% | 113 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 33% | 108 | 113 |
| 7 | Heat | 67% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 31% | 111 | 112 |
| 2 | Rockets | 69% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 40% | 117 | 126 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 60% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 16% | 104 | 98 |
| 1 | Bucks | 84% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 43% | 109 | 107 |
| 6 | Celtics | 57% | 112 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 42% | 110 | 107 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 58% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 40% | 114 | 120 |
| 13 | Suns | 60% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 32% | 107 | 88 |
| 4 | Jazz | 68% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 38% | 112 | 124 |
| 21 | Blazers | 62% | 116 | 129 |
Sunday, January 19, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 55% | 115 | 102 |
| 17 | Spurs | 45% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 48% | 109 | 115 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 52% | 110 | 107 |
Saturday, January 18, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 67% | 120 | 133 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 33% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 74% | 120 | 117 |
| 21 | Nets | 26% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 34% | 106 | 123 |
| 9 | Celtics | 66% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 57% | 115 | 136 |
| 28 | Hawks | 43% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 63% | 112 | 90 |
| 27 | Knicks | 37% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 31% | 107 | 116 |
| 22 | Bulls | 69% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 56% | 112 | 122 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 44% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 39% | 114 | 124 |
| 2 | Rockets | 61% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 56% | 108 | 95 |
| 26 | Warriors | 44% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 38% | 108 | 106 |
| 12 | Thunder | 62% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 30% | 108 | 101 |
| 6 | Jazz | 70% | 115 | 123 |
Friday, January 17, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 35% | 108 | 114 |
| 10 | Pacers | 65% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 29% | 103 | 89 |
| 7 | 76ers | 71% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 25% | 109 | 111 |
| 8 | Raptors | 75% | 119 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 25% | 111 | 109 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 75% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 112 | 115 |
| 12 | Thunder | 49% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 28% | 112 | 121 |
| 13 | Spurs | 72% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 31% | 114 | 112 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 69% | 121 | 120 |
Thursday, January 16, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 61% | 116 | 121 |
| 29 | Knicks | 39% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 28% | 108 | 123 |
| 1 | Bucks | 72% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 69% | 117 | 132 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 31% | 110 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 58% | 111 | 134 |
| 25 | Warriors | 42% | 108 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 27% | 105 | 95 |
| 6 | Clippers | 73% | 114 | 122 |
Wednesday, January 15, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 23% | 105 | 116 |
| 6 | Celtics | 77% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 30% | 107 | 106 |
| 12 | 76ers | 70% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 37% | 111 | 100 |
| 8 | Heat | 63% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 44% | 113 | 106 |
| 22 | Bulls | 56% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 59% | 113 | 104 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 41% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 46% | 108 | 130 |
| 11 | Thunder | 54% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 22% | 105 | 86 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 78% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 29% | 115 | 117 |
| 2 | Rockets | 71% | 123 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 60% | 115 | 127 |
| 20 | Kings | 40% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 31% | 103 | 119 |
| 4 | Lakers | 69% | 110 | 118 |