Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 5, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Nets | 76% | 116 | 96 |
 | 27 | Pistons | 24% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Magic | 45% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Raptors | 64% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Knicks | 47% | 108 | 113 |
 | 16 | Bucks | 53% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Timberwolves | 42% | 111 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Pelicans | 27% | 106 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Hornets | 48% | 116 | 110 |
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Thursday, November 4, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 27 | Pistons | 28% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Celtics | 33% | 106 | 95 |
 | 5 | Heat | 67% | 113 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 31% | 106 | 107 |
 | 25 | Lakers | 69% | 113 | 104 |
Wednesday, November 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 116 | 104 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 41% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 51% | 110 | 98 |
| 18 | Pacers | 49% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 67% | 114 | 92 |
| 27 | Magic | 33% | 107 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Bulls | 36% | 104 | 98 |
| 2 | 76ers | 64% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 45% | 107 | 109 |
| 14 | Wizards | 55% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 39% | 111 | 108 |
| 4 | Nets | 61% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Grizzlies | 43% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 56% | 113 | 126 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 44% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Mavericks | 54% | 114 | 109 |
| 26 | Spurs | 46% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 38% | 112 | 92 |
| 12 | Warriors | 62% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 42% | 113 | 99 |
| 22 | Kings | 58% | 116 | 112 |
Tuesday, November 2, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 62% | 110 | 117 |
| 27 | Pistons | 38% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 54% | 110 | 125 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 46% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 22% | 109 | 113 |
| 1 | Jazz | 78% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 27% | 106 | 100 |
| 3 | Suns | 73% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 26% | 108 | 117 |
| 17 | Lakers | 74% | 117 | 119 |
Monday, November 1, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 41% | 110 | 113 |
| 19 | Hornets | 59% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Spurs | 44% | 108 | 118 |
| 23 | Pacers | 56% | 110 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 111 | 103 |
| 9 | 76ers | 63% | 116 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 39% | 110 | 111 |
| 8 | Hawks | 61% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 43% | 108 | 128 |
| 10 | Celtics | 57% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 39% | 106 | 113 |
| 7 | Knicks | 61% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 112 | 97 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 43% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 26% | 107 | 115 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 74% | 116 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 19% | 103 | 94 |
| 5 | Clippers | 81% | 115 | 99 |
Sunday, October 31, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 40% | 112 | 99 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 60% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 118 | 113 |
| 23 | Hornets | 46% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 57% | 115 | 107 |
| 14 | Bucks | 43% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 16% | 104 | 91 |
| 2 | Nets | 84% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 29% | 111 | 85 |
| 19 | Lakers | 71% | 119 | 95 |
Saturday, October 30, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 48% | 113 | 112 |
| 16 | Wizards | 52% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 34% | 104 | 103 |
| 27 | Pistons | 66% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 64% | 110 | 123 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 36% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 48% | 108 | 97 |
| 25 | Pacers | 52% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 39% | 108 | 94 |
| 3 | 76ers | 61% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 55% | 111 | 99 |
| 10 | Bulls | 45% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 48% | 110 | 129 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 52% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 33% | 109 | 102 |
| 14 | Bucks | 67% | 115 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 20% | 104 | 82 |
| 8 | Warriors | 80% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 43% | 113 | 93 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 57% | 115 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 24% | 106 | 92 |
| 4 | Suns | 76% | 116 | 101 |
Friday, October 29, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 22% | 102 | 109 |
| 17 | Raptors | 78% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 25% | 108 | 98 |
| 2 | Nets | 75% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 31% | 109 | 99 |
| 6 | Heat | 69% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 46% | 113 | 113 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 54% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 40% | 112 | 75 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 60% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 51% | 118 | 92 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 117 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 40% | 111 | 101 |
| 20 | Lakers | 60% | 115 | 113 |
Thursday, October 28, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 19% | 100 | 102 |
| 2 | 76ers | 81% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 56% | 113 | 111 |
| 19 | Wizards | 44% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 46% | 109 | 104 |
| 14 | Bulls | 54% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 75% | 119 | 122 |
| 27 | Rockets | 25% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 31% | 111 | 99 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 69% | 118 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 27% | 109 | 104 |
| 5 | Warriors | 73% | 118 | 101 |
Wednesday, October 27, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 66% | 116 | 120 |
| 29 | Magic | 34% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 33% | 111 | 116 |
| 5 | Celtics | 67% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 35% | 110 | 106 |
| 3 | Nets | 65% | 115 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 49% | 108 | 100 |
| 21 | Raptors | 51% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 61% | 114 | 102 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 39% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 40% | 113 | 113 |
| 15 | Bucks | 60% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 73% | 114 | 115 |
| 30 | Thunder | 27% | 106 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 110 |
| 6 | Suns | 69% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 44% | 117 | 96 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 28% | 109 | 92 |
| 4 | Clippers | 72% | 118 | 79 |
Tuesday, October 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 54% | 111 | 99 |
| 12 | Knicks | 46% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 78% | 116 | 106 |
| 30 | Thunder | 22% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 24% | 109 | 106 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 76% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 60% | 116 | 125 |
| 24 | Spurs | 40% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 28% | 108 | 110 |
| 1 | Jazz | 72% | 116 | 122 |
Monday, October 25, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 49% | 114 | 140 |
| 21 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 48% | 111 | 119 |
| 17 | Pacers | 52% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 21% | 103 | 104 |
| 8 | Hawks | 79% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 32% | 110 | 90 |
| 3 | Nets | 68% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 12% | 101 | 90 |
| 14 | Heat | 88% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 48% | 108 | 111 |
| 20 | Raptors | 52% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 39% | 113 | 107 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 61% | 118 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 26% | 110 | 99 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 74% | 119 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 115 | 86 |
| 4 | Clippers | 62% | 119 | 116 |
Sunday, October 24, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 24% | 111 | 111 |
| 2 | Nets | 76% | 121 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 16% | 103 | 110 |
| 13 | Knicks | 84% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 62% | 118 | 107 |
| 26 | Rockets | 38% | 113 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 82% | 113 | 115 |
| 29 | Thunder | 18% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 59% | 122 | 119 |
| 23 | Kings | 41% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 32% | 110 | 118 |
| 10 | Lakers | 68% | 117 | 121 |
Saturday, October 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 71% | 120 | 95 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 29% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 53% | 115 | 91 |
| 17 | Pacers | 47% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 57% | 117 | 103 |
| 19 | Raptors | 43% | 114 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 32% | 105 | 82 |
| 14 | Bulls | 68% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 33% | 114 | 89 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 67% | 120 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 62% | 113 | 121 |
| 24 | Spurs | 38% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 45% | 117 | 105 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 119 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 31% | 110 | 120 |
| 5 | Clippers | 69% | 117 | 114 |