Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Knicks | 35% | 105 | 105 |
 | 7 | Raptors | 65% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Heat | 61% | 113 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Magic | 21% | 102 | 111 |
 | 10 | Celtics | 79% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Mavericks | 72% | 109 | 95 |
 | 29 | Thunder | 28% | 101 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Hornets | 43% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 44% | 107 | 103 |
 | 20 | Lakers | 56% | 110 | 108 |
Saturday, January 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pelicans | 22% | 104 | 113 |
 | 4 | Bucks | 78% | 115 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Pistons | 36% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bulls | 46% | 111 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Nets | 73% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, December 31, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 59% | 111 | 108 |
| 15 | Celtics | 41% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 44% | 110 | 108 |
| 10 | Pacers | 56% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 53% | 110 | 112 |
| 23 | Kings | 47% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 76% | 116 | 120 |
| 28 | Rockets | 24% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Cavaliers | 58% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 41% | 106 | 108 |
| 11 | Raptors | 59% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 35% | 111 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Knicks | 63% | 110 | 80 |
| 27 | Thunder | 37% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 19% | 104 | 108 |
| 1 | Jazz | 81% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Lakers | 56% | 113 | 139 |
Thursday, December 30, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 56% | 105 | 93 |
| 25 | Wizards | 44% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 82% | 116 | 136 |
| 29 | Magic | 18% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Nets | 56% | 110 | 102 |
Wednesday, December 29, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 67% | 112 | 94 |
| 30 | Pistons | 33% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 39% | 110 | 116 |
| 11 | Pacers | 61% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 42% | 105 | 91 |
| 16 | Celtics | 58% | 108 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 40% | 110 | 117 |
| 14 | Bulls | 60% | 114 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 29% | 109 | 99 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 71% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 9% | 99 | 97 |
| 1 | Suns | 91% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 73% | 118 | 120 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 57% | 112 | 94 |
| 21 | Kings | 43% | 109 | 95 |
Tuesday, December 28, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 81% | 113 | 127 |
| 29 | Magic | 19% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 64% | 108 | 114 |
| 25 | Raptors | 36% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 29% | 101 | 112 |
| 9 | Heat | 71% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 61% | 106 | 104 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 39% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 63% | 111 | 96 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 37% | 106 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 65% | 114 | 132 |
| 28 | Rockets | 35% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Thunder | 42% | 111 | 111 |
| 20 | Kings | 58% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 28% | 104 | 89 |
| 3 | Warriors | 72% | 113 | 86 |
Monday, December 27, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 34% | 113 | 99 |
| 19 | Hornets | 66% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 32% | 110 | 130 |
| 6 | Hawks | 68% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 68% | 109 | 103 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 32% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 77% | 118 | 110 |
| 21 | Spurs | 23% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 23% | 108 | 114 |
| 2 | Suns | 77% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 44% | 108 | 132 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 63% | 109 | 124 |
| 23 | Clippers | 37% | 104 | 108 |
Sunday, December 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 25% | 101 | 83 |
| 14 | Heat | 75% | 111 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 26% | 100 | 99 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 74% | 110 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 62% | 108 | 117 |
| 23 | Wizards | 38% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 55% | 116 | 127 |
| 22 | Kings | 45% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 55% | 109 | 112 |
| 25 | Thunder | 45% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 28% | 105 | 109 |
| 20 | Spurs | 72% | 114 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 49% | 109 | 105 |
| 19 | Bulls | 51% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 56% | 108 | 103 |
| 24 | Clippers | 44% | 105 | 100 |
Saturday, December 25, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 44% | 107 | 113 |
| 4 | Bucks | 56% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 45% | 108 | 116 |
| 3 | Suns | 55% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 59% | 113 | 122 |
| 21 | Lakers | 41% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 15% | 101 | 116 |
| 1 | Jazz | 85% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 46% | 108 | 87 |
| 15 | Knicks | 54% | 110 | 101 |
Thursday, December 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 30% | 108 | 106 |
| 21 | Pacers | 70% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 70% | 111 | 110 |
| 30 | Magic | 30% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 23% | 102 | 98 |
| 5 | 76ers | 77% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 28% | 104 | 112 |
| 11 | Heat | 72% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 42% | 105 | 124 |
| 17 | Knicks | 58% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 44% | 104 | 102 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 56% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 45% | 113 | 115 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 55% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 12% | 100 | 101 |
| 3 | Suns | 88% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 13% | 105 | 116 |
| 1 | Jazz | 87% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 32% | 105 | 104 |
| 2 | Warriors | 68% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 47% | 112 | 138 |
| 16 | Lakers | 53% | 113 | 110 |
Wednesday, December 22, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 39% | 106 | 101 |
| 5 | Celtics | 61% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 30% | 102 | 104 |
| 22 | Hawks | 70% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 39% | 109 | 106 |
| 20 | Bucks | 61% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 70% | 111 | 94 |
| 29 | Thunder | 30% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 54% | 110 | 105 |
| 24 | Kings | 46% | 109 | 89 |
Tuesday, December 21, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 36% | 103 | 91 |
| 24 | Knicks | 64% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 49% | 107 | 96 |
| 14 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 113 | 97 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 49% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 102 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 56% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 63% | 115 | 108 |
| 17 | Lakers | 37% | 110 | 90 |
Monday, December 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 44% | 107 | 108 |
| 5 | Celtics | 56% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 30% | 107 | 118 |
| 7 | Bulls | 70% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 21% | 102 | 102 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 79% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 16% | 109 | 102 |
| 1 | Jazz | 84% | 124 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 17% | 105 | 98 |
| 2 | Warriors | 83% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 31% | 106 | 116 |
| 8 | Clippers | 69% | 113 | 92 |