Final Win Prob. pScore
2218%96
96
182%109
102
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
101.195104.1
MIA logo Heat
106.39688.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
102
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)96
102
Q4 - 0:12.0DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
102
Q4 - 0:17.0MIASUB: Andersen FOR Allen96
102
Q4 - 0:17.0DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)96
102
Q4 - 0:17.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)96
102
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot96
102
Q4 - 0:38.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Andersen96
102
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)96
102
Q4 - 0:38.0DETDrummond 1' Running Dunk (12 PTS)96
102
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T20)94
102
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)94
102
Q4 - 1:00DETStuckey 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)94
102
Q4 - 1:07DETJennings REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)92
102
Q4 - 1:08DETMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
102
Q4 - 1:21DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
102
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper92
102
Q4 - 1:44DETDrummond 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)92
102
Q4 - 1:49MIAJames 13' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)90
102
Q4 - 2:09MIAHEAT Rebound90
100
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot90
100
Q4 - 2:38DETStuckey 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)90
100
Q4 - 2:41MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)88
100
Q4 - 2:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
100
Q4 - 2:56DETMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot88
100
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)88
100
Q4 - 3:29DETJennings Free Throw 3 of 3 (26 PTS)88
100
Q4 - 3:29MIASUB: Bosh FOR Chalmers87
100
Q4 - 3:29DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 3 (25 PTS)87
100
Q4 - 3:29DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 3 (24 PTS)86
100
Q4 - 3:29MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P5.T4)85
100
Q4 - 3:41MIAWade 8' Driving Hook Shot (30 PTS)85
100
Q4 - 3:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
98
Q4 - 3:51DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
98
Q4 - 3:57DETJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
98
Q4 - 3:58DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot85
98
Q4 - 4:11DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)85
98
Q4 - 4:12MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)85
98
Q4 - 4:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
95
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Floating Jump Shot85
95
Q4 - 4:33DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T21)85
95
Q4 - 4:49MIAChalmers 3' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)85
95
Q4 - 5:09DETSingler P.FOUL (P3.T4)85
93
Q4 - 5:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
93
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
93
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
93
Q4 - 5:31DETMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
93
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade 10' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)85
93
Q4 - 5:53DETJennings P.FOUL (P1.T3)85
91
Q4 - 6:01DETSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20)85
91
Q4 - 6:03DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
91
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup85
91
Q4 - 6:17DETSUB: Drummond FOR Monroe85
91
Q4 - 6:17DETStuckey L.B.FOUL (P5.T2)85
91
Q4 - 6:17MIAHEAT Rebound85
91
Q4 - 6:18MIAMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot85
91
Q4 - 6:33DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)85
91
Q4 - 6:33MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole84
91
Q4 - 6:33DETPistons Rebound84
91
Q4 - 6:33DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 284
91
Q4 - 6:33MIACole S.FOUL (P5.T3)84
91
Q4 - 6:46MIAAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T17)84
91
Q4 - 6:58MIASUB: James FOR Bosh84
91
Q4 - 6:58DETSUB: Smith FOR Jerebko84
91
Q4 - 6:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)84
91
Q4 - 6:58MIA84
91
Q4 - 7:02MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
91
Q4 - 7:03DETMISS Jennings 15' Step Back Jump Shot84
91
Q4 - 7:15DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
91
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot84
91
Q4 - 7:34DETAndersen STEAL (2 STL)84
91
Q4 - 7:40DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
91
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot84
91
Q4 - 7:59DETSingler 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)84
91
Q4 - 8:16MIABosh 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)82
91
Q4 - 8:24DETAllen STEAL (1 STL)82
89
Q4 - 8:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)82
89
Q4 - 8:40MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
89
Q4 - 8:41DETMISS Jerebko 5' Hook Shot82
89
Q4 - 8:48DETSUB: Jennings FOR Bynum82
89
Q4 - 8:48MIACole P.FOUL (P4.T2)82
89
Q4 - 9:01DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
89
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot82
89
Q4 - 9:23DETStuckey 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
89
Q4 - 9:45DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)80
89
Q4 - 9:45MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)80
89
Q4 - 9:58DETJerebko Traveling Turnover (P1.T17)80
87
Q4 - 10:15MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)80
87
Q4 - 10:29DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)80
87
Q4 - 10:32DETSUB: Monroe FOR Drummond80
87
Q4 - 10:32MIACole P.FOUL (P3.T1)80
87
Q4 - 10:56MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)80
87
Q4 - 11:13DETBosh STEAL (1 STL)80
84
Q4 - 11:34DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
84
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot80
84
Q4 - 11:46DETSingler P.FOUL (P2.T1)80
84
Q4 - 12:0080
84
Q3 - 0:00.0DET80
84
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
84
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 11 AST)80
84
Q3 - 0:16.0DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T14)80
81
Q3 - 0:16.0DETStuckey Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T4)80
81
Q3 - 0:20.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
81
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Oden 2' Dunk80
81
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAOden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)80
81
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup80
81
Q3 - 0:41.0DETJennings 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)80
81
Q3 - 0:44.0MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)78
81
Q3 - 1:00DETStuckey 2' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)78
81
Q3 - 1:05MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)76
81
Q3 - 1:22DETJennings 3' Layup (20 PTS)76
81
Q3 - 1:31MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)74
81
Q3 - 1:37MIASUB: Bosh FOR Battier74
79
Q3 - 1:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
79
Q3 - 1:53DETMISS Stuckey 13' Pullup Jump Shot74
79
Q3 - 1:59DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
79
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
79
Q3 - 2:20DETSmith 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)74
79
Q3 - 2:24MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)72
79
Q3 - 2:40DETStuckey Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)72
79
Q3 - 2:50DETSUB: Singler FOR Monroe72
79
Q3 - 2:50MIAOden Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T11)72
79
Q3 - 3:03MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
79
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot72
79
Q3 - 3:26DETStuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)72
79
Q3 - 3:52MIAOden Tip Shot (4 PTS)69
79
Q3 - 3:53MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
77
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot69
77
Q3 - 4:11DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
77
Q3 - 4:11DETPistons Rebound68
77
Q3 - 4:11DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 268
77
Q3 - 4:11MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.PN)68
77
Q3 - 4:17MIAJump Ball Oden vs. Drummond: Tip to Smith68
77
Q3 - 4:17MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade68
77
Q3 - 4:17DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)68
77
Q3 - 4:19DETMISS Monroe 8' Jump Shot68
77
Q3 - 4:42DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
77
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup68
77
Q3 - 4:47DETOden STEAL (2 STL)68
77
Q3 - 5:00MIAOden 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 10 AST)68
77
Q3 - 5:20MIASUB: Oden FOR Bosh68
75
Q3 - 5:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)68
75
Q3 - 5:20DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)68
75
Q3 - 5:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)66
75
Q3 - 5:22DETMISS Jennings 1' Driving Layup66
75
Q3 - 5:27DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
75
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
75
Q3 - 5:51DETMonroe 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)66
75
Q3 - 6:13MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 9 AST)64
75
Q3 - 6:19DETJames STEAL (2 STL)64
72
Q3 - 6:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)64
72
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 264
72
Q3 - 6:31DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Caldwell-Pope64
72
Q3 - 6:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)64
72
Q3 - 6:31DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P3.T3)64
71
Q3 - 6:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
71
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup64
71
Q3 - 6:43DETBattier STEAL (1 STL)64
71
Q3 - 6:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
71
Q3 - 6:48DETMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
71
Q3 - 6:55DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
71
Q3 - 6:56DETJames BLOCK (2 BLK)64
71
Q3 - 7:09DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
71
Q3 - 7:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)64
71
Q3 - 7:09DETDrummond Violation:Defensive Goaltending64
70
Q3 - 7:09DETSmith S.FOUL (P2.T2)64
70
Q3 - 7:09MIAJames 4' Driving Layup (19 PTS)64
70
Q3 - 7:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
68
Q3 - 7:15DETMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot64
68
Q3 - 7:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
68
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
68
Q3 - 7:51DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)64
68
Q3 - 7:51MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers63
68
Q3 - 7:51MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.PN)63
68
Q3 - 7:51DETJennings 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 8:11MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T4)61
68
Q3 - 8:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
68
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot61
68
Q3 - 8:18MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
68
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Battier 13' Floating Jump Shot61
68
Q3 - 8:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
68
Q3 - 8:37DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 261
68
Q3 - 8:37DETPistons Rebound61
68
Q3 - 8:37DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 261
68
Q3 - 8:37MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T3)61
68
Q3 - 8:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
68
Q3 - 8:39DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot61
68
Q3 - 9:00MIAJames 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
68
Q3 - 9:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
66
Q3 - 9:05DETMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot61
66
Q3 - 9:19MIAWade 8' Driving Hook Shot (20 PTS)61
66
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
64
Q3 - 9:33DETMISS Drummond 1' Dunk61
64
Q3 - 9:41DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
64
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot61
64
Q3 - 10:05DETDrummond 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)61
64
Q3 - 10:12MIABattier P.FOUL (P2.T2)59
64
Q3 - 10:22MIABosh P.FOUL (P2.T1)59
64
Q3 - 10:24MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)59
64
Q3 - 10:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
64
Q3 - 10:32DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 12' Jump Shot59
64
Q3 - 10:48DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)59
64
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 259
64
Q3 - 10:49MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
64
Q3 - 10:49DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P2.T1)59
63
Q3 - 10:51DETChalmers STEAL (3 STL)59
63
Q3 - 10:57DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
63
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS James 12' Fadeaway Jumper59
63
Q3 - 11:05DETSmith 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)59
63
Q3 - 11:11DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
63
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS James 14' Turnaround Jump Shot57
63
Q3 - 11:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
63
Q3 - 11:34DETMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
63
Q3 - 12:0057
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound57
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 40' 3PT Jump Shot57
63
Q2 - 0:02.0DETJerebko 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)57
63
Q2 - 0:05.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
63
Q2 - 0:06.0DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 255
63
Q2 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Allen FOR Battier55
63
Q2 - 0:06.0DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
63
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN)54
63
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)54
63
Q2 - 0:27.0DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)54
63
Q2 - 0:27.0DETSUB: Caldwell-Pope FOR Bynum53
63
Q2 - 0:27.0DETSUB: Jerebko FOR Monroe53
63
Q2 - 0:27.0MIABattier S.FOUL (P1.PN)53
63
Q2 - 0:27.0DETSmith 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)53
63
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAWade 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)51
63
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
61
Q2 - 0:44.0DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 251
61
Q2 - 0:44.0MIASUB: Battier FOR Oden51
61
Q2 - 0:44.0DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
61
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAOden S.FOUL (P2.PN)50
61
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAChalmers 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)50
61
Q2 - 1:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
59
Q2 - 1:06DETMISS Bynum 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
59
Q2 - 1:15DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)50
59
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
59
Q2 - 1:31DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)50
59
Q2 - 1:36DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
59
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup50
59
Q2 - 1:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
59
Q2 - 1:43DETMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot50
59
Q2 - 2:03MIAOden 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)50
59
Q2 - 2:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
59
Q2 - 2:22DETMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
59
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)50
59
Q2 - 2:44DETChalmers STEAL (2 STL)50
57
Q2 - 2:51MIASUB: Wade FOR Cole50
57
Q2 - 2:51MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)50
57
Q2 - 2:51DETMonroe T.FOUL (P2.PN)50
56
Q2 - 3:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
56
Q2 - 3:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
55
Q2 - 3:00DETBynum S.FOUL (P1.PN)50
54
Q2 - 3:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
54
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
54
Q2 - 3:28DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
54
Q2 - 3:28DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
54
Q2 - 3:28MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)48
54
Q2 - 3:28DETSmith T.FOUL (P1.T4)48
53
Q2 - 3:28MIAOden S.FOUL (P1.PN)48
53
Q2 - 3:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)48
53
Q2 - 3:38DETSingler S.FOUL (P1.T4)48
52
Q2 - 3:38MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)48
52
Q2 - 3:51DETMonroe L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)48
50
Q2 - 3:51MIAHEAT Rebound48
50
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS James Driving Layup48
50
Q2 - 3:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
50
Q2 - 3:57DETMISS Smith 9' Running Hook Shot48
50
Q2 - 4:14MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 8 AST)48
50
Q2 - 4:23DETSUB: Singler FOR Stuckey48
47
Q2 - 4:23DETStuckey P.FOUL (P3.T2)48
47
Q2 - 4:36DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)48
47
Q2 - 4:36MIA47
47
Q2 - 4:36MIAChalmers AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P1.T4)47
47
Q2 - 4:36DETBynum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)47
47
Q2 - 4:42MIAChalmers 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 7 AST)44
47
Q2 - 5:03DETSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)44
45
Q2 - 5:20DETPistons Rebound41
45
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Technical41
45
Q2 - 5:20MIASUB: Cole FOR Wade41
45
Q2 - 5:2041
45
Q2 - 5:20DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)41
45
Q2 - 5:24MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)41
45
Q2 - 5:28DETOden STEAL (1 STL)41
43
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)41
43
Q2 - 5:55DETChalmers STEAL (1 STL)41
41
Q2 - 5:58DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
41
Q2 - 5:59DETChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)41
41
Q2 - 6:07DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
41
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot41
41
Q2 - 6:24MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole41
41
Q2 - 6:24MIASUB: Oden FOR Andersen41
41
Q2 - 6:24MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
41
Q2 - 6:32DETMonroe 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)41
41
Q2 - 6:38MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
41
Q2 - 6:42DETAndersen STEAL (1 STL)39
41
Q2 - 6:56MIAJames 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)39
41
Q2 - 7:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
39
Q2 - 7:07DETMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot39
39
Q2 - 7:20DETSUB: Smith FOR Jerebko39
39
Q2 - 7:21MIASUB: James FOR Allen39
39
Q2 - 7:21MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)39
39
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
39
Q2 - 7:30DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup39
39
Q2 - 7:40DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
39
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot39
39
Q2 - 7:56DETSUB: Jennings FOR Singler39
39
Q2 - 7:56MIAHEAT Rebound39
39
Q2 - 7:57DETMISS Jerebko 2' Layup39
39
Q2 - 8:18DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)39
39
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot39
39
Q2 - 8:33MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
39
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
39
Q2 - 8:58DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
39
Q2 - 8:58DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
39
Q2 - 8:5837
39
Q2 - 8:58MIACole S.FOUL (P2.T3)37
39
Q2 - 9:02DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
39
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot37
39
Q2 - 9:14DETStuckey 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)37
39
Q2 - 9:20DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
39
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot35
39
Q2 - 9:38DETSUB: Monroe FOR Drummond35
39
Q2 - 9:38DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
39
Q2 - 9:38DETDrummond OFF.Foul (P3)35
39
Q2 - 9:49MIAWade 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)35
39
Q2 - 9:54DETCole STEAL (1 STL)35
37
Q2 - 9:58DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
37
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot35
37
Q2 - 10:15DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
37
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Bosh FOR Beasley34
37
Q2 - 10:15DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
37
Q2 - 10:15MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
37
Q2 - 10:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)33
37
Q2 - 10:28DETStuckey S.FOUL (P2.T1)33
36
Q2 - 10:28MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
36
Q2 - 10:46DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)33
34
Q2 - 10:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
34
Q2 - 10:48DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 131
34
Q2 - 10:48MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T1)31
34
Q2 - 10:48DETStuckey 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
34
Q2 - 10:51MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
34
Q2 - 11:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
34
Q2 - 11:04DETMISS Stuckey 11' Jump Shot29
34
Q2 - 11:27MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
34
Q2 - 11:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
32
Q2 - 11:37DETAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)29
32
Q2 - 12:0029
32
Q1 - 0:00.0DET29
32
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound29
32
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
32
Q1 - 0:05.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
32
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Cole 16' Jump Shot29
32
Q1 - 0:23.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
32
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot29
32
Q1 - 0:31.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
32
Q1 - 0:32.0DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup29
32
Q1 - 0:33.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
32
Q1 - 0:34.0DETBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)29
32
Q1 - 0:41.0DETSUB: Jerebko FOR Smith29
32
Q1 - 0:41.0MIABeasley L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)29
32
Q1 - 0:41.0DETPistons Rebound29
32
Q1 - 0:42.0DETMISS Monroe 2' Jump Shot29
32
Q1 - 0:54.0DETSingler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
32
Q1 - 0:55.0DETAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)29
32
Q1 - 0:58.0DETSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
32
Q1 - 0:59.0DETMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot29
32
Q1 - 1:07DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
32
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Beasley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot29
32
Q1 - 1:28DETMonroe 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)29
32
Q1 - 1:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
32
Q1 - 1:43MIASUB: Beasley FOR Battier27
31
Q1 - 1:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
31
Q1 - 1:43DETSmith S.FOUL (P1.PN)27
30
Q1 - 1:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
30
Q1 - 1:50DETMISS Monroe 2' Layup27
30
Q1 - 1:51DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
30
Q1 - 1:52DETMISS Singler 7' Driving Jump Shot27
30
Q1 - 2:11DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
30
Q1 - 2:12MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup27
30
Q1 - 2:25DETJennings Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)27
30
Q1 - 2:25DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)26
30
Q1 - 2:25DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)25
30
Q1 - 2:25MIACole S.FOUL (P1.T3)24
30
Q1 - 2:38MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
30
Q1 - 2:52DETStuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)24
30
Q1 - 3:02MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers21
30
Q1 - 3:02DET21
30
Q1 - 3:02DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
30
Q1 - 3:10MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)21
30
Q1 - 3:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
27
Q1 - 3:16DETMISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot21
27
Q1 - 3:33MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
27
Q1 - 3:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
25
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Bank Shot21
25
Q1 - 3:56DETJennings 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)21
25
Q1 - 4:04DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
25
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 119
25
Q1 - 4:05MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade19
25
Q1 - 4:05DETStuckey S.FOUL (P1.PN)19
25
Q1 - 4:05MIAJames 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
25
Q1 - 4:25DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
23
Q1 - 4:25MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh18
23
Q1 - 4:25MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T2)18
23
Q1 - 4:25DETMonroe 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)18
23
Q1 - 4:35MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
23
Q1 - 4:58DETSmith 1' Dunk (2 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 4:59DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
20
Q1 - 5:00DETMISS Monroe 9' Hook Shot14
20
Q1 - 5:23MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)14
20
Q1 - 5:39DETMonroe 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
18
Q1 - 5:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)12
18
Q1 - 5:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
17
Q1 - 5:53DETMonroe S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
17
Q1 - 5:53MIABosh 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)12
17
Q1 - 6:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
15
Q1 - 6:07DETMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot12
15
Q1 - 6:19MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
15
Q1 - 6:36MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
13
Q1 - 6:37DETMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot12
13
Q1 - 6:48MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
13
Q1 - 6:51DETJennings 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 6:53DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
13
Q1 - 6:54DETMISS Stuckey 8' Floating Jump Shot10
13
Q1 - 7:01DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
13
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup10
13
Q1 - 7:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
13
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
13
Q1 - 7:30DETMonroe 2' Layup (2 PTS)10
13
Q1 - 7:32DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
13
Q1 - 7:34DETMISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot8
13
Q1 - 7:43DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
13
Q1 - 7:45DETJames BLOCK (1 BLK)8
13
Q1 - 7:49DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
13
Q1 - 8:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
13
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
13
Q1 - 8:27MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13
Q1 - 8:28DETMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
13
Q1 - 8:44MIABosh Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
13
Q1 - 9:04DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)8
11
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
11
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 9:12DETMISS Stuckey 15' Pullup Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 9:27MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)5
11
Q1 - 9:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9
Q1 - 9:47DETMISS Singler 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
9
Q1 - 10:00MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
9
Q1 - 10:00DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Caldwell-Pope5
8
Q1 - 10:00DETSUB: Singler FOR Drummond5
8
Q1 - 10:00MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
8
Q1 - 10:00DETDrummond P.FOUL (P2.T3)5
7
Q1 - 10:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
7
Q1 - 10:07DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot5
7
Q1 - 10:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 10:27DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P1.T2)5
6
Q1 - 10:27MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 10:36DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
4
Q1 - 10:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:56MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
3
Q1 - 10:56DETDrummond S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:10DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:10DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
2
Q1 - 11:10MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:11DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:23MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:27DETJames STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 11:44MIAWade 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Drummond: Tip to James0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
23
38
61%
MIA
19
29
66%
Midrange
DET
5
27
19%
MIA
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
DET
22
29
76%
MIA
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2665%13.0 / 20
R. Stuckey2056%10.0 / 18
G. Monroe1753%8.5 / 16
J. Smith1230%6.0 / 20
A. Drummond1275%6.0 / 8
W. Bynum5125%2.5 / 2
K. Singler220%1.0 / 5
J. Jerebko225%1.0 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3075%15.0 / 20
L. James2455%12.0 / 22
C. Bosh1785%8.5 / 10
R. Allen956%4.5 / 8
M. Chalmers836%4.0 / 11
G. Oden467%2.0 / 3
S. Battier330%1.5 / 5
N. Cole319%1.5 / 8
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
M. Beasley250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
74
+21
-21
95
MIA
76
+17
-20
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.7
DET 101.1
MIA 106.3 +5.2
Pace
94.7
91.5
DET 104.1 +15.8
MIA 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.8
DET 13.8 −2.5
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
55.4%
DET 44.6%
MIA 50.0% +5.4%
TO %
14.7%
15.4%
DET 18.0%
MIA 17.5% −0.5%
ORB %
31.4%
20.6%
DET 38.0% +9.1%
MIA 28.9%
FTrt
29.6
30.0
DET 34.9 +10.2
MIA 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.9%
58.8%
DET 55.9%
MIA 61.5% +5.6%
STL %
8.8%
9.7%
DET 11.6%
MIA 13.5% +1.9%
BLK %
8.0%
8.1%
DET 6.2%
MIA 9.2% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
57.5%
DET 50.0%
MIA 54.8% +4.8%
Rim FG%
57.6%
66.7%
DET 60.5%
MIA 65.5% +5.0%
Mid FG%
35.4%
42.8%
DET 18.5%
MIA 36.1% +17.6%
3P %
32.1%
36.4%
DET 33.3%
MIA 35.0% +1.7%
FT %
67.0%
76.0%
DET 75.9%
MIA 81.0% +5.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.0%
38.3%
DET 45.8% +11.7%
MIA 34.1%
Mid Att. %
32.8%
32.5%
DET 32.5% −9.8%
MIA 42.4%
3P Att. %
22.2%
29.2%
DET 21.7%
MIA 23.5% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points96102
Rebounds5144
Assists1924
Steals1113
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (2)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)31 (1)
Field Goals34-8339-85
At-the-Rim FG23-3819-29
Midrange FG5-2713-36
2-Point FG28-6532-65
3-Point FG6-187-20
Free Throws22-2917-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 170 · 24
40.7
26
65%
4
7
3
2
3
1
3
1
10-12
83%
5-8
63%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
37.6
12
30%
6
6
3
0
6
2
2
4
1-1
100%
4-16
25%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 265 · 24
34.6
17
53%
11
1
0
0
2
2
2
9
5-7
71%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 279 · 20
24.1
12
75%
12
1
2
2
2
3
6
6
2-4
50%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 21
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
36.1
20
56%
7
1
1
0
4
5
1
6
2-3
67%
6-14
43%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
33.3
2
20%
3
1
2
0
1
3
3
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 31
14.8
5
125%
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 231 · 27
10.8
2
25%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25
F · 6'11" 232 · 29
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
G · 6'3" 210 · 37
#34 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · · 6'8" 216 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
50%
51
19
11
4
21
0
19
32
22-29
76%
28-65
43%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.