Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 3, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 12% | 86 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Nets | 75% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pistons | 19% | 97 | 96 |
 | 1 | Heat | 81% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Knicks | 62% | 101 | 98 |
 | 28 | Bucks | 38% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Pelicans | 42% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Thunder | 73% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Mavericks | 78% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Raptors | 62% | 102 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 53% | 99 | 70 |
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Sunday, February 2, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 38% | 95 | 89 |
 | 23 | Celtics | 62% | 99 | 96 |
Saturday, February 1, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 22% | 90 | 96 |
| 3 | Pacers | 78% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 57% | 99 | 81 |
| 16 | Wizards | 43% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | 49% | 103 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 102 | 96 |
| 22 | Pistons | 71% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 24% | 98 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 23% | 88 | 90 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 77% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 53% | 94 | 79 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 47% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 27% | 99 | 93 |
| 11 | Spurs | 73% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 60% | 103 | 106 |
| 14 | Knicks | 40% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bobcats | 25% | 97 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 32% | 102 | 103 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 17% | 97 | 87 |
| 6 | Clippers | 83% | 110 | 102 |
Friday, January 31, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 45% | 97 | 102 |
| 28 | Magic | 55% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 64% | 107 | 125 |
| 30 | 76ers | 36% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 40% | 96 | 94 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 60% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 60% | 101 | 120 |
| 11 | Nets | 40% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 23% | 102 | 103 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 77% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 49% | 104 | 100 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 51% | 105 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 44% | 102 | 110 |
 | 24 | Lakers | 56% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Jazz | 31% | 99 | 90 |
Thursday, January 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 23% | 93 | 102 |
| 4 | Pacers | 77% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 30% | 97 | 86 |
| 12 | Knicks | 70% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 33% | 102 | 92 |
| 3 | Warriors | 67% | 109 | 111 |
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 45% | 100 | 112 |
| 3 | Heat | 55% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 22% | 94 | 83 |
| 15 | Raptors | 78% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 40% | 100 | 95 |
| 22 | Celtics | 60% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 66% | 103 | 126 |
| 29 | Bucks | 34% | 98 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 22% | 96 | 77 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 78% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 39% | 104 | 117 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 61% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 29% | 99 | 101 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 71% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 37% | 94 | 96 |
| 11 | Spurs | 63% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 60% | 101 | 99 |
| 24 | Kings | 40% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 30% | 99 | 103 |
| 7 | Clippers | 70% | 106 | 110 |
Tuesday, January 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 49% | 100 | 100 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 51% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 39% | 100 | 87 |
| 21 | Pistons | 61% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 34% | 95 | 88 |
| 13 | Knicks | 66% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 41% | 103 | 90 |
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 39% | 100 | 98 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 104 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 27% | 96 | 88 |
| 1 | Warriors | 73% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 73% | 104 | 104 |
| 24 | Lakers | 27% | 96 | 92 |
Monday, January 27, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 60% | 108 | 124 |
| 30 | 76ers | 40% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 48% | 99 | 104 |
| 12 | Nets | 52% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 58% | 101 | 95 |
| 18 | Bulls | 42% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 72% | 106 | 114 |
| 29 | Bucks | 28% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 26% | 96 | 109 |
| 3 | Thunder | 74% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 39% | 101 | 99 |
| 24 | Jazz | 61% | 105 | 106 |
Sunday, January 26, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 36% | 100 | 101 |
| 2 | Heat | 64% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 32% | 101 | 103 |
| 14 | Knicks | 68% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 36% | 96 | 92 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 64% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 52% | 104 | 99 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 48% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 54% | 99 | 85 |
| 23 | Celtics | 46% | 97 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 27% | 101 | 106 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 73% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 105 | 88 |
| 1 | Warriors | 70% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 53% | 108 | 125 |
| 26 | Kings | 47% | 107 | 117 |
Saturday, January 25, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 55% | 95 | 89 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 45% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 47% | 103 | 126 |
| 12 | Raptors | 53% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 73% | 107 | 103 |
| 30 | 76ers | 27% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 48% | 99 | 81 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 52% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 57% | 100 | 112 |
| 28 | Bucks | 43% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pacers | 58% | 101 | 96 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 42% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 52% | 98 | 101 |
| 24 | Jazz | 48% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 39% | 109 | 104 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 113 | 115 |
Friday, January 24, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 45% | 102 | 105 |
| 29 | Magic | 55% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 67% | 106 | 104 |
| 30 | 76ers | 33% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 51% | 105 | 105 |
| 12 | Hawks | 49% | 104 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 69% | 101 | 101 |
| 22 | Celtics | 31% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 49% | 102 | 106 |
| 15 | Nets | 51% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 34% | 97 | 78 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 66% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 48% | 100 | 103 |
| 23 | Pistons | 52% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 32% | 95 | 96 |
| 13 | Knicks | 68% | 102 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 54% | 99 | 112 |
| 19 | Bulls | 46% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 36% | 98 | 88 |
| 5 | Rockets | 64% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 43% | 99 | 101 |
| 16 | Suns | 57% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 73% | 103 | 116 |
| 27 | Kings | 27% | 95 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 36% | 103 | 121 |
| 1 | Warriors | 64% | 108 | 120 |
Thursday, January 23, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 19% | 99 | 102 |
| 3 | Heat | 81% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 33% | 107 | 105 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 113 | 110 |
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 65% | 104 | 91 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 35% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 47% | 95 | 98 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 53% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 68% | 104 | 112 |
| 29 | Magic | 32% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 85 |
| 12 | Raptors | 60% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 31% | 92 | 113 |
| 15 | Wizards | 69% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 28% | 99 | 110 |
| 16 | Knicks | 72% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 23% | 101 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 77% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 51% | 100 | 101 |
| 28 | Bucks | 49% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pacers | 66% | 100 | 100 |
| 18 | Suns | 34% | 95 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 42% | 99 | 111 |
| 6 | Spurs | 58% | 101 | 105 |
Tuesday, January 21, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 32% | 96 | 90 |
| 13 | Nets | 68% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 25% | 95 | 86 |
| 4 | Heat | 75% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 47% | 101 | 114 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 53% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 102 | 97 |
| 3 | Thunder | 70% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 68% | 106 | 112 |
| 27 | Jazz | 32% | 100 | 97 |