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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
February 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Cavaliers22%99107
5Mavericks78%109124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.8
42.0
32.9
18
49%
8
3
4
1
0
2
4
4
2-5
40%
8-12
5-10
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.9
39.7
36.0
27
63%
3
8
0
1
1
3
0
3
7-8
88%
4-9
7-14
44%
47%
4-9
44%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
39.7
24.5
12
76%
3
8
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.9
38.8
30.7
17
63%
8
1
0
1
2
0
3
5
7-8
88%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
24.8
20.9
10
51%
5
0
3
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.9
26.4
15.3
11
56%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.9
12.6
13.3
10
71%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
10.8
25.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
4-9
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.0
3.5
20.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.9
0.9
15.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.4
0.9
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 26.0
6.4
0
1-1
43%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.5
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
33.7
34.3
22
77%
2
7
2
2
1
6
0
2
4-5
80%
6-9
6-11
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
33.0
32.3
11
79%
2
10
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.6
29.6
32.5
23
68%
8
2
0
1
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
6-11
7-13
55%
52%
3-5
60%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
24.5
14.8
18
92%
8
0
0
0
2
0
4
4
4-4
100%
7-8
2-3
88%
54%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.6
21.9
19.5
8
40%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
0-4
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
22.4
19.1
14
69%
7
0
1
1
0
1
4
3
6-7
86%
4-7
4-6
57%
62%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.0
22.1
24.2
7
58%
7
2
0
1
2
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
19.4
2.8
3
30%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.9
19.1
19.8
16
75%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
2-3
67%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.8
9.8
16.2
2
50%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.3
3.8
5.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
0.9
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.4
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.