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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 7, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hornets22%9994
2Spurs78%109114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.9
32.5
31.6
10
61%
4
4
3
1
0
4
1
3
5-5
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.8
30.2
25.1
13
55%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
6-11
6-13
55%
47%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.5
29.3
29.2
27
81%
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
9-13
4-9
69%
41%
2-2
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.4
26.9
29.7
9
64%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-2
50%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
16.7
20.3
4
34%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
0-3
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
24.4
19.1
2
17%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.4
23.2
21.0
4
23%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
22.0
19.4
12
47%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-6
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.5
13.9
18.2
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.6
9.3
10.4
8
84%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.9
3.9
6.0
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.3
3.9
4.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.0
3.9
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.1
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
34.1
33.4
23
68%
4
2
2
2
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
8-12
7-13
67%
53%
2-4
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
27.1
28.1
8
48%
3
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
25.4
27.6
7
46%
1
6
2
1
0
4
0
1
3-6
50%
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.5
24.4
28.0
11
81%
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
7
3-4
75%
4-5
4-8
80%
50%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.3
17.3
32.1
16
68%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
6-10
7-15
60%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
28.7
10.8
9
57%
9
6
0
0
0
1
1
8
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.2
18.7
21.8
15
83%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
3-6
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.3
18.1
20.3
13
72%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
3-6
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
15.7
18.7
4
67%
2
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.1
12.9
5.9
4
34%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
9.8
6.9
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
3.9
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.2
3.8
1.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.