Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 7, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Timberwolves | 28% | 100 | 102 |
 | 15 | Bulls | 72% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Magic | 57% | 101 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Hornets | 22% | 99 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Nets | 35% | 101 | 86 |
 | 25 | Bucks | 65% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pelicans | 31% | 111 | 98 |
 | 8 | Mavericks | 69% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, November 6, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Raptors | 62% | 110 | 87 |
| 25 | Magic | 38% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 46% | 110 | 98 |
 | 18 | Celtics | 54% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Lakers | 53% | 112 | 104 |
| 29 | Nets | 47% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 12% | 94 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 40% | 104 | 99 |
 | 23 | Knicks | 60% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Heat | 42% | 101 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 55% | 111 | 121 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 45% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pistons | 46% | 106 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Warriors | 90% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 64% | 115 | 116 |
| 22 | Kings | 36% | 110 | 110 |
Thursday, November 5, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 58% | 105 | 96 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 42% | 103 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Thunder | 49% | 110 | 98 |
| 17 | Bulls | 51% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 37% | 106 | 108 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 63% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 54% | 103 | 96 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 46% | 101 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 51% | 105 | 96 |
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Wednesday, November 4, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 66% | 109 | 99 |
| 15 | Wizards | 34% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 48% | 109 | 98 |
| 14 | Pacers | 52% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 24% | 99 | 87 |
| 9 | Hawks | 76% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 19% | 103 | 86 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 81% | 115 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 22% | 105 | 114 |
| 6 | Rockets | 78% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 36% | 98 | 87 |
| 27 | Bucks | 64% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 34% | 110 | 103 |
| 5 | Thunder | 66% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 34% | 108 | 97 |
| 18 | Suns | 66% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 99 | 108 |
| 12 | Jazz | 64% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 37% | 110 | 108 |
| 2 | Warriors | 63% | 115 | 112 |
Tuesday, November 3, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 53% | 105 | 105 |
| 20 | Hornets | 47% | 104 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 45% | 103 | 98 |
| 9 | Heat | 55% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 39% | 104 | 94 |
| 14 | Pistons | 61% | 108 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 36% | 110 | 103 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 64% | 115 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 41% | 111 | 102 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 59% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 44% | 109 | 103 |
| 22 | Kings | 56% | 111 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 38% | 109 | 120 |
| 23 | Lakers | 62% | 113 | 109 |
Monday, November 2, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 85% | 109 | 107 |
| 30 | 76ers | 15% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 73% | 114 | 94 |
| 25 | Knicks | 27% | 106 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 45% | 103 | 103 |
| 29 | Nets | 55% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 44% | 110 | 105 |
| 6 | Rockets | 56% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 107 | 106 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 51% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 29% | 102 | 69 |
| 2 | Warriors | 71% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 22% | 106 | 96 |
| 3 | Clippers | 78% | 117 | 102 |
Sunday, November 1, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 54% | 105 | 94 |
| 20 | Hornets | 46% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 63% | 112 | 95 |
| 11 | Celtics | 37% | 108 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 27% | 107 | 87 |
| 8 | Raptors | 73% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 108 | 89 |
| 13 | Heat | 49% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 22% | 106 | 93 |
| 5 | Thunder | 78% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 30% | 105 | 87 |
| 10 | Bulls | 70% | 112 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 57% | 119 | 103 |
| 23 | Lakers | 43% | 116 | 93 |
Saturday, October 31, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 37% | 101 | 97 |
| 11 | Pacers | 63% | 105 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 36% | 105 | 117 |
| 17 | Wizards | 64% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 62% | 112 | 134 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 38% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 18% | 98 | 91 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 82% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 40% | 107 | 101 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 111 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 22% | 109 | 109 |
| 4 | Clippers | 78% | 120 | 114 |
Friday, October 30, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 92 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 73% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 68% | 114 | 139 |
| 26 | Magic | 32% | 108 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 66% | 103 | 99 |
| 30 | 76ers | 34% | 97 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 42% | 110 | 113 |
| 9 | Celtics | 58% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 48% | 108 | 94 |
| 13 | Pistons | 52% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 42% | 103 | 94 |
| 15 | Hawks | 58% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 60% | 104 | 118 |
| 28 | Bucks | 40% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 10% | 101 | 75 |
| 1 | Spurs | 90% | 118 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 41% | 106 | 95 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 59% | 109 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 53% | 110 | 112 |
| 6 | Rockets | 47% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 36% | 109 | 114 |
| 18 | Kings | 64% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 107 | 92 |
| 24 | Suns | 49% | 106 | 110 |
Thursday, October 29, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 44% | 106 | 112 |
| 12 | Pacers | 56% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 62% | 110 | 112 |
| 25 | Knicks | 38% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 27% | 110 | 88 |
| 3 | Clippers | 73% | 119 | 104 |
Wednesday, October 28, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 56% | 104 | 88 |
| 25 | Magic | 44% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 25% | 98 | 95 |
| 11 | Celtics | 75% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 61% | 108 | 115 |
| 26 | Nets | 39% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 47% | 106 | 87 |
| 13 | Pistons | 53% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 38% | 103 | 94 |
| 10 | Heat | 62% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 41% | 104 | 99 |
| 9 | Raptors | 59% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 16% | 99 | 105 |
| 5 | Rockets | 84% | 113 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 46% | 106 | 106 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 54% | 107 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 38% | 101 | 122 |
| 24 | Bucks | 62% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 52% | 108 | 106 |
| 6 | Thunder | 48% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 49% | 104 | 111 |
| 20 | Suns | 51% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 43% | 104 | 94 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 62% | 109 | 111 |
| 18 | Kings | 38% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 38% | 106 | 112 |
| 23 | Lakers | 62% | 110 | 111 |
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 32% | 102 | 106 |
| 8 | Hawks | 68% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 53% | 108 | 95 |
| 9 | Bulls | 47% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 23% | 99 | 95 |
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 109 | 111 |