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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 7, 2015
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets31%110109
4Clippers69%117105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.0
41
37
6
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-8
3-8
25%
45%
0-3
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
40
39
46
4
2
1
2
0
7
0
4
13-14
93%
9-16
5-11
56%
47%
5-10
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.4
39
36
6
7
3
1
2
1
0
1
6
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-5
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.4
38
30
16
4
3
3
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-8
63%
44%
2-7
29%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
29
16
20
20
3
0
0
1
5
7
13
4-5
80%
8-10
3-6
80%
55%
0-0
-
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
19
20
9
8
0
0
1
1
0
2
6
3-4
75%
3-3
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.7
17
23
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.1
13
9
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
4
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32.4
9
0
1-2
43%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
2
0
0-1
42%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
2
0
0-0
45%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.3
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.8
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 26.6
38
35
35
11
5
0
1
0
1
3
8
7-8
88%
14-21
9-17
67%
53%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.4
35
28
19
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
8-13
2-4
62%
51%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.3
34
32
11
14
2
0
1
3
3
4
10
3-7
43%
4-6
4-5
67%
68%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.3
31
20
10
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
1-5
20%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.2
22
21
7
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 38.1
24
19
6
8
5
1
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 35.6
19
22
2
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.5
16
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.9
11
14
10
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.3
9
14
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.2
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.5
31
2
5-9
52%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 27.0
2
0
0-1
48%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.9
Branden Dawson
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.