Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Heat	56%	115	87	93.5	93	94.7
	22	Pacers	44%	113	82	87.2	94	93.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	39.7	9	50%	6	1	1	0	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	35.3	22	52%	17	3	2	1	4	2	2	15	6-7	86%	8-18	44%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.2	8	36%	3	6	1	1	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	34.0	8	40%	2	2	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-8	25%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	33.7	20	53%	7	5	2	0	1	3	0	7	4-7	57%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	31.5	9	38%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-12	25%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	18.8	5	50%	4	4	1	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	12.7	6	75%	6	1	0	0	0	3	3	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left knee; Effusion
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	47%	48	23	7	2	13	17	9	39	14-18	78%	23-49	47%	9-34	26%

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5 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	39.7	9	50%	6	1	1	0	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	35.3	22	52%	17	3	2	1	4	2	2	15	6-7	86%	8-18	44%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.2	8	36%	3	6	1	1	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	34.0	8	40%	2	2	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-8	25%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	33.7	20	53%	7	5	2	0	1	3	0	7	4-7	57%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	31.5	9	38%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-12	25%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	18.8	5	50%	4	4	1	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	12.7	6	75%	6	1	0	0	0	3	3	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left knee; Effusion
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	47%	48	23	7	2	13	17	9	39	14-18	78%	23-49	47%	9-34	26%

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22 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	35.6	19	59%	9	2	0	0	4	1	1	8	0-0	-	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	34.6	15	63%	13	2	1	4	1	5	2	11	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	34.1	18	64%	5	2	1	1	3	3	0	5	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	32.5	1	6%	3	6	0	2	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	0-3	0%	0-6	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 23	29.6	12	50%	6	0	2	3	2	4	2	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-5	40%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	28.0	9	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	17.1	6	60%	3	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24	15.1	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	13.4	2	17%	2	1	3	1	1	0	1	1	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	INACTIVE
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Tibia; Stress Reaction
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	44%	45	16	7	11	15	18	8	37	15-20	75%	17-40	43%	11-39	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.94 46.8%

IND

0.87 43.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

12

24

50%

IND

11

23

48%

Midrange

MIA

11

25

44%

IND

6

17

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

9

13.5

34

26%

40%

IND

11

16.5

39

28%

42%

Free Throws

MIA

14

18

78%

IND

15

20

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	22	52%	11.0 / 21
J. Butler	20	53%	10.0 / 19
C. Martin	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Strus	9	38%	4.5 / 12
T. Herro	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Lowry	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Dedmon	6	75%	3.0 / 4
V. Oladipo	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hield	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Nembhard	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Turner	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Nesmith	12	50%	6.0 / 12
B. Mathurin	9	50%	4.5 / 9
T. McConnell	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Smith	2	17%	1.0 / 6
T. Haliburton	1	6%	0.5 / 9
O. Brissett	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 20 114.3	MIA 93.5 +6.3 IND 87.2
Pace	29 96.3 5 101.3	MIA 94.7 +1.5 IND 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 28 13.9	MIA 15.2 −0.2 IND 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 16 54.5%	MIA 44.0% +1.6% IND 42.4%
TO %	15 13.2% 21 13.9%	MIA 13.3% −3.7% IND 17.0%
ORB %	21 22.8% 18 23.4%	MIA 19.6% +2.6% IND 17.0%
FTrt	13 27.0 15 26.5	MIA 21.7 IND 25.3 +3.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 4 64.3%	MIA 71.9% +14.8% IND 57.1%
STL %	3 8.2% 11 7.6%	MIA 7.5% +0.1% IND 7.4%
BLK %	29 6.3% 3 10.4%	MIA 5.0% IND 22.4% +17.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 18 56.7%	MIA 46.8% +3.2% IND 43.6%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 28 60.5%	MIA 50.0% +2.2% IND 47.8%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 17 42.8%	MIA 44.0% +8.7% IND 35.3%
3P %	27 34.4% 11 36.7%	MIA 26.5% IND 28.2% +1.7%
FT %	2 83.1% 13 79.0%	MIA 77.8% +2.8% IND 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 11 37.2%	MIA 28.9% IND 29.1% +0.2%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 5 21.6%	MIA 30.1% IND 21.5% −8.6%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 8 41.2%	MIA 41.0% IND 49.4% +8.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	IND
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.2
Points	87	82
Rebounds	48	45
Assists	23	16
Steals	7	7
Blocks	2	11
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (3)
Fouls	17	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (1)	37 (3)
Field Goals	32-83	28-79
At-the-Rim FG	12-24	11-23
Midrange FG	11-25	6-17
2-Point FG	23-49	17-40
3-Point FG	9-34	11-39
Free Throws	14-18	15-20
Fast Break Pts	6	12
2nd Chance Pts	8	14
Points in Paint	38	28
Pts off Turnovers	19	10
Bench Points	20	17
Biggest Lead	19	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg