Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Nets | 58% | 115 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Heat | 56% | 114 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Thunder | 29% | 109 | 114 |
 | 13 | Mavericks | 71% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 38% | 110 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 62% | 114 | 93 |
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Sunday, December 11, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Pelicans | 57% | 112 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Lakers | 62% | 117 | 124 |
 | 26 | Pistons | 38% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Knicks | 55% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Raptors | 71% | 114 | 99 |
 | 27 | Magic | 29% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Hornets | 23% | 103 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 42% | 113 | 122 |
| 24 | Hawks | 58% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Bucks | 78% | 118 | 92 |
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Saturday, December 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 20% | 106 | 115 |
| 6 | Heat | 80% | 118 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 36% | 111 | 136 |
| 19 | Pacers | 64% | 116 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 59% | 111 | 114 |
| 21 | Wizards | 41% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 39% | 107 | 102 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 61% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 44% | 110 | 115 |
| 16 | Bulls | 56% | 112 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 34% | 110 | 118 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 116 | 124 |
Friday, December 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 61% | 114 | 121 |
| 26 | Hornets | 39% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 46% | 116 | 111 |
| 21 | Pacers | 54% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 73% | 114 | 109 |
| 29 | Magic | 27% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 30% | 110 | 116 |
| 3 | Nets | 70% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 36% | 110 | 106 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 64% | 115 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 33% | 107 | 122 |
| 4 | 76ers | 67% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 24% | 107 | 103 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 76% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 47% | 111 | 117 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 53% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 39% | 113 | 118 |
| 16 | Jazz | 61% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 53% | 111 | 106 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 47% | 110 | 105 |
Thursday, December 8, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 35% | 103 | 110 |
| 11 | Heat | 65% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 55% | 117 | 109 |
| 30 | Spurs | 45% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 53% | 114 | 121 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 113 | 120 |
Wednesday, December 7, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 72% | 113 | 111 |
| 29 | Magic | 28% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 20% | 106 | 116 |
| 2 | Nets | 80% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 114 | 89 |
| 15 | Knicks | 51% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 20% | 106 | 113 |
| 4 | Raptors | 80% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 47% | 115 | 115 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 53% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 44% | 113 | 111 |
| 17 | Bulls | 56% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 28% | 109 | 102 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 72% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 34% | 113 | 113 |
| 3 | Bucks | 66% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 18% | 107 | 98 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 82% | 120 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 44% | 115 | 123 |
| 20 | Jazz | 56% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 59% | 115 | 125 |
| 11 | Suns | 41% | 112 | 98 |
Tuesday, December 6, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 29% | 105 | 116 |
| 12 | Heat | 71% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 42% | 111 | 102 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 58% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 40% | 111 | 116 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 60% | 115 | 115 |
Monday, December 5, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 78% | 118 | 109 |
| 29 | Magic | 22% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 66% | 112 | 119 |
| 26 | Hornets | 34% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 54% | 114 | 116 |
| 6 | Raptors | 46% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 31% | 110 | 121 |
| 15 | Hawks | 69% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 56% | 109 | 93 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 44% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 70% | 113 | 123 |
| 27 | Rockets | 30% | 106 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 46% | 110 | 111 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 54% | 111 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 19% | 111 | 112 |
| 4 | Warriors | 81% | 123 | 104 |
Sunday, December 4, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 42% | 114 | 106 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 58% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 77% | 120 | 133 |
| 29 | Spurs | 23% | 109 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 52% | 116 | 103 |
| 2 | Nets | 48% | 115 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 69% | 117 | 122 |
| 27 | Pistons | 31% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 45% | 115 | 130 |
| 16 | Wizards | 55% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 49% | 117 | 101 |
| 19 | Kings | 51% | 118 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 56% | 113 | 81 |
| 20 | Knicks | 44% | 111 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 47% | 112 | 100 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 113 | 116 |
Saturday, December 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 53% | 113 | 121 |
| 17 | Knicks | 47% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 49% | 113 | 123 |
| 22 | Clippers | 51% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 58% | 110 | 105 |
| 26 | Hornets | 42% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 20% | 104 | 108 |
| 5 | Raptors | 80% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 38% | 111 | 135 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 62% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 20% | 109 | 101 |
| 3 | Warriors | 80% | 121 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 113 | 116 |
| 14 | Jazz | 57% | 116 | 111 |
Friday, December 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 66% | 115 | 116 |
| 29 | Hornets | 34% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 42% | 115 | 109 |
| 8 | Hawks | 58% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 29% | 107 | 120 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 40% | 111 | 105 |
| 5 | Nets | 60% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 25% | 104 | 96 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 75% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 30% | 109 | 133 |
| 2 | Bucks | 70% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 38% | 106 | 109 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 62% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 71% | 119 | 117 |
| 28 | Spurs | 29% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 19% | 107 | 122 |
| 4 | Suns | 81% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 39% | 117 | 119 |
| 13 | Jazz | 61% | 122 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 32% | 112 | 111 |
| 3 | Warriors | 68% | 119 | 119 |
Thursday, December 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 73% | 115 | 125 |
| 29 | Pistons | 27% | 106 | 131 |
Wednesday, November 30, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 45% | 105 | 85 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 55% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 67% | 116 | 125 |
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 121 |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 114 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 29% | 111 | 107 |
| 2 | Nets | 71% | 120 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 64% | 115 | 109 |
| 19 | Knicks | 36% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 62% | 116 | 101 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 38% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 51% | 112 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 49% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 46% | 112 | 111 |
| 28 | Thunder | 54% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 26% | 111 | 100 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 74% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 111 | 113 |
| 7 | Suns | 62% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 35% | 110 | 112 |
| 12 | Jazz | 65% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 43% | 119 | 114 |
| 15 | Kings | 57% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 110 | 109 |
| 21 | Lakers | 61% | 114 | 128 |
Tuesday, November 29, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 62% | 116 | 140 |
| 26 | Pistons | 38% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 51% | 114 | 113 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 49% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 42% | 106 | 118 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 109 | 112 |