Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Pacers	37%	111	113	109.7	103	121.0
	6	Knicks	63%	116	119	115.5	103	89.7

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-13

NYK

+14

-12

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.14 57.1%

NYK

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 23	34.3	11	50%	3	4	0	0	1	5	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	32.2	31	78%	8	0	1	0	1	3	0	8	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	7-15	47%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	27.2	15	58%	3	7	1	0	4	1	0	3	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	25.0	7	50%	3	4	1	0	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
James Johnson #16 · C · 6'8" 240 · 36	13.0	0	0%	3	2	2	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	27.8	20	63%	6	1	0	0	2	3	1	5	5-9	56%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	26.0	14	58%	8	7	2	0	1	1	3	5	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	19.2	5	63%	2	1	0	2	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	16.8	5	31%	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	15.0	5	83%	3	1	1	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back Spasms
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-Covid Related Illness
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Tibia; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	57%	41	27	8	5	13	25	8	33	15-21	71%	31-51	61%	12-39	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 23	34.3	11	50%	3	4	0	0	1	5	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	32.2	31	78%	8	0	1	0	1	3	0	8	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	7-15	47%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	27.2	15	58%	3	7	1	0	4	1	0	3	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	25.0	7	50%	3	4	1	0	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
James Johnson #16 · C · 6'8" 240 · 36	13.0	0	0%	3	2	2	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	27.8	20	63%	6	1	0	0	2	3	1	5	5-9	56%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	26.0	14	58%	8	7	2	0	1	1	3	5	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	19.2	5	63%	2	1	0	2	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	16.8	5	31%	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	15.0	5	83%	3	1	1	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back Spasms
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-Covid Related Illness
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Tibia; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	57%	41	27	8	5	13	25	8	33	15-21	71%	31-51	61%	12-39	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Brunson #11 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 26	41.6	34	71%	3	4	0	0	1	3	0	3	9-9	100%	8-16	50%	3-4	75%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 23	40.9	27	52%	8	4	0	0	2	1	3	5	5-6	83%	5-11	45%	4-12	33%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	38.5	14	50%	16	4	0	1	6	2	3	13	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25	37.5	10	71%	9	1	5	2	0	2	5	4	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Quentin Grimes #6 · PG · 6'5" 207 · 23	30.4	18	75%	5	2	2	0	2	3	0	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-8	50%

Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	26.0	11	50%	5	4	0	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	1-7	14%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	9.4	5	63%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	9.2	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 22	6.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Evan Fournier #13 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jericho Sims #45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Reddish #0 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Derrick Rose #4 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #17 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevor Keels #3 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaQuan Jeffries #8 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	50	21	9	4	12	16	12	38	28-33	85%	23-42	55%	15-42	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	IND	NYK

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.14 57.1%

NYK

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

63%

NYK

67%

Midrange

IND

56%

NYK

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

18.0

31%

46%

NYK

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

IND

71%

NYK

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hield	31	78%	15.5 / 20
B. Mathurin	20	63%	10.0 / 16
T. Haliburton	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. McConnell	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Nembhard	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Smith	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Jackson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Duarte	5	31%	2.5 / 8
G. Bitadze	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Taylor	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brunson	34	71%	17.0 / 24
R. Barrett	27	52%	13.5 / 26
Q. Grimes	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Randle	14	50%	7.0 / 14
I. Quickley	11	50%	5.5 / 11
M. Robinson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
O. Toppin	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. McBride	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 114.3 4 117.5	IND 109.7 NYK 115.5 +5.8
Pace	5 101.3 26 97.4	IND 121.0 +31.4 NYK 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 3 15.1	IND 11.9 −4.2 NYK 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.5% 20 54.1%	IND 54.4% +0.2% NYK 54.2%
TO %	21 13.9% 5 12.2%	IND 11.6% −1.6% NYK 13.2%
ORB %	18 23.4% 2 28.3%	IND 17.4% NYK 26.7% +9.3%
FTrt	15 26.5 8 28.5	IND 23.3 NYK 39.3 +16.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 64.3% 30 54.6%	IND 62.8% +7.5% NYK 55.3%
STL %	11 7.6% 25 6.5%	IND 7.8% NYK 8.7% +0.9%
BLK %	3 10.4% 23 8.0%	IND 11.9% +4.1% NYK 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.7% 20 56.2%	IND 57.1% +0.4% NYK 56.7%
Rim FG%	28 60.5% 19 62.6%	IND 62.9% NYK 66.7% +3.8%
Mid FG%	17 42.8% 11 44.2%	IND 56.3% +17.4% NYK 38.9%
3P %	11 36.7% 19 35.4%	IND 30.8% NYK 35.7% +4.9%
FT %	13 79.0% 22 76.1%	IND 71.4% NYK 84.8% +13.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.2% 19 34.4%	IND 38.9% +10.3% NYK 28.6%
Mid Att. %	5 21.6% 14 25.7%	IND 17.8% −3.7% NYK 21.4%
3P Att. %	8 41.2% 10 40.0%	IND 43.3% NYK 50.0% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	NYK
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	20.4	27.6
Points	113	119
Rebounds	41	50
Assists	27	21
Steals	8	9
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	12 (3)
Fouls	25	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	38 (3)
Field Goals	43-90	38-84
At-the-Rim FG	22-35	16-24
Midrange FG	9-16	7-18
2-Point FG	31-51	23-42
3-Point FG	12-39	15-42
Free Throws	15-21	28-33
Fast Break Pts	20	6
2nd Chance Pts	9	11
Points in Paint	54	38
Pts off Turnovers	14	14
Bench Points	49	16
Biggest Lead	0	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg