Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, January 11, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Timberwolves | 118 | ||
 | 29 | Pistons | 135 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bulls | 52% | 111 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Bucks | 114 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Pelicans | 27% | 108 | 114 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 73% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Knicks | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, January 10, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Thunder | 34% | 105 | 111 |
 | 11 | Heat | 66% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 116 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | 29% | 106 | 120 |
 | 13 | Raptors | 71% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 35% | 108 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 109 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 101 |
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Monday, January 9, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 52% | 112 | 132 |
| 24 | Wizards | 48% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 99 | ||
| 1 | Celtics | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 40% | 108 | 111 |
| 13 | Knicks | 60% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 113 | ||
| 2 | Grizzlies | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Lakers | 23% | 110 | 109 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 77% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 111 | ||
| 19 | Kings | 136 | ||
Sunday, January 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 123 | ||
| 29 | Pistons | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 110 | 105 |
| 12 | Raptors | 60% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 111 | ||
| 22 | Pacers | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Nets | 51% | 109 | 102 |
| 10 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 118 | ||
| 2 | Grizzlies | 123 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 104 |
| 30 | Rockets | 38% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 109 | ||
| 25 | Thunder | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 55% | 107 | 112 |
| 5 | Suns | 45% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 112 | ||
| 14 | Clippers | 108 | ||
Saturday, January 7, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 121 | 121 |
| 28 | Spurs | 13% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 118 | ||
| 23 | Bulls | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 40% | 109 | 117 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 60% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 115 | ||
| 5 | Warriors | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 33% | 114 | 136 |
| 18 | Kings | 67% | 121 | 134 |
Friday, January 6, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 99 | ||
| 23 | Pacers | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 36% | 109 | 126 |
| 3 | 76ers | 64% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 112 | ||
| 12 | Raptors | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 26% | 106 | 138 |
| 4 | Bucks | 74% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 110 | ||
| 25 | Thunder | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 49% | 115 | 109 |
| 29 | Spurs | 51% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 108 | ||
| 8 | Pelicans | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 33% | 106 | 115 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 67% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 108 | ||
| 11 | Nuggets | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 104 |
| 5 | Suns | 49% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 114 | ||
| 21 | Lakers | 130 | ||
Thursday, January 5, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 123 | ||
| 26 | Magic | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 59% | 115 | 124 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 41% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 131 | ||
| 30 | Rockets | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 43% | 113 | 91 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 122 |
Wednesday, January 4, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 131 | ||
| 26 | Hornets | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 42% | 106 | 88 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 115 | ||
| 27 | Magic | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 42% | 111 | 126 |
| 3 | 76ers | 58% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 114 | ||
| 11 | Knicks | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 38% | 108 | 104 |
| 14 | Raptors | 62% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 112 | ||
| 23 | Bulls | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 113 | 106 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 51% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 108 | ||
| 12 | Pelicans | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 32% | 109 | 122 |
| 5 | Warriors | 68% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 109 | ||
| 22 | Lakers | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 47% | 118 | 120 |
| 19 | Kings | 53% | 119 | 117 |
Tuesday, January 3, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 37% | 109 | 113 |
| 4 | Bucks | 63% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 117 | ||
| 27 | Thunder | 150 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 38% | 117 | 117 |
| 15 | Jazz | 62% | 122 | 115 |
Monday, January 2, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 83 | ||
| 13 | Knicks | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 49% | 114 | 121 |
| 25 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 134 | ||
| 12 | Cavaliers | 145 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 49% | 113 | 114 |
| 23 | Pacers | 51% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 111 | ||
| 4 | 76ers | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 19% | 108 | 103 |
| 5 | Nets | 81% | 121 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 111 | ||
| 30 | Rockets | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 53% | 114 | 111 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 47% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 141 | ||
| 7 | Warriors | 143 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 30% | 110 | 106 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 118 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 110 | ||
| 9 | Clippers | 100 | ||
Sunday, January 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 35% | 113 | 108 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 65% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 118 | ||
| 3 | Bucks | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 58% | 116 | 111 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 42% | 113 | 123 |
Saturday, December 31, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 130 | ||
| 24 | Pacers | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 68% | 116 | 123 |
| 25 | Hornets | 32% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 103 | ||
| 23 | Bulls | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 67% | 113 | 108 |
| 30 | Rockets | 33% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 126 | ||
| 28 | Spurs | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 31% | 110 | 101 |
| 3 | Grizzlies | 69% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 116 | ||
| 18 | Timberwolves | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 60% | 111 | 115 |
| 26 | Thunder | 40% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 126 | ||
| 16 | Jazz | 123 | ||
Friday, December 30, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 55% | 111 | 119 |
| 27 | Magic | 45% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 130 | ||
| 18 | Hawks | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 49% | 109 | 104 |
| 14 | Raptors | 51% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 118 | ||
| 23 | Bulls | 132 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 32% | 108 | 114 |
| 3 | Bucks | 68% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 116 | ||
| 8 | Pelicans | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 45% | 112 | 119 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 55% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 112 | ||
| 10 | Warriors | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 51% | 120 | 125 |
| 20 | Kings | 49% | 119 | 126 |
Thursday, December 29, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Thunder | 49% | 114 | 113 |
| 25 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 126 | ||
| 24 | Pacers | 135 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 30% | 106 | 110 |
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 119 | ||
| 15 | Raptors | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 69% | 115 | 115 |
| 29 | Spurs | 31% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 114 | ||
| 14 | Mavericks | 129 | ||