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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2023
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Rockets32%112115
18Kings68%119135
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 20.9
39
33
26
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
5-7
71%
6-13
5-9
46%
50%
3-12
25%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 20.5
28
29
10
10
10
1
1
0
2
2
8
0-1
0%
5-9
6-11
56%
57%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 19.7
28
28
8
9
0
1
1
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-3
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.0
28
29
19
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
3-7
43%
Kevin Porter Jr.
G · 6'6" 216 · 22.7
10
35
5
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Kenyon Martin Jr.
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
27
22
21
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
6-6
3-5
100%
63%
3-7
43%
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.7
19
17
7
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 27.2
19
20
2
5
5
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
56%
0-0
-
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.2
18
8
12
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
54%
4-6
67%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 24.4
14
5
2
3
2
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
57%
0-0
-
Usman Garuba
F · 6'8" 229 · 20.8
6
12
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-1
0%
Daishen Nix
G · 6'3" 226 · 20.9
2
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-1
100%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 34.4
2
0
0-1
57%
TyTy Washington Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.2
Darius Days
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
Trevor Hudgins
G · 6'0" 180 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 26.7
38
33
25
14
9
0
1
0
4
2
12
7-9
78%
9-12
7-10
75%
63%
0-0
-
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
34
27
16
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
4-11
36%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
33
32
16
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
57%
3-7
43%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
32
33
24
2
9
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
7-14
7-13
50%
57%
2-4
50%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
23
6
6
6
2
0
0
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
2-7
29%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.2
21
15
20
7
0
0
0
2
0
1
6
5-6
83%
3-3
1-2
100%
57%
3-5
60%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
21
22
11
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
58%
2-7
29%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 24.4
14
17
0
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-3
0%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.7
9
8
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
1-2
50%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 25.8
8
7
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
60%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
2
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
65%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 32.3
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
2
10
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-1
100%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 23.0
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
1-1
100%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 29.6
1
0
0-0
61%
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.