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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Spurs17%107129
2Grizzlies83%120135
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.3
35
24
24
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
11-12
92%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
1-7
14%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.0
30
29
22
6
6
3
1
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 19.6
29
27
11
3
5
2
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-2
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 27.2
26
27
17
12
0
0
1
5
0
6
6
3-5
60%
7-13
5-8
54%
60%
0-0
-
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
18
25
3
2
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 31.0
24
21
15
5
2
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
3-4
75%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.3
23
24
12
1
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
2-6
33%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 25.1
22
20
14
12
4
0
0
1
1
4
8
1-1
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
55%
1-3
33%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 19.7
18
23
4
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.6
14
15
7
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 27.0
13
0
2-3
53%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.8
4
0
0-1
46%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 33.0
4
0
0-0
52%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
3
0
0-1
53%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.2
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 19.6
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
33
28
11
18
5
1
1
3
1
7
11
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
61%
0-0
-
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
32
31
38
5
4
0
1
1
5
3
2
7-9
78%
11-20
8-14
55%
56%
3-5
60%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
30
28
18
6
3
1
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
52%
4-5
80%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.3
27
29
21
12
1
0
1
2
0
2
10
8-9
89%
5-8
5-8
63%
56%
1-2
50%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
26
31
7
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-9
5-9
22%
51%
1-3
33%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.3
26
17
9
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
64%
1-3
33%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.0
23
17
7
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
62%
2-2
100%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.7
18
29
16
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
53%
2-2
100%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.0
14
20
8
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-3
0%
4-7
3-5
57%
62%
0-0
-
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
12
18
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
62%
0-0
-
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 21.8
12
0
1-2
60%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
10
0
1-2
55%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.3
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.2
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.6
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.