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All Games Saturday, January 14, 2023
Final Win Prob. pScore
16
Bucks
49%105
95
13
Heat
51%106
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
104.49196.9
MIA logo Heat
123.39084.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.95
111
Q4 - 0:00.3BucksSandro Mamukelashvili makes two point driving layup95
111
Q4 - 0:13.5HeatJamal Cain makes regular free throw 2 of 293
111
Q4 - 0:13.5HeatJamal Cain makes regular free throw 1 of 293
110
Q4 - 0:13.5BucksSandro Mamukelashvili shooting foul (Jamal Cain draws the foul)93
109
Q4 - 0:32.3BucksJevon Carter makes two point driving floating jump shot93
109
Q4 - 0:46.9Stoppage (Out of bounds)91
109
Q4 - 0:46.9BucksBucks offensive rebound91
109
Q4 - 0:49.5BucksSandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot91
109
Q4 - 0:59.9Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jamal Cain, Victor Oladipo, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus)91
109
Q4 - 0:59.9HeatJamal Cain personal foul (Take) (Jevon Carter draws the foul)91
109
Q4 - 1:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Victor Oladipo assists)91
109
Q4 - 1:17HeatMax Strus defensive rebound91
107
Q4 - 1:19BucksSandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot91
107
Q4 - 1:34BucksAJ Green defensive rebound91
107
Q4 - 1:37HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point turnaround jump shot91
107
Q4 - 2:02BucksSandro Mamukelashvili makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)91
107
Q4 - 2:07BucksThanasis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound88
107
Q4 - 2:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
107
Q4 - 2:27HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound88
107
Q4 - 2:31BucksBam Adebayo blocks AJ Green's two point stepback jump shot88
107
Q4 - 2:44Bucks lineup change (MarJon Beauchamp, AJ Green, Jevon Carter, Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Sandro Mamukelashvili)88
107
Q4 - 2:44HeatJamal Cain personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)88
107
Q4 - 2:54HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup88
107
Q4 - 3:06Heat 60 second timeout88
105
Q4 - 3:06Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, AJ Green, Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)88
105
Q4 - 3:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)88
105
Q4 - 3:17BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)88
105
Q4 - 3:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Victor Oladipo assists)85
105
Q4 - 3:48HeatMax Strus defensive rebound85
103
Q4 - 3:50BucksJevon Carter misses three point pullup jump shot85
103
Q4 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)85
103
Q4 - 4:23Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, AJ Green, Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez)85
101
Q4 - 4:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)85
101
Q4 - 4:23HeatHeat defensive rebound85
101
Q4 - 4:23BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot85
101
Q4 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup85
101
Q4 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound85
99
Q4 - 4:41HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving layup85
99
Q4 - 4:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
99
Q4 - 4:55BucksJrue Holiday misses two point stepback bank jump shot85
99
Q4 - 5:14BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound85
99
Q4 - 5:17HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot85
99
Q4 - 5:34Heat 60 second timeout85
99
Q4 - 5:34BucksAJ Green makes three point running jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)85
99
Q4 - 5:40BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound82
99
Q4 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot82
99
Q4 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
99
Q4 - 5:59BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot82
99
Q4 - 6:14Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, AJ Green, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)82
99
Q4 - 6:14HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)82
99
Q4 - 6:31HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot82
99
Q4 - 6:49BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)82
97
Q4 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 279
97
Q4 - 7:13Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)79
96
Q4 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 279
96
Q4 - 7:13BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
95
Q4 - 7:29BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)79
95
Q4 - 7:38Bucks 60 second timeout79
95
Q4 - 7:38HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running dunk79
95
Q4 - 7:41BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)79
93
Q4 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Victor Oladipo assists)79
93
Q4 - 8:02BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)79
91
Q4 - 8:10HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)79
91
Q4 - 8:10BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound79
91
Q4 - 8:10BucksBam Adebayo blocks Bobby Portis's two point putback layup79
91
Q4 - 8:11BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound79
91
Q4 - 8:12BucksBobby Portis misses two point driving floating bank jump shot79
91
Q4 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk79
91
Q4 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound79
89
Q4 - 8:20HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving finger roll layup79
89
Q4 - 8:31HeatMax Strus defensive rebound79
89
Q4 - 8:33BucksPat Connaughton misses two point floating jump shot79
89
Q4 - 8:47Bucks lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)79
89
Q4 - 8:47Bucks 60 second timeout79
89
Q4 - 8:53HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot79
89
Q4 - 9:02Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)79
86
Q4 - 9:02BucksGrayson Allen personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
86
Q4 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
86
Q4 - 9:07BucksPat Connaughton misses three point running jump shot79
86
Q4 - 9:12BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound79
86
Q4 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot79
86
Q4 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
86
Q4 - 9:25BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot79
86
Q4 - 9:48HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup79
86
Q4 - 10:03BucksJevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)79
84
Q4 - 10:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 276
84
Q4 - 10:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 276
83
Q4 - 10:18BucksGrayson Allen shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)76
82
Q4 - 10:30BucksBobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)76
82
Q4 - 10:43HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point pullup jump shot74
82
Q4 - 10:59BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)74
79
Q4 - 11:20HeatJamal Cain makes two point hook shot71
79
Q4 - 11:25HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound71
77
Q4 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot71
77
Q4 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
77
Q4 - 11:36BucksJevon Carter misses two point running reverse layup71
77
Q4 - 11:40BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound71
77
Q4 - 11:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot71
77
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)71
77
Q4 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Pat Connaughton)71
77
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.71
77
Q3 - 0:00.1BucksBucks offensive rebound71
77
Q3 - 0:00.6BucksJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot71
77
Q3 - 0:01.2BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound71
77
Q3 - 0:01.2HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot71
77
Q3 - 0:08.5Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)71
77
Q3 - 0:08.5Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez)71
77
Q3 - 0:08.5BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)71
77
Q3 - 0:08.5HeatHeat offensive rebound71
77
Q3 - 0:09.4HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot71
77
Q3 - 0:30.2HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound71
77
Q3 - 0:33.1BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot71
77
Q3 - 0:51.1HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)71
77
Q3 - 1:12BucksJoe Ingles makes three point pullup jump shot71
74
Q3 - 1:23BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound68
74
Q3 - 1:26HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot68
74
Q3 - 1:38HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound68
74
Q3 - 1:38BucksAJ Green misses three point jump shot68
74
Q3 - 1:44HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup68
74
Q3 - 1:46HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound68
72
Q3 - 1:47HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point putback layup68
72
Q3 - 1:50HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound68
72
Q3 - 1:52HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving layup68
72
Q3 - 2:17BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot68
72
Q3 - 2:28Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)66
72
Q3 - 2:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
72
Q3 - 2:28BucksBucks defensive rebound66
72
Q3 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot66
72
Q3 - 2:41BucksJoe Ingles turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)66
72
Q3 - 2:53HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
72
Q3 - 3:10BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)66
72
Q3 - 3:26HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)63
72
Q3 - 3:42BucksBrook Lopez turnover (offensive foul)63
69
Q3 - 3:42BucksBrook Lopez offensive foul (Off the ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)63
69
Q3 - 3:49Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, AJ Green, Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez)63
69
Q3 - 3:49HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (offensive foul)63
69
Q3 - 3:49HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)63
69
Q3 - 4:12BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 263
69
Q3 - 4:12Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)62
69
Q3 - 4:12BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 262
69
Q3 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)62
69
Q3 - 4:24HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)62
69
Q3 - 4:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound62
67
Q3 - 4:42BucksBrook Lopez misses two point jump shot62
67
Q3 - 4:51Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo, Orlando Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)62
67
Q3 - 4:51Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)62
67
Q3 - 4:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)62
67
Q3 - 4:51BucksBucks offensive rebound62
67
Q3 - 4:51BucksJrue Holiday misses two point turnaround jump shot62
67
Q3 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup62
67
Q3 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound62
65
Q3 - 5:12HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
65
Q3 - 5:31HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound62
65
Q3 - 5:35BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround hook shot62
65
Q3 - 5:53HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot62
65
Q3 - 6:10BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 262
63
Q3 - 6:10BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 261
63
Q3 - 6:10HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)60
63
Q3 - 6:20Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)60
63
Q3 - 6:20Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Pat Connaughton)60
63
Q3 - 6:20Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
63
Q3 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot60
63
Q3 - 6:40BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)60
61
Q3 - 6:47BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound57
61
Q3 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup57
61
Q3 - 6:59Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)57
61
Q3 - 6:59Grayson Allen kicked ball violation57
61
Q3 - 7:13BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)57
61
Q3 - 7:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Max Strus assists)54
61
Q3 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
59
Q3 - 7:46BucksJrue Holiday misses two point bank hook shot54
59
Q3 - 7:49BucksGrayson Allen offensive rebound54
59
Q3 - 7:54BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot54
59
Q3 - 8:03HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Bobby Portis draws the foul)54
59
Q3 - 8:03BucksBucks offensive rebound54
59
Q3 - 8:04BucksGrayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot54
59
Q3 - 8:12Bucks 60 second timeout54
59
Q3 - 8:25HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot54
59
Q3 - 8:50Heat 60 second timeout54
57
Q3 - 8:50BucksJrue Holiday makes two point cutting layup (Grayson Allen assists)54
57
Q3 - 9:04HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Brook Lopez draws the foul)52
57
Q3 - 9:04BucksBucks defensive rebound52
57
Q3 - 9:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot52
57
Q3 - 9:18BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)52
57
Q3 - 9:27BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound52
57
Q3 - 9:30HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot52
57
Q3 - 9:59BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)52
57
Q3 - 10:09BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound49
57
Q3 - 10:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot49
57
Q3 - 10:19BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot49
57
Q3 - 10:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup47
57
Q3 - 10:48BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 247
55
Q3 - 10:48BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 246
55
Q3 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)45
55
Q3 - 10:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot45
55
Q3 - 11:07HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound45
53
Q3 - 11:10BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
53
Q3 - 11:26BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound45
53
Q3 - 11:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot45
53
Q3 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
53
Q3 - 11:49BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot45
53
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)45
53
Q3 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)45
53
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
53
Q2 - 0:01.3HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot45
53
Q2 - 0:15.4BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)45
51
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (offensive foul)42
51
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatOrlando Robinson offensive foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)42
51
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound42
51
Q2 - 0:30.3HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot42
51
Q2 - 0:39.4HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound42
51
Q2 - 0:39.4HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot42
51
Q2 - 0:50.6BucksJoe Ingles makes two point layup (Brook Lopez assists)42
51
Q2 - 0:52.9BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound40
51
Q2 - 0:54.8BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot40
51
Q2 - 1:10Heat lineup change (Victor Oladipo, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)40
51
Q2 - 1:10BucksBucks defensive rebound40
51
Q2 - 1:10Stoppage (Out of bounds)40
51
Q2 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup40
51
Q2 - 1:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound40
51
Q2 - 1:14HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot40
51
Q2 - 1:20HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 140
51
Q2 - 1:20BucksJoe Ingles technical foul40
50
Q2 - 1:20Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)40
50
Q2 - 1:20BucksJoe Ingles personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)40
50
Q2 - 1:34BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)40
50
Q2 - 1:48BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound37
50
Q2 - 1:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot37
50
Q2 - 2:05HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound37
50
Q2 - 2:09BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 2 of 237
50
Q2 - 2:09BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 237
50
Q2 - 2:09HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)37
50
Q2 - 2:20HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 237
50
Q2 - 2:20Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)37
49
Q2 - 2:20Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)37
49
Q2 - 2:20HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 237
49
Q2 - 2:20BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)37
48
Q2 - 2:41BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup37
48
Q2 - 2:49BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound35
48
Q2 - 2:52HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot35
48
Q2 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound35
48
Q2 - 3:00BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot35
48
Q2 - 3:08BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound35
48
Q2 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot35
48
Q2 - 3:26Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)35
48
Q2 - 3:26BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
48
Q2 - 3:26HeatHeat defensive rebound35
48
Q2 - 3:26BucksJevon Carter misses two point jump shot35
48
Q2 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)35
48
Q2 - 3:51BucksBrook Lopez makes three point turnaround jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)35
46
Q2 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)32
46
Q2 - 4:11HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound32
44
Q2 - 4:14BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot32
44
Q2 - 4:25BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound32
44
Q2 - 4:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot32
44
Q2 - 4:50BucksPat Connaughton makes two point bank jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)32
44
Q2 - 5:03Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)30
44
Q2 - 5:03Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)30
44
Q2 - 5:03Bucks 60 second timeout30
44
Q2 - 5:03HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point fadeaway jump shot30
44
Q2 - 5:24BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)30
42
Q2 - 5:32HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)27
42
Q2 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound27
39
Q2 - 5:51BucksBobby Portis misses two point floating jump shot27
39
Q2 - 6:07Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)27
39
Q2 - 6:07Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jevon Carter, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez)27
39
Q2 - 6:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
39
Q2 - 6:07BucksBucks defensive rebound27
39
Q2 - 6:08HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot27
39
Q2 - 6:14HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound27
39
Q2 - 6:17BucksGrayson Allen misses two point driving floating bank jump shot27
39
Q2 - 6:34HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running pullup jump shot27
39
Q2 - 6:41BucksBobby Portis turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)27
36
Q2 - 7:04HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot27
36
Q2 - 7:23BucksJevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)27
34
Q2 - 7:37HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot24
34
Q2 - 7:45HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound24
32
Q2 - 7:48BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot24
32
Q2 - 7:56BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound24
32
Q2 - 7:59HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot24
32
Q2 - 8:04Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
32
Q2 - 8:18Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)24
32
Q2 - 8:18Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jevon Carter, Bobby Portis, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Grayson Allen)24
32
Q2 - 8:18Heat 60 second timeout24
32
Q2 - 8:23BucksBobby Portis makes two point driving layup (Jevon Carter assists)24
32
Q2 - 8:38HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Joe Ingles steals)22
32
Q2 - 8:47HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound22
32
Q2 - 8:50BucksAJ Green misses three point stepback jump shot22
32
Q2 - 9:12HeatJamal Cain makes two point driving layup (Orlando Robinson assists)22
32
Q2 - 9:17HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound22
30
Q2 - 9:19HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot22
30
Q2 - 9:27HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound22
30
Q2 - 9:30BucksJevon Carter misses two point fadeaway jump shot22
30
Q2 - 9:44Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, AJ Green, Jevon Carter, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen)22
30
Q2 - 9:44HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds step)22
30
Q2 - 9:52HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound22
30
Q2 - 9:55BucksBobby Portis misses two point pullup jump shot22
30
Q2 - 10:14HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)22
30
Q2 - 10:20HeatMax Strus defensive rebound22
30
Q2 - 10:22BucksJoe Ingles misses two point putback layup22
30
Q2 - 10:24BucksJoe Ingles offensive rebound22
30
Q2 - 10:25BucksJoe Ingles misses two point running layup22
30
Q2 - 10:25HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Joe Ingles steals)22
30
Q2 - 10:45BucksJevon Carter makes two point jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)22
30
Q2 - 11:10HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot20
30
Q2 - 11:17BucksSandro Mamukelashvili personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)20
28
Q2 - 11:30HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound20
28
Q2 - 11:33BucksAJ Green misses three point jump shot20
28
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Victor Oladipo, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)20
28
Q2 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, AJ Green, Jevon Carter, Bobby Portis, Sandro Mamukelashvili)20
28
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
28
Q1 - 0:02.2HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound20
28
Q1 - 0:02.2BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point jump shot20
28
Q1 - 0:13.5BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound20
28
Q1 - 0:16.0HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot20
28
Q1 - 0:28.4HeatMax Strus defensive rebound20
28
Q1 - 0:31.7BucksOrlando Robinson blocks MarJon Beauchamp's two point layup20
28
Q1 - 0:44.4HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot20
28
Q1 - 0:59.2HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound20
26
Q1 - 1:01BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point running jump shot20
26
Q1 - 1:08HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Pat Connaughton steals)20
26
Q1 - 1:30HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound20
26
Q1 - 1:33BucksJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot20
26
Q1 - 1:36BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound20
26
Q1 - 1:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup20
26
Q1 - 1:59HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound20
26
Q1 - 2:03BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot20
26
Q1 - 2:05BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound20
26
Q1 - 2:08BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot20
26
Q1 - 2:15BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound20
26
Q1 - 2:20HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point cutting layup20
26
Q1 - 2:45BucksBrook Lopez makes two point hook shot (Joe Ingles assists)20
26
Q1 - 3:01BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound18
26
Q1 - 3:03HeatJamal Cain misses two point pullup jump shot18
26
Q1 - 3:23BucksBrook Lopez turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Cain steals)18
26
Q1 - 3:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank jump shot18
26
Q1 - 4:11Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Victor Oladipo, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)18
24
Q1 - 4:11Bucks lineup change (MarJon Beauchamp, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)18
24
Q1 - 4:11Heat 60 second timeout18
24
Q1 - 4:12BucksGrayson Allen makes two point driving finger roll layup18
24
Q1 - 4:21HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point floating jump shot16
24
Q1 - 4:41BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)16
22
Q1 - 4:52HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)13
22
Q1 - 5:11HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound13
22
Q1 - 5:13BucksGrayson Allen misses two point fadeaway jump shot13
22
Q1 - 5:28BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound13
22
Q1 - 5:30HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot13
22
Q1 - 5:44HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound13
22
Q1 - 5:46HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point running layup13
22
Q1 - 5:51BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)13
22
Q1 - 5:59BucksMarJon Beauchamp offensive rebound13
22
Q1 - 6:02BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point jump shot13
22
Q1 - 6:13HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)13
22
Q1 - 6:28BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 213
19
Q1 - 6:28Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo, Orlando Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)12
19
Q1 - 6:28Bucks lineup change (MarJon Beauchamp, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez)12
19
Q1 - 6:28BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 212
19
Q1 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)11
19
Q1 - 6:36HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)11
19
Q1 - 6:59BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)11
19
Q1 - 7:14HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup8
19
Q1 - 7:15HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound8
17
Q1 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 28
17
Q1 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 28
17
Q1 - 7:18BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
17
Q1 - 7:21HeatMax Strus defensive rebound8
17
Q1 - 7:23BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot8
17
Q1 - 7:39Bucks lineup change (MarJon Beauchamp, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Pat Connaughton)8
17
Q1 - 7:39Bucks 60 second timeout8
17
Q1 - 7:39HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)8
17
Q1 - 7:51BucksJrue Holiday makes three point running pullup jump shot8
14
Q1 - 7:54BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound5
14
Q1 - 8:00HeatBrook Lopez blocks Gabe Vincent's three point pullup jump shot5
14
Q1 - 8:05BucksBobby Portis turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)5
14
Q1 - 8:05BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound5
14
Q1 - 8:10HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot5
14
Q1 - 8:17HeatMax Strus defensive rebound5
14
Q1 - 8:20BucksBrook Lopez misses two point fadeaway jump shot5
14
Q1 - 8:25Stoppage (Out of bounds)5
14
Q1 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 15
14
Q1 - 8:40BucksGrayson Allen shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)5
13
Q1 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot5
13
Q1 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
11
Q1 - 8:53BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot5
11
Q1 - 9:16HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot5
11
Q1 - 9:29BucksBrook Lopez makes two point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)5
8
Q1 - 9:40HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)3
8
Q1 - 9:46HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound3
5
Q1 - 9:50HeatBrook Lopez blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup3
5
Q1 - 10:04HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound3
5
Q1 - 10:06BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot3
5
Q1 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)3
5
Q1 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
5
Q1 - 10:17BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot3
5
Q1 - 10:27HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
5
Q1 - 10:34BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)3
2
Q1 - 10:50BucksBobby Portis makes two point layup (Jrue Holiday assists)3
2
Q1 - 11:04HeatMax Strus makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)1
2
Q1 - 11:21BucksGrayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 21
0
Q1 - 11:21BucksGrayson Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 20
0
Q1 - 11:21HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)0
0
Q1 - 11:39BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Haywood Highsmith gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton)0
0
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
6
13
46%
MIA
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIL
9
23
39%
MIA
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
19
28.5
48
40%
59%
MIA
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
8
12
67%
MIA
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Portis1563%7.5 / 12
P. Connaughton1458%7.0 / 12
B. Lopez1365%6.5 / 10
J. Holiday1238%6.0 / 16
G. Allen1260%6.0 / 10
J. Carter1056%5.0 / 9
A. Green964%4.5 / 7
J. Ingles550%2.5 / 5
S. Mamukelashvili563%2.5 / 4
M. Beauchamp0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Vincent2796%13.5 / 14
B. Adebayo2048%10.0 / 21
V. Oladipo2056%10.0 / 18
J. Butler1657%8.0 / 14
M. Strus1042%5.0 / 12
H. Highsmith8100%4.0 / 4
J. Cain660%3.0 / 5
O. Robinson450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+11
-10
92
MIA
79
+14
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
112.9
MIL 104.4
MIA 123.3 +18.9
Pace
101.0
96.3
MIL 96.9 +12.1
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
MIL 14.9 −2.1
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
53.0%
MIL 51.8%
MIA 58.0% +6.2%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
MIL 10.1% −0.6%
MIA 10.7%
ORB %
25.0%
22.8%
MIL 15.6%
MIA 34.2% +18.6%
FTrt
24.8
27.0
MIL 14.3 +0.5
MIA 13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
60.8%
MIL 76.5% +38.7%
MIA 37.8%
STL %
6.2%
8.2%
MIL 7.7%
MIA 10.0% +2.3%
BLK %
8.3%
6.3%
MIL 3.1%
MIA 8.3% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
55.9%
MIL 51.6%
MIA 59.0% +7.4%
Rim FG%
65.3%
62.6%
MIL 46.2%
MIA 62.5% +16.3%
Mid FG%
42.9%
45.3%
MIL 39.1%
MIA 46.3% +7.2%
3P %
36.8%
34.4%
MIL 39.6%
MIA 50.0% +10.4%
FT %
74.3%
83.1%
MIL 66.7%
MIA 83.3% +16.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
29.9%
MIL 15.5%
MIA 27.6% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
23.8%
29.4%
MIL 27.4% −19.7%
MIA 47.1%
3P Att. %
44.6%
40.8%
MIL 57.1% +31.9%
MIA 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points95111
Rebounds3251
Assists2617
Steals79
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1314
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)38 (2)
Field Goals34-8445-87
At-the-Rim FG6-1315-24
Midrange FG9-2319-41
2-Point FG15-3634-65
3-Point FG19-4811-22
Free Throws8-1210-12
Fast Break Pts65
2nd Chance Pts417
Points in Paint2654
Pts off Turnovers1012
Bench Points2930
Biggest Lead120

BOXSCORE

16 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jrue Holiday
#21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33
35.1
12
38%
3
10
1
0
5
1
1
2
1-4
25%
4-7
57%
1-7
14%
Brook Lopez
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35
33.4
13
65%
4
1
0
2
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
Pat Connaughton
#24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 30
30.6
14
58%
8
1
1
0
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
Bobby Portis
#9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28
27.4
15
63%
7
2
3
0
2
0
2
5
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
Grayson Allen
#12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27
26.9
12
60%
3
5
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
Joe Ingles
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35
25.2
5
50%
4
4
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Jevon Carter
#5 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 27
24.3
10
56%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
AJ Green
#20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
16.9
9
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
MarJon Beauchamp
#0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
#54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24
7.2
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
#43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jordan Nwora
#13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
George Hill
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37
DNP – Coach's Decision
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
Giannis Antetokounmpo
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Soreness
Khris Middleton
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
Serge Ibaka
#25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33
Inactive – Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
 52%
32
26
7
2
10
13
7
25
8-12
67%
15-36
42%
19-48
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.