Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, January 14, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bucks | 46% | 104 | 95 |
 | 13 | Heat | 54% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 71% | 116 | 122 |
 | 26 | Hornets | 29% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Raptors | 69% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Timberwolves | 39% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Mavericks | 42% | 111 | 119 |
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Friday, January 13, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pelicans | 67% | 116 | 116 |
 | 30 | Pistons | 33% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 53% | 114 | 113 |
| 27 | Pacers | 47% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Knicks | 61% | 112 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Thunder | 44% | 111 | 124 |
 | 22 | Bulls | 56% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Timberwolves | 57% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Magic | 36% | 111 | 108 |
| 12 | Jazz | 64% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, January 12, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 31% | 108 | 133 |
| 4 | 76ers | 69% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 53% | 112 | 109 |
 | 9 | Nets | 47% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 41% | 104 | 102 |
| 10 | Heat | 59% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 30% | 108 | 114 |
| 6 | Raptors | 70% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 52% | 115 | 119 |
 | 23 | Lakers | 48% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 47% | 109 | 119 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 110 | 113 |
Wednesday, January 11, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 69% | 115 | 118 |
| 30 | Pistons | 31% | 108 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 52% | 111 | 97 |
| 27 | Wizards | 48% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 61% | 112 | 114 |
| 22 | Hawks | 39% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 27% | 108 | 114 |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 37% | 111 | 113 |
| 6 | Knicks | 63% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 17% | 107 | 129 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 83% | 120 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 25% | 108 | 97 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 75% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 32% | 112 | 115 |
| 18 | Kings | 68% | 119 | 135 |
Tuesday, January 10, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 17% | 102 | 116 |
| 3 | 76ers | 83% | 116 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 34% | 105 | 111 |
| 9 | Heat | 66% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 29% | 106 | 120 |
| 7 | Raptors | 71% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 46% | 111 | 114 |
| 10 | Jazz | 54% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 35% | 108 | 125 |
| 8 | Warriors | 65% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 24% | 106 | 109 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 101 |
| 19 | Clippers | 52% | 110 | 113 |
Monday, January 9, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 52% | 112 | 132 |
| 20 | Wizards | 48% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 24% | 108 | 99 |
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 40% | 108 | 111 |
| 5 | Knicks | 60% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 21% | 105 | 113 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 79% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 23% | 110 | 109 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 77% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 36% | 113 | 111 |
| 16 | Kings | 64% | 118 | 136 |
Sunday, January 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 68% | 116 | 123 |
| 28 | Pistons | 32% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 110 | 105 |
| 6 | Raptors | 60% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 36% | 112 | 111 |
| 16 | Pacers | 64% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 51% | 109 | 102 |
| 7 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 36% | 111 | 118 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 64% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 104 |
| 29 | Rockets | 38% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 35% | 108 | 109 |
| 23 | Thunder | 65% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 55% | 107 | 112 |
| 22 | Suns | 45% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 48% | 112 | 112 |
| 21 | Clippers | 52% | 113 | 108 |
Saturday, January 7, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 121 | 121 |
| 30 | Spurs | 13% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 58% | 118 | 118 |
| 22 | Bulls | 42% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 40% | 109 | 117 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 60% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 35% | 109 | 115 |
| 14 | Warriors | 65% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 33% | 114 | 136 |
| 12 | Kings | 67% | 121 | 134 |
Friday, January 6, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 115 | 99 |
| 15 | Pacers | 55% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 36% | 109 | 126 |
| 11 | 76ers | 64% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 46% | 109 | 112 |
| 7 | Raptors | 54% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 54% | 113 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 46% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 26% | 106 | 138 |
| 5 | Bucks | 74% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 52% | 113 | 110 |
| 24 | Thunder | 48% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 49% | 115 | 109 |
| 29 | Spurs | 51% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 33% | 106 | 115 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 67% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 49% | 111 | 108 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 51% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 104 |
| 13 | Suns | 49% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 49% | 116 | 114 |
| 22 | Lakers | 51% | 117 | 130 |
Thursday, January 5, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grizzlies | 69% | 113 | 123 |
| 27 | Magic | 31% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 59% | 115 | 124 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 41% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 72% | 119 | 131 |
| 30 | Rockets | 28% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 43% | 113 | 91 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 122 |
Wednesday, January 4, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 71% | 117 | 131 |
| 25 | Hornets | 29% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 42% | 106 | 88 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 58% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 45% | 110 | 115 |
| 26 | Magic | 55% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 42% | 111 | 126 |
| 12 | 76ers | 58% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 21% | 107 | 114 |
| 6 | Knicks | 79% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 38% | 108 | 104 |
| 9 | Raptors | 62% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 59% | 114 | 112 |
| 22 | Bulls | 41% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 113 | 106 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 51% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 29% | 108 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 71% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 32% | 109 | 122 |
| 18 | Warriors | 68% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 67% | 112 | 109 |
| 28 | Lakers | 33% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 47% | 118 | 120 |
| 15 | Kings | 53% | 119 | 117 |
Tuesday, January 3, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 37% | 109 | 113 |
| 6 | Bucks | 63% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 117 |
| 24 | Thunder | 25% | 107 | 150 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 38% | 117 | 117 |
| 8 | Jazz | 62% | 122 | 115 |
Monday, January 2, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 40% | 108 | 83 |
| 6 | Knicks | 60% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 49% | 114 | 121 |
| 25 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 38% | 106 | 134 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 62% | 110 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 49% | 113 | 114 |
| 17 | Pacers | 51% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 41% | 109 | 111 |
| 4 | 76ers | 59% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 19% | 108 | 103 |
| 3 | Nets | 81% | 121 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 66% | 115 | 111 |
| 30 | Rockets | 34% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 53% | 114 | 111 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 47% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 45% | 113 | 141 |
| 20 | Warriors | 55% | 115 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 30% | 110 | 106 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 118 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 49% | 107 | 110 |
| 13 | Clippers | 51% | 108 | 100 |
Sunday, January 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 35% | 113 | 108 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 65% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 49% | 110 | 118 |
| 23 | Bucks | 51% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 58% | 116 | 111 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 42% | 113 | 123 |