Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hawks	31%	109	114	116.3	98	90.9
	7	Raptors	69%	117	103	104.0	99	107.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	38.6	27	68%	8	6	2	0	4	2	0	8	5-6	83%	8-12	67%	2-5	40%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	37.7	29	69%	0	9	2	1	3	2	0	0	9-9	100%	7-12	58%	2-5	40%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	36.6	10	50%	13	0	1	2	0	3	2	11	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	36.5	11	55%	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	27.8	11	61%	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-3	0%

AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 19	22.6	13	93%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	18.6	9	64%	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	18.5	4	29%	3	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Frank Kaminsky #0 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Derrick Favors #33 · C · 6'10" 265 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Soreness
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jarrett Culver #7 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	40	19	6	4	11	22	5	35	17-18	94%	32-57	56%	11-27	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	38.6	27	68%	8	6	2	0	4	2	0	8	5-6	83%	8-12	67%	2-5	40%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	37.7	29	69%	0	9	2	1	3	2	0	0	9-9	100%	7-12	58%	2-5	40%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	36.6	10	50%	13	0	1	2	0	3	2	11	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	36.5	11	55%	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	27.8	11	61%	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-3	0%

AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 19	22.6	13	93%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	18.6	9	64%	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	18.5	4	29%	3	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Frank Kaminsky #0 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Derrick Favors #33 · C · 6'10" 265 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Soreness
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jarrett Culver #7 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	40	19	6	4	11	22	5	35	17-18	94%	32-57	56%	11-27	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 21	36.6	27	64%	12	2	3	1	3	1	3	9	9-10	90%	9-15	60%	0-1	0%
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 25	35.4	14	47%	4	2	0	0	3	2	2	2	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Pascal Siakam #43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 29	33.9	15	39%	7	6	0	1	3	6	1	6	5-7	71%	5-12	42%	0-4	0%
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 29	26.2	3	17%	6	4	0	0	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-6	17%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 24	20.3	7	44%	1	1	3	1	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 23	27.6	14	64%	4	1	1	0	2	4	3	1	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 25	19.3	7	70%	2	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 30	18.0	13	81%	5	0	2	0	0	0	2	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 27	15.6	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	7.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Wieskamp #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Khem Birch #24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #20 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - second toe dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	49%	43	19	9	3	12	19	11	32	24-30	80%	29-58	50%	7-29	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.21 60.6%

TOR

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

12

20

60%

TOR

21

31

68%

Midrange

ATL

20

37

54%

TOR

8

27

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

11

16.5

27

41%

61%

TOR

7

10.5

29

24%

36%

Free Throws

ATL

17

18

94%

TOR

24

30

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	29	69%	14.5 / 21
D. Murray	27	68%	13.5 / 20
A. Griffin	13	93%	6.5 / 7
D. Hunter	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Collins	11	61%	5.5 / 9
O. Okongwu	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Johnson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Holiday	4	29%	2.0 / 7
F. Kaminsky	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	27	64%	13.5 / 21
P. Siakam	15	39%	7.5 / 19
O. Anunoby	14	47%	7.0 / 15
P. Achiuwa	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Boucher	13	81%	6.5 / 8
G. Trent	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Flynn	7	70%	3.5 / 5
F. VanVleet	3	17%	1.5 / 9
J. Hernangomez	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Koloko	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.8 12 115.0	ATL 116.3 +12.3 TOR 104.0
Pace	4 101.3 25 97.5	ATL 90.9 TOR 107.4 +16.5
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 7 14.9	ATL 15.8 TOR 13.4 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.1% 28 51.7%	ATL 57.7% +12.3% TOR 45.4%
TO %	3 12.1% 1 11.4%	ATL 11.5% −0.8% TOR 12.3%
ORB %	8 25.1% 3 27.8%	ATL 13.5% TOR 23.9% +10.4%
FTrt	26 24.4 22 25.7	ATL 21.4 TOR 34.5 +13.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 56.0% 26 57.1%	ATL 44.2% TOR 52.8% +8.6%
STL %	20 6.9% 1 9.6%	ATL 6.1% TOR 9.1% +3.0%
BLK %	16 8.6% 4 10.4%	ATL 6.9% +1.6% TOR 5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.5% 27 54.3%	ATL 60.6% +11.6% TOR 49.0%
Rim FG%	17 62.7% 15 63.1%	ATL 60.0% TOR 67.7% +7.7%
Mid FG%	2 46.7% 28 40.5%	ATL 54.1% +24.5% TOR 29.6%
3P %	21 35.2% 28 33.5%	ATL 40.7% +16.6% TOR 24.1%
FT %	3 81.8% 17 78.4%	ATL 94.4% +14.4% TOR 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.7% 16 34.5%	ATL 23.8% TOR 35.6% +11.8%
Mid Att. %	29 33.2% 27 30.4%	ATL 44.0% TOR 31.0% −13.0%
3P Att. %	30 33.1% 25 35.1%	ATL 32.1% TOR 33.3% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	TOR
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	114	103
Rebounds	40	43
Assists	19	19
Steals	6	9
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	12 (2)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	32 (3)
Field Goals	43-84	36-87
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	21-31
Midrange FG	20-37	8-27
2-Point FG	32-57	29-58
3-Point FG	11-27	7-29
Free Throws	17-18	24-30
Fast Break Pts	12	17
2nd Chance Pts	9	18
Points in Paint	40	56
Pts off Turnovers	21	12
Bench Points	26	37
Biggest Lead	18	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg