Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 15, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Timberwolves | 49% | 89 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | SuperSonics | 58% | 98 | 98 | |
Wednesday, December 14, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | 47% | 98 | 105 |
 | 24 | Raptors | 53% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Celtics | 51% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Bobcats | 24% | 90 | 91 |
| 11 | Nets | 76% | 99 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 39% | 89 | 105 |
 | 25 | Knicks | 61% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Pistons | 75% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Heat | 46% | 96 | 100 |
 | 18 | Bucks | 54% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Lakers | 32% | 88 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Hornets | 49% | 93 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Mavericks | 64% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 46% | 93 | 111 |
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Tuesday, December 13, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 49% | 98 | 74 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 13% | 91 | 100 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 87% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 56% | 97 | 101 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 44% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 44% | 94 | 93 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 56% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 52% | 95 | 100 |
| 21 | Bulls | 48% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 28% | 89 | 87 |
| 4 | Spurs | 72% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 46% | 102 | 110 |
| 15 | SuperSonics | 54% | 104 | 107 | |
Monday, December 12, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 44% | 91 | 89 |
| 11 | 76ers | 56% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 46% | 97 | 112 |
| 24 | Knicks | 54% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 25% | 88 | 109 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 75% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 62% | 90 | 78 |
| 23 | Jazz | 38% | 86 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 13% | 91 | 91 | |
| 3 | Suns | 87% | 105 | 87 |
Sunday, December 11, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 27% | 94 | 101 |
| 6 | Heat | 73% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 61% | 93 | 109 |
| 12 | Clippers | 39% | 90 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 25% | 93 | 100 | |
| 7 | Kings | 75% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 74% | 91 | 100 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 83 | 86 |
Saturday, December 10, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 32% | 95 | 118 |
| 18 | Wizards | 68% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 78% | 99 | 84 |
| 29 | Hawks | 22% | 89 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 56% | 94 | 83 |
| 28 | Magic | 44% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 31% | 93 | 107 |
| 7 | Nets | 69% | 99 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 40% | 97 | 111 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 60% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 45% | 87 | 66 |
| 17 | Pacers | 55% | 89 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 27% | 88 | 82 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 73% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 53% | 101 | 106 |
| 21 | Bucks | 47% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 23% | 87 | 94 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 77% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 47% | 104 | 123 |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 53% | 105 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 46% | 99 | 91 |
| 15 | Clippers | 54% | 100 | 101 |
Friday, December 9, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 33% | 92 | 115 |
| 16 | 76ers | 67% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 40% | 93 | 100 |
| 9 | Heat | 60% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 30% | 94 | 109 | |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 70% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 38% | 86 | 90 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 62% | 90 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 44% | 94 | 93 |
| 21 | Bulls | 56% | 96 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 17% | 88 | 89 |
| 1 | Spurs | 83% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 46% | 95 | 106 | |
| 23 | Jazz | 54% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 17% | 93 | 81 |
| 4 | Suns | 83% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 59% | 91 | 95 | |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 88 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 56% | 95 | 106 |
| 13 | Warriors | 44% | 93 | 103 |
Thursday, December 8, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 42% | 94 | 87 |
| 19 | Pacers | 58% | 96 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 39% | 93 | 106 |
| 7 | Kings | 61% | 97 | 95 |
Wednesday, December 7, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 53% | 100 | 102 |
| 26 | Raptors | 47% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 28% | 96 | 88 |
| 13 | 76ers | 72% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 54% | 91 | 102 |
| 28 | Magic | 46% | 90 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 54% | 96 | 97 | |
| 24 | Bobcats | 46% | 95 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 45% | 93 | 101 |
| 25 | Hornets | 55% | 95 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 27% | 89 | 84 |
| 1 | Spurs | 73% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 25% | 88 | 83 |
| 23 | Jazz | 75% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 77% | 92 | 84 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 83 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 21% | 90 | 79 |
| 11 | Clippers | 79% | 100 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 41% | 100 | 118 |
| 12 | Warriors | 59% | 103 | 110 |
Tuesday, December 6, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 26% | 97 | 111 |
| 17 | Wizards | 74% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 37% | 86 | 84 |
| 8 | Pacers | 63% | 91 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 42% | 98 | 111 |
| 21 | Bucks | 58% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 21% | 86 | 73 | |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 79% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 37% | 90 | 73 |
| 18 | Rockets | 63% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 18% | 90 | 116 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 82% | 102 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 88 | 85 |
| 6 | Suns | 86% | 102 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 51% | 102 | 102 |
| 13 | Kings | 49% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 32% | 97 | 104 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 68% | 103 | 101 | |
Monday, December 5, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 80% | 93 | 110 |
| 28 | Magic | 20% | 82 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 53% | 92 | 102 |
| 20 | Bulls | 47% | 91 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 51% | 90 | 91 |
| 23 | Jazz | 49% | 89 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 43% | 95 | 89 |
| 9 | Clippers | 57% | 97 | 99 |
Sunday, December 4, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 47% | 96 | 102 |
| 26 | Knicks | 53% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 15% | 93 | 94 |
| 5 | Suns | 85% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 36% | 96 | 85 |
| 7 | Kings | 64% | 101 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 60% | 89 | 98 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 86 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 51% | 98 | 102 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 49% | 97 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 36% | 95 | 98 |
| 20 | Lakers | 64% | 99 | 99 |
Saturday, December 3, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 18% | 91 | 95 |
| 9 | Nets | 82% | 103 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 57% | 92 | 92 |
| 19 | Bulls | 43% | 90 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 30% | 89 | 84 |
| 22 | Bucks | 70% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 42% | 86 | 90 |
| 18 | Rockets | 58% | 89 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 18% | 87 | 88 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 82% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 24% | 90 | 91 |
| 4 | Spurs | 76% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 42% | 94 | 99 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 58% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 43% | 98 | 90 |
| 10 | Clippers | 57% | 101 | 102 |
Friday, December 2, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 32% | 98 | 105 |
| 17 | Wizards | 68% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 43% | 96 | 102 |
| 29 | Hawks | 57% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 43% | 95 | 106 |
| 19 | Celtics | 57% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 15% | 83 | 98 |
| 1 | Pistons | 85% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 21% | 82 | 69 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 79% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 49% | 96 | 86 |
| 24 | Hornets | 51% | 97 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 37% | 97 | 97 |
| 6 | Suns | 63% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 41% | 98 | 98 |
| 7 | Kings | 59% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 69% | 90 | 98 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 84 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 52% | 94 | 113 |
| 21 | Lakers | 48% | 93 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 30% | 94 | 100 |
| 14 | Warriors | 70% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 57% | 103 | 108 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 43% | 101 | 115 | |