Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 9, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Celtics | 47% | 113 | 135 | |
17 | Spurs | 53% | 114 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pelicans | 115 | |||
29 | Hornets | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 62% | 123 | 117 | |
23 | Bulls | 38% | 118 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 138 | |||
27 | Grizzlies | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Warriors | 20% | 107 | 108 | |
16 | Thunder | 80% | 119 | 114 |
Friday, November 8, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pistons | 106 | |||
13 | Pacers | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Grizzlies | 35% | 106 | 86 | |
19 | Magic | 65% | 112 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Cavaliers | 113 | |||
22 | Wizards | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Kings | 52% | 114 | 121 | |
27 | Hawks | 48% | 113 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Warriors | 119 | |||
20 | Timberwolves | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Raptors | 63% | 119 | 122 | |
24 | Pelicans | 37% | 115 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 106 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 76ers | 47% | 112 | 97 | |
8 | Nuggets | 53% | 113 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bucks | 100 | |||
6 | Jazz | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Nets | 46% | 122 | 119 | |
11 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 124 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 80 | |||
3 | Lakers | 95 |
Thursday, November 7, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Celtics | 108 | |||
29 | Hornets | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Thunder | 44% | 111 | 112 | |
17 | Spurs | 56% | 113 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 124 | |||
14 | Suns | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 118 | 101 | |
1 | Clippers | 65% | 124 | 107 |
Wednesday, November 6, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 37% | 109 | 102 | |
21 | Pistons | 63% | 114 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Wizards | 106 | |||
14 | Pacers | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bulls | 48% | 113 | 113 | |
25 | Hawks | 52% | 114 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 120 | |||
9 | Raptors | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Warriors | 17% | 114 | 112 | |
4 | Rockets | 83% | 128 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Timberwolves | 121 | |||
27 | Grizzlies | 137 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 30% | 106 | 106 | |
8 | Mavericks | 70% | 113 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 104 | |||
6 | Jazz | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bucks | 62% | 118 | 129 | |
1 | Clippers | 38% | 114 | 124 |
Tuesday, November 5, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 57% | 113 | 120 | |
29 | Hornets | 43% | 110 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 119 | |||
28 | Cavaliers | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Spurs | 59% | 116 | 100 | |
26 | Hawks | 41% | 113 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Lakers | 118 | |||
25 | Bulls | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 41% | 104 | 94 | |
15 | Thunder | 59% | 108 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 89 | |||
7 | Nuggets | 109 |
Monday, November 4, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pistons | 43% | 118 | 99 | |
24 | Wizards | 57% | 120 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 125 | |||
12 | Nets | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 63% | 124 | 107 | |
27 | Grizzlies | 37% | 120 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bucks | 134 | |||
18 | Timberwolves | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 76ers | 54% | 117 | 109 | |
15 | Suns | 46% | 116 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 118 | |||
19 | Warriors | 127 |
Sunday, November 3, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | 46% | 112 | 95 | |
16 | Pacers | 54% | 114 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 100 | |||
15 | Heat | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 53% | 114 | 113 | |
30 | Knicks | 47% | 112 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Lakers | 103 | |||
17 | Spurs | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 68% | 121 | 131 | |
28 | Cavaliers | 32% | 115 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Jazz | 94 | |||
1 | Clippers | 105 |
Saturday, November 2, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pelicans | 38% | 112 | 104 | |
13 | Thunder | 62% | 117 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nets | 109 | |||
22 | Pistons | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 59% | 109 | 91 | |
20 | Magic | 41% | 106 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Timberwolves | 131 | |||
21 | Wizards | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Suns | 62% | 118 | 114 | |
27 | Grizzlies | 38% | 114 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 105 | |||
3 | Bucks | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 45% | 115 | 93 | |
17 | Warriors | 55% | 117 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 129 | |||
10 | Trail Blazers | 128 |
Friday, November 1, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 63% | 128 | 116 | |
12 | Nets | 37% | 123 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 95 | |||
18 | Pacers | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 59% | 113 | 123 | |
17 | Magic | 41% | 110 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 102 | |||
7 | Celtics | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pistons | 39% | 112 | 106 | |
24 | Bulls | 61% | 116 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Lakers | 119 | |||
11 | Mavericks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Jazz | 67% | 114 | 101 | |
25 | Kings | 33% | 107 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 127 | |||
16 | Warriors | 110 |
Thursday, October 31, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 106 | |||
26 | Hawks | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 66% | 117 | 107 | |
22 | Pelicans | 34% | 112 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 97 | |||
2 | Clippers | 103 |
Wednesday, October 30, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | 59% | 119 | 111 | |
29 | Cavaliers | 41% | 115 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 83 | |||
17 | Magic | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Timberwolves | 31% | 113 | 95 | |
4 | 76ers | 69% | 120 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 105 | |||
13 | Celtics | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pacers | 42% | 114 | 118 | |
10 | Nets | 58% | 117 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pistons | 113 | |||
8 | Raptors | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 65% | 125 | 159 | |
21 | Wizards | 35% | 119 | 158 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Trail Blazers | 102 | |||
14 | Thunder | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 33% | 108 | 96 | |
6 | Jazz | 67% | 114 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 118 | |||
24 | Kings | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Suns | 45% | 117 | 121 | |
12 | Warriors | 55% | 119 | 110 |
Tuesday, October 29, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hawks | 97 | |||
15 | Heat | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 41% | 113 | 109 | |
7 | Nuggets | 59% | 116 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Grizzlies | 91 | |||
5 | Lakers | 120 |
Monday, October 28, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pacers | 49% | 112 | 94 | |
23 | Pistons | 51% | 113 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 98 | |||
30 | Knicks | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 67% | 118 | 105 | |
26 | Hawks | 33% | 112 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Magic | 95 | |||
10 | Raptors | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Thunder | 17% | 110 | 112 | |
2 | Rockets | 83% | 124 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 112 | |||
3 | Bucks | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Warriors | 38% | 117 | 134 | |
21 | Pelicans | 62% | 121 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Trail Blazers | 110 | |||
15 | Spurs | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Jazz | 54% | 112 | 96 | |
18 | Suns | 46% | 110 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 101 | |||
25 | Kings | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 13% | 111 | 96 | |
1 | Clippers | 87% | 127 | 111 |
Sunday, October 27, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | 92 | |||
19 | Thunder | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nets | 60% | 120 | 133 | |
27 | Grizzlies | 40% | 117 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 121 | |||
12 | Mavericks | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 31% | 114 | 109 | |
15 | Timberwolves | 69% | 121 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Hornets | 101 | |||
4 | Lakers | 120 |
Saturday, October 26, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | 131 | |||
3 | Bucks | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 63% | 114 | 117 | |
21 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Magic | 99 | |||
26 | Hawks | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | 64% | 118 | 118 | |
28 | Knicks | 36% | 113 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 99 | |||
30 | Cavaliers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Raptors | 53% | 115 | 108 | |
23 | Bulls | 47% | 114 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pelicans | 123 | |||
2 | Rockets | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Wizards | 28% | 114 | 122 | |
16 | Spurs | 72% | 122 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 81 | |||
7 | Jazz | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 65% | 119 | 122 | |
20 | Suns | 35% | 114 | 130 |
Friday, October 25, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Raptors | 53% | 111 | 106 | |
16 | Celtics | 47% | 110 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Timberwolves | 121 | |||
28 | Hornets | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Knicks | 26% | 116 | 109 | |
9 | Nets | 74% | 126 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 110 | |||
27 | Grizzlies | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 49% | 115 | 123 | |
22 | Pelicans | 51% | 116 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Wizards | 97 | |||
13 | Thunder | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Suns | 31% | 115 | 107 | |
6 | Nuggets | 69% | 122 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 122 | |||
23 | Kings | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Jazz | 40% | 108 | 86 | |
5 | Lakers | 60% | 112 | 95 |
Thursday, October 24, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hawks | 117 | |||
19 | Pistons | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 43% | 109 | 117 | |
2 | Rockets | 57% | 112 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 141 | |||
6 | Warriors | 122 |
Wednesday, October 23, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 60% | 110 | 125 | |
29 | Hornets | 40% | 107 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 119 | |||
18 | Pacers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Cavaliers | 26% | 106 | 85 | |
14 | Magic | 74% | 115 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Timberwolves | 127 | |||
9 | Nets | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Grizzlies | 34% | 101 | 101 | |
15 | Heat | 66% | 107 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Celtics | 93 | |||
5 | 76ers | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Wizards | 29% | 108 | 100 | |
12 | Mavericks | 71% | 116 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 111 | |||
13 | Spurs | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Thunder | 32% | 105 | 95 | |
8 | Jazz | 68% | 111 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 95 | |||
24 | Suns | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 59% | 115 | 108 | |
10 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 111 | 100 |
Tuesday, October 22, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 35% | 103 | 122 | |
11 | Raptors | 65% | 108 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Lakers | 102 | |||
2 | Clippers | 112 |