Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 13, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Celtics | 141 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Thunder | 52% | 115 | 123 |
 | 16 | Pelicans | 48% | 114 | 118 |
Wednesday, February 12, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 112 | ||
 | 17 | Magic | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Raptors | 62% | 114 | 91 |
 | 12 | Nets | 38% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Bucks | 111 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Knicks | 53% | 115 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 38% | 110 | 115 |
 | 26 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Mavericks | 130 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Heat | 101 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Lakers | 51% | 111 | 120 |
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Tuesday, February 11, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 103 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bulls | 40% | 114 | 114 |
| 23 | Wizards | 60% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 117 | ||
| 16 | Pelicans | 138 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Thunder | 73% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 105 | ||
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Monday, February 10, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 36% | 107 | 87 |
| 24 | Pistons | 64% | 113 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 106 | ||
| 14 | Pacers | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 32% | 108 | 126 |
| 17 | Magic | 68% | 115 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 126 | ||
| 4 | Raptors | 137 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 25% | 107 | 111 |
| 1 | Bucks | 75% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 123 | ||
| 5 | Mavericks | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 35% | 108 | 120 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 65% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 113 | ||
| 20 | Warriors | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 26% | 108 | 100 |
| 3 | Lakers | 74% | 117 | 125 |
Sunday, February 9, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 112 | ||
| 14 | Thunder | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 111 | 135 |
| 26 | Hawks | 64% | 116 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 111 | ||
| 11 | 76ers | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 49% | 118 | 106 |
| 22 | Wizards | 51% | 119 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 114 | ||
| 8 | Rockets | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 67% | 118 | 133 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 33% | 112 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 109 | ||
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 115 | ||
Saturday, February 8, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 72% | 114 | 111 |
| 17 | Magic | 28% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 116 | ||
| 29 | Hornets | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 43% | 108 | 95 |
| 24 | Pistons | 57% | 111 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 124 | ||
| 12 | Pacers | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 33% | 107 | 118 |
| 4 | Raptors | 67% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 115 | ||
| 27 | Timberwolves | 142 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 81% | 116 | 125 |
| 20 | Warriors | 19% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 117 | ||
| 19 | Suns | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 53% | 113 | 102 |
| 22 | Kings | 47% | 112 | 122 |
Friday, February 7, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 36% | 106 | 107 |
| 11 | 76ers | 64% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 118 | ||
| 23 | Wizards | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 22% | 110 | 107 |
| 5 | Celtics | 78% | 121 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 115 | ||
| 12 | Pacers | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 25% | 105 | 101 |
| 14 | Thunder | 75% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 91 | ||
| 21 | Suns | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 60% | 113 | 97 |
| 22 | Kings | 40% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 114 | ||
| 7 | Jazz | 117 | ||
Thursday, February 6, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 103 | ||
| 28 | Knicks | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 60% | 115 | 125 |
| 24 | Bulls | 40% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 101 | ||
| 1 | Bucks | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 46% | 115 | 117 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 121 | ||
| 3 | Lakers | 111 | ||
Wednesday, February 5, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 51% | 113 | 108 |
| 24 | Pistons | 49% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 100 | ||
| 6 | Celtics | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 34% | 109 | 88 |
| 11 | Nets | 66% | 115 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 118 | ||
| 4 | Raptors | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 36% | 117 | 127 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 64% | 122 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 103 | ||
| 12 | Thunder | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 34% | 110 | 121 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 66% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 98 | ||
| 7 | Jazz | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 39% | 112 | 111 |
| 2 | Clippers | 61% | 116 | 128 |
Tuesday, February 4, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 67% | 120 | 120 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 33% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 110 | ||
| 6 | Rockets | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 112 | 99 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 60% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 102 | ||
| 3 | Lakers | 129 | ||
Monday, February 3, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 64% | 110 | 112 |
| 29 | Hornets | 36% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 139 | ||
| 30 | Cavaliers | 134 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 41% | 108 | 112 |
| 13 | Pacers | 59% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 125 | ||
| 26 | Wizards | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 64% | 117 | 123 |
| 28 | Hawks | 36% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 97 | ||
| 12 | Nets | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 45% | 106 | 106 |
| 11 | Heat | 55% | 108 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 82 | ||
| 21 | Grizzlies | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 109 |
| 23 | Kings | 48% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 105 | ||
| 2 | Clippers | 108 | ||
Sunday, February 2, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 59% | 112 | 123 |
| 24 | Pistons | 41% | 108 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 109 | ||
| 8 | Rockets | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 22% | 109 | 108 |
| 1 | Bucks | 78% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 102 | ||
| 4 | Raptors | 129 | ||
Saturday, February 1, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 30% | 112 | 106 |
| 2 | Clippers | 70% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 92 | ||
| 11 | Pacers | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 56% | 109 | 102 |
| 17 | Magic | 44% | 107 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 131 | ||
| 30 | Cavaliers | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 47% | 120 | 107 |
| 26 | Wizards | 53% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 95 | ||
| 7 | Celtics | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 35% | 114 | 100 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 65% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 90 | ||
| 18 | Spurs | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 59% | 117 | 107 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 129 | ||
| 22 | Kings | 113 | ||
Friday, January 31, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 105 | ||
| 24 | Pistons | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 37% | 108 | 118 |
| 13 | Nets | 63% | 113 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 121 | ||
| 8 | Rockets | 128 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 40% | 115 | 111 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 60% | 119 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 127 | ||
| 1 | Bucks | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 111 |
| 19 | Suns | 48% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 127 | ||
| 3 | Lakers | 119 | ||