Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 24, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 39% | 103 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Pelicans | 58% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Bulls | 45% | 106 | 111 |
 | 27 | Thunder | 55% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, January 23, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Knicks | 51% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Celtics | 53% | 110 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Lakers | 27% | 105 | 107 |
 | 5 | Heat | 73% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 59% | 110 | 95 |
 | 28 | Magic | 41% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Raptors | 72% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Hornets | 56% | 118 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Mavericks | 63% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Nets | 46% | 115 | 125 |
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 54% | 117 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Pistons | 19% | 103 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 38% | 108 | 92 |
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Saturday, January 22, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Bucks | 70% | 117 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 21% | 100 | 87 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 79% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 19% | 103 | 103 |
| 2 | Suns | 81% | 116 | 113 |
Friday, January 21, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 29% | 108 | 98 |
| 16 | Hornets | 71% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 57% | 111 | 116 |
| 27 | Magic | 43% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 34% | 105 | 102 |
| 8 | 76ers | 66% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 51% | 112 | 108 |
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | 28% | 106 | 109 |
| 9 | Celtics | 72% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 55% | 112 | 109 |
| 17 | Wizards | 45% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 22% | 106 | 90 |
| 2 | Bucks | 78% | 117 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 49% | 115 | 117 |
| 18 | Spurs | 51% | 116 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 42% | 110 | 122 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 58% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 16% | 102 | 101 |
| 4 | Jazz | 84% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Warriors | 83% | 120 | 105 |
Thursday, January 20, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 44% | 108 | 102 |
| 18 | Knicks | 56% | 110 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 52% | 111 | 109 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 48% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 15% | 101 | 121 |
| 3 | Warriors | 85% | 116 | 117 |
Wednesday, January 19, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 19% | 101 | 110 |
| 8 | 76ers | 81% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 52% | 115 | 119 |
| 20 | Wizards | 48% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 48% | 116 | 122 |
| 18 | Hawks | 52% | 117 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 38% | 111 | 111 |
| 11 | Celtics | 62% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | 23% | 104 | 92 |
| 5 | Heat | 77% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 66% | 111 | 104 |
| 26 | Bulls | 34% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 34% | 108 | 114 |
| 1 | Bucks | 66% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 43% | 108 | 98 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 57% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 33% | 107 | 96 |
| 17 | Spurs | 67% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 16% | 108 | 116 |
| 4 | Jazz | 84% | 122 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 35% | 105 | 128 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 65% | 111 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 31% | 106 | 133 |
| 24 | Kings | 69% | 114 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 48% | 111 | 111 |
| 22 | Lakers | 52% | 112 | 104 |
Tuesday, January 18, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 57% | 112 | 112 |
| 16 | Knicks | 43% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 14% | 99 | 86 |
| 4 | Warriors | 86% | 115 | 102 |
Monday, January 17, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 36% | 108 | 92 |
| 12 | Celtics | 64% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 48% | 112 | 97 |
| 16 | Knicks | 52% | 113 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 61% | 114 | 98 |
| 20 | Wizards | 39% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 36% | 109 | 107 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 64% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 31% | 108 | 106 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 69% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 46% | 105 | 133 |
| 22 | Clippers | 54% | 106 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 58% | 116 | 114 |
| 19 | Hawks | 42% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Blazers | 56% | 112 | 98 |
| 28 | Magic | 44% | 110 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 40% | 106 | 99 |
| 5 | Heat | 60% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 21% | 102 | 102 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 79% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 56% | 114 | 121 |
| 17 | Spurs | 44% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 61% | 115 | 95 |
| 21 | Lakers | 39% | 111 | 101 |
Sunday, January 16, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 81% | 115 | 135 |
| 29 | Pistons | 19% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 39% | 116 | 118 |
| 25 | Kings | 61% | 120 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 43% | 110 | 99 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 57% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 55% | 113 | 125 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 45% | 111 | 102 |
Saturday, January 15, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 39% | 108 | 103 |
| 8 | Bucks | 61% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 35% | 107 | 115 |
| 21 | Wizards | 65% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 49% | 110 | 117 |
| 19 | Hawks | 51% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 36% | 112 | 105 |
| 9 | Nets | 64% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 40% | 108 | 109 |
| 2 | Heat | 60% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 65% | 109 | 107 |
| 26 | Thunder | 35% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 26% | 105 | 112 |
| 11 | Celtics | 74% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 51% | 110 | 94 |
| 23 | Spurs | 49% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 38% | 110 | 96 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 62% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 18% | 102 | 92 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 82% | 115 | 108 |
Friday, January 14, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 25% | 109 | 116 |
| 15 | Hornets | 75% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 75% | 112 | 87 |
| 30 | Pistons | 25% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 66% | 113 | 112 |
| 21 | Pacers | 34% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 44% | 106 | 99 |
| 6 | 76ers | 56% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 54% | 112 | 138 |
| 16 | Bulls | 46% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 34% | 110 | 118 |
| 4 | Heat | 66% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 59% | 112 | 114 |
| 24 | Spurs | 41% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 46% | 109 | 112 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 54% | 110 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 36% | 116 | 114 |
| 25 | Kings | 64% | 121 | 126 |
Thursday, January 13, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 59% | 112 | 99 |
| 11 | Bucks | 41% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 47% | 113 | 108 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 53% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 48% | 108 | 89 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 52% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 31% | 104 | 130 |
| 16 | Nets | 69% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Blazers | 28% | 104 | 108 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 72% | 113 | 140 |
Wednesday, January 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 51% | 110 | 119 |
| 18 | Pacers | 49% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 39% | 110 | 109 |
| 7 | 76ers | 61% | 114 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 39% | 107 | 106 |
| 23 | Wizards | 61% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 48% | 112 | 115 |
| 17 | Hawks | 52% | 113 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 56% | 107 | 85 |
| 22 | Knicks | 44% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 32% | 111 | 128 |
| 24 | Spurs | 68% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 39% | 112 | 111 |
| 6 | Jazz | 61% | 116 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 57% | 118 | 138 |
| 16 | Bulls | 43% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 54% | 115 | 116 |
| 25 | Kings | 46% | 113 | 125 |
Tuesday, January 11, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 35% | 104 | 118 |
| 24 | Wizards | 65% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 53% | 111 | 99 |
| 4 | Raptors | 47% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 19% | 104 | 87 |
| 13 | Bulls | 81% | 116 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 61% | 112 | 108 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 39% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 56% | 113 | 125 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 44% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 55% | 109 | 85 |
| 20 | Clippers | 45% | 107 | 87 |