Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 11, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 70% | 115 | 110 |
 | 27 | Magic | 30% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 14% | 100 | 103 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 86% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Heat | 67% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 78% | 117 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Knicks | 34% | 106 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Hornets | 51% | 111 | 142 |
 | 21 | Pelicans | 49% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 37% | 105 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Lakers | 55% | 111 | 122 |
Thursday, March 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Nets | 34% | 110 | 129 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, March 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 113 | 115 |
| 14 | Hornets | 33% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | 60% | 114 | 114 |
| 26 | Pistons | 40% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 40% | 106 | 111 |
| 10 | Heat | 60% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 44% | 114 | 115 |
 | 8 | Bucks | 56% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 62% | 116 | 130 |
| 28 | Rockets | 38% | 112 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Thunder | 17% | 103 | 102 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 83% | 117 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 27% | 103 | 108 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 73% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 31% | 104 | 107 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 69% | 111 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 48% | 111 | 119 |
| 19 | Spurs | 52% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Jazz | 92% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 66% | 118 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 40% | 106 | 109 |
| 18 | Clippers | 60% | 110 | 115 |
Tuesday, March 8, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 51% | 116 | 132 |
| 15 | Hornets | 49% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 56% | 111 | 127 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 69% | 111 | 102 |
| 27 | Magic | 31% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 37% | 109 | 111 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 63% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 86% | 116 | 142 |
| 29 | Thunder | 14% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 39% | 108 | 97 |
| 11 | Warriors | 61% | 111 | 112 |
Monday, March 7, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 68% | 116 | 110 |
| 26 | Pistons | 32% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 25% | 109 | 106 |
| 2 | 76ers | 75% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 13% | 102 | 106 |
| 5 | Heat | 87% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 106 | 81 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 80% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 42% | 109 | 103 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 58% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 39% | 111 | 110 |
| 18 | Spurs | 61% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 42% | 107 | 124 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 58% | 110 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 44% | 110 | 131 |
| 23 | Kings | 56% | 112 | 115 |
Sunday, March 6, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 29% | 105 | 120 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 32% | 108 | 122 |
| 2 | Bucks | 68% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 51% | 112 | 123 |
| 25 | Wizards | 49% | 111 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 73% | 119 | 112 |
| 28 | Rockets | 27% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 84% | 114 | 116 |
| 30 | Thunder | 16% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 37% | 103 | 96 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 63% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 43% | 110 | 130 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 57% | 112 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 36% | 104 | 116 |
| 13 | Clippers | 64% | 109 | 93 |
Saturday, March 5, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 29% | 107 | 113 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 71% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 42% | 113 | 117 |
| 17 | Hornets | 58% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 38% | 104 | 82 |
| 7 | Heat | 62% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 13% | 103 | 96 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 87% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 105 | 121 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 79% | 117 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 69% | 115 | 116 |
| 23 | Lakers | 31% | 108 | 124 |
Friday, March 4, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 60% | 112 | 106 |
| 26 | Pistons | 40% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 33% | 104 | 119 |
| 3 | 76ers | 67% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 60% | 114 | 117 |
| 25 | Wizards | 40% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 31% | 102 | 103 |
| 18 | Raptors | 69% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 61% | 117 | 118 |
| 17 | Bulls | 39% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 60% | 114 | 90 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 40% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 77% | 114 | 138 |
| 29 | Thunder | 23% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 29% | 111 | 101 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 71% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 35% | 103 | 114 |
| 14 | Suns | 65% | 109 | 115 |
Thursday, March 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 114 | 124 |
| 8 | Hawks | 62% | 118 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 39% | 106 | 107 |
| 1 | Celtics | 61% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 109 | 113 |
| 20 | Nets | 49% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 31% | 103 | 108 |
| 17 | Raptors | 69% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 48% | 109 | 113 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 52% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 115 |
| 18 | Spurs | 69% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 37% | 106 | 111 |
| 14 | Clippers | 63% | 111 | 132 |
Wednesday, March 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 36% | 107 | 119 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 64% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 59% | 111 | 122 |
| 27 | Magic | 41% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 24% | 102 | 108 |
| 3 | 76ers | 76% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 84% | 122 | 132 |
| 28 | Rockets | 16% | 108 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 44% | 108 | 119 |
| 7 | Bucks | 56% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 33% | 111 | 95 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 67% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 15% | 100 | 119 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 85% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 16% | 101 | 90 |
| 13 | Suns | 84% | 115 | 120 |
Tuesday, March 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 40% | 105 | 113 |
| 24 | Wizards | 60% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 32% | 107 | 98 |
| 1 | Celtics | 68% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 35% | 104 | 108 |
| 17 | Raptors | 65% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 68% | 116 | 113 |
| 28 | Rockets | 32% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 55% | 113 | 114 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 45% | 111 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 62% | 112 | 109 |
| 21 | Lakers | 38% | 107 | 104 |
Monday, February 28, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 49% | 109 | 127 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 51% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 56% | 111 | 103 |
| 28 | Magic | 44% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 57% | 108 | 133 |
| 24 | Nets | 43% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 36% | 108 | 99 |
| 7 | Heat | 64% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 26% | 109 | 105 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 74% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 26% | 110 | 106 |
| 4 | Bucks | 74% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 63% | 111 | 131 |
| 30 | Thunder | 37% | 106 | 110 |
Sunday, February 27, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 64% | 109 | 125 |
| 20 | Knicks | 36% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 52% | 113 | 118 |
| 10 | Suns | 48% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 65% | 113 | 107 |
| 22 | Pacers | 35% | 107 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 24% | 106 | 127 |
| 15 | Hornets | 76% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 69% | 117 | 99 |
| 28 | Rockets | 31% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 45% | 107 | 107 |
| 8 | Warriors | 55% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 72% | 116 | 124 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 47% | 111 | 123 |
| 19 | Lakers | 53% | 112 | 95 |
Saturday, February 26, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 35% | 108 | 100 |
| 10 | Hawks | 65% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 28% | 101 | 86 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 72% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 16% | 101 | 129 |
| 3 | Heat | 84% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| 16 | Bulls | 43% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 31% | 109 | 126 |
| 6 | Bucks | 69% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 25% | 110 | 110 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 75% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 111 | 113 |
| 25 | Pistons | 21% | 100 | 104 |