Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 13, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Hornets | 39% | 115 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Pelicans | 61% | 114 | 113 |
Tuesday, April 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Nets | 69% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 109 |
Sunday, April 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Nets | 84% | 126 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Hornets | 73% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Bucks | 54% | 112 | 115 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 46% | 111 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 73% | 122 | 130 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 61% | 108 | 139 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 46% | 104 | 94 |
 | 13 | Knicks | 54% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Heat | 77% | 111 | 111 |
 | 29 | Magic | 23% | 100 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 20% | 101 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 28% | 106 | 124 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 72% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Pelicans | 42% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 24% | 106 | 120 |
 | 7 | Mavericks | 76% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Lakers | 43% | 109 | 146 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Thunder | 21% | 101 | 88 |
| 12 | Clippers | 79% | 112 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, April 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 24% | 110 | 120 |
| 4 | 76ers | 76% | 120 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 29% | 108 | 114 |
| 3 | Grizzlies | 71% | 115 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 75% | 112 | 100 |
| 24 | Spurs | 25% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 20% | 106 | 98 |
| 8 | Clippers | 80% | 117 | 117 |
Friday, April 8, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 61% | 109 | 114 |
| 23 | Wizards | 39% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 71% | 115 | 131 |
| 21 | Pistons | 29% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cavaliers | 27% | 109 | 107 |
| 3 | Nets | 73% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 24% | 106 | 115 |
| 13 | Raptors | 76% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 39% | 110 | 109 |
| 7 | Heat | 61% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 45% | 114 | 133 |
| 19 | Bulls | 55% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 9% | 100 | 78 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 91% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 40% | 111 | 111 |
| 6 | Jazz | 60% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 39% | 105 | 101 |
| 24 | Lakers | 61% | 109 | 120 |
Thursday, April 7, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 20% | 105 | 101 |
| 17 | Hornets | 80% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 34% | 105 | 121 |
| 3 | Bucks | 66% | 111 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 76ers | 55% | 110 | 114 |
| 15 | Raptors | 45% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 15% | 101 | 94 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 85% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 33% | 110 | 121 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 67% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 49% | 112 | 109 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 51% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 21% | 102 | 112 |
| 7 | Warriors | 79% | 114 | 128 |
Wednesday, April 6, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 76% | 113 | 131 |
| 26 | Pistons | 24% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 49% | 111 | 110 |
| 17 | Knicks | 51% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 31% | 110 | 103 |
| 13 | Hawks | 69% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 113 | 117 |
| 19 | Bulls | 30% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 12% | 98 | 101 |
| 11 | Jazz | 88% | 115 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 49% | 111 | 109 |
| 12 | Clippers | 51% | 112 | 113 |
Tuesday, April 5, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 71% | 117 | 131 |
| 24 | Pacers | 29% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 69% | 110 | 115 |
| 28 | Magic | 31% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 11% | 109 | 105 |
| 2 | Nets | 89% | 126 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 39% | 108 | 115 |
| 12 | Heat | 61% | 112 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 38% | 109 | 108 |
| 9 | Raptors | 62% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 64% | 114 | 127 |
| 19 | Bulls | 36% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 31% | 111 | 132 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 69% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 40% | 105 | 94 |
| 29 | Thunder | 60% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 25% | 110 | 116 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 75% | 120 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 39% | 109 | 115 |
| 5 | Jazz | 61% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 66% | 114 | 123 |
| 25 | Kings | 34% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 23% | 106 | 110 |
| 6 | Suns | 77% | 117 | 121 |
Sunday, April 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 20% | 101 | 102 |
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 113 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 39% | 109 | 118 |
| 7 | Bucks | 61% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 67% | 116 | 129 |
| 22 | Lakers | 33% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 121 |
| 23 | Pacers | 63% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 63% | 111 | 112 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 37% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 65% | 108 | 118 |
| 28 | Magic | 35% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 76% | 122 | 139 |
| 27 | Rockets | 24% | 112 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 89% | 118 | 96 |
| 29 | Thunder | 11% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 29% | 107 | 92 |
| 24 | Spurs | 71% | 116 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 40% | 105 | 114 |
| 10 | Raptors | 60% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 68% | 111 | 109 |
| 26 | Kings | 32% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 44% | 109 | 100 |
| 14 | Clippers | 56% | 111 | 119 |
Saturday, April 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 35% | 110 | 114 |
| 4 | 76ers | 65% | 115 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 37% | 105 | 119 |
| 17 | Knicks | 63% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 56% | 118 | 115 |
| 18 | Hawks | 44% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 55% | 109 | 127 |
| 19 | Bulls | 45% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 47% | 109 | 107 |
| 10 | Warriors | 53% | 110 | 111 |
Friday, April 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 64% | 112 | 103 |
| 23 | Wizards | 36% | 106 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 78% | 113 | 102 |
| 27 | Magic | 22% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 15% | 103 | 123 |
| 1 | Celtics | 85% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 54% | 114 | 122 |
| 28 | Rockets | 46% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 57% | 111 | 114 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 43% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 52% | 109 | 153 |
| 22 | Bucks | 48% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 51% | 106 | 110 |
| 29 | Thunder | 49% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 16% | 104 | 111 |
| 19 | Spurs | 84% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 43% | 114 | 136 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 57% | 117 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 56% | 112 | 114 |
| 20 | Lakers | 44% | 110 | 111 |
Thursday, March 31, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 78% | 113 | 94 |
| 26 | Pistons | 22% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 37% | 111 | 107 |
| 18 | Hawks | 63% | 116 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 46% | 115 | 120 |
| 5 | Nets | 54% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 51% | 111 | 130 |
| 19 | Bulls | 49% | 110 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 21% | 106 | 109 |
| 6 | Jazz | 79% | 118 | 122 |