Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bobcats | 28% | 86 | 83 |
 | 11 | Bulls | 72% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Heat | 69% | 99 | 89 |
Monday, January 17, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bucks | 37% | 94 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Knicks | 60% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 52% | 95 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 38% | 92 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 28% | 94 | 81 |
| 14 | Hornets | 72% | 102 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Mavericks | 61% | 97 | 89 |
 | 27 | Pistons | 39% | 93 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | Hawks | 78% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 31% | 96 | 100 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Magic | 49% | 95 | 106 |
 | 7 | Celtics | 51% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Timberwolves | 23% | 95 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Thunder | 33% | 95 | 94 |
 | 1 | Lakers | 67% | 101 | 101 |
Sunday, January 16, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 65% | 102 | 92 |
| 19 | Clippers | 35% | 97 | 99 |
Saturday, January 15, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 56% | 90 | 88 | |
| 23 | Bobcats | 44% | 88 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 33% | 98 | 112 |
| 8 | Hawks | 67% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 39% | 101 | 95 |
| 25 | Wizards | 61% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 41% | 95 | 106 |
| 27 | Pistons | 59% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 48% | 91 | 96 |
| 11 | Bulls | 52% | 92 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Magic | 71% | 107 | 108 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 29% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Nuggets | 87% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 19% | 86 | 89 | |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 81% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 39% | 94 | 70 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 61% | 97 | 89 |
Friday, January 14, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 42% | 92 | 94 |
| 19 | 76ers | 58% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 54% | 95 | 99 |
| 21 | Pacers | 46% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 38% | 101 | 101 |
| 23 | Raptors | 62% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 25% | 85 | 94 |
| 5 | Celtics | 75% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 22% | 98 | 93 |
| 10 | Knicks | 78% | 108 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 25% | 91 | 89 |
| 2 | Spurs | 75% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 18% | 92 | 99 |
| 11 | Jazz | 82% | 105 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 99 | 111 |
| 13 | Suns | 51% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 44% | 102 | 112 |
| 20 | Warriors | 56% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 12% | 87 | 88 | |
| 1 | Lakers | 88% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 47% | 96 | 110 | |
| 15 | Rockets | 53% | 97 | 105 |
Thursday, January 13, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 55% | 102 | 102 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 45% | 100 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 49% | 99 | 124 |
| 9 | Thunder | 51% | 100 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 46% | 102 | 97 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 54% | 103 | 109 |
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 16% | 89 | 95 |
| 7 | Celtics | 84% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 59% | 98 | 107 |
| 27 | Pistons | 41% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 96 | 91 |
| 22 | Bucks | 36% | 91 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 54% | 96 | 89 |
| 13 | Hornets | 46% | 95 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 49% | 103 | 118 |
| 16 | Rockets | 51% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 27% | 94 | 109 | |
| 14 | Suns | 73% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 40% | 100 | 125 |
| 12 | Jazz | 60% | 103 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 61% | 103 | 115 |
| 20 | Warriors | 39% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 73% | 101 | 105 |
| 19 | Clippers | 27% | 93 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 58% | 104 | 104 |
| 23 | Raptors | 42% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 53% | 95 | 89 |
| 21 | Pacers | 47% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 63% | 92 | 91 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 37% | 87 | 96 |
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 13% | 91 | 57 |
| 2 | Lakers | 87% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Knicks | 37% | 98 | 100 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 38% | 104 | 98 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 62% | 108 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 106 | 107 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 29% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 38% | 95 | 133 |
| 26 | Wizards | 62% | 100 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 43% | 96 | 111 |
| 18 | 76ers | 57% | 99 | 103 |
Monday, January 10, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 62% | 95 | 82 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 38% | 91 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 30% | 93 | 108 |
| 7 | Celtics | 70% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 25% | 88 | 82 |
| 10 | Bulls | 75% | 97 | 95 |
Sunday, January 9, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 27% | 99 | 87 |
| 3 | Lakers | 73% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 60% | 95 | 107 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 92 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 38% | 98 | 96 | |
| 5 | Nuggets | 62% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 23% | 97 | 100 |
| 9 | Suns | 77% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 16% | 97 | 91 |
| 2 | Spurs | 84% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 43% | 102 | 91 |
| 19 | Clippers | 57% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 37% | 100 | 112 |
| 23 | Raptors | 63% | 105 | 118 |
Saturday, January 8, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 48% | 92 | 89 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 52% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 30% | 93 | 93 |
| 12 | Hawks | 70% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 58% | 89 | 115 |
| 30 | Nets | 42% | 87 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 48% | 97 | 109 |
| 26 | Pistons | 52% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 34% | 95 | 100 |
| 7 | Thunder | 66% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 45% | 95 | 117 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 55% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 45% | 99 | 103 |
| 17 | Rockets | 55% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 43% | 90 | 79 |
| 10 | Bulls | 57% | 92 | 90 |
Friday, January 7, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 58% | 95 | 99 |
| 21 | 76ers | 42% | 93 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 65% | 101 | 90 |
| 18 | Pacers | 35% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 40% | 92 | 77 | |
| 25 | Wizards | 60% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 24% | 94 | 102 |
| 7 | Celtics | 76% | 103 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 26% | 97 | 95 |
| 4 | Magic | 74% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 43% | 94 | 99 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 57% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 75% | 95 | 101 |
| 22 | Bucks | 25% | 86 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 38% | 105 | 121 |
| 5 | Suns | 62% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 34% | 99 | 98 |
| 19 | Warriors | 66% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 30% | 91 | 97 | |
| 3 | Lakers | 70% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 102 | 108 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 38% | 97 | 98 |
Thursday, January 6, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 70% | 105 | 102 |
| 30 | Kings | 30% | 98 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 43% | 94 | 99 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 57% | 96 | 95 |
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 65% | 93 | 94 |
| 28 | Nets | 35% | 88 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 20% | 89 | 87 |
| 4 | Magic | 80% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 38% | 95 | 97 |
| 22 | 76ers | 62% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 47% | 95 | 103 |
| 8 | Celtics | 53% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 39% | 97 | 108 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 61% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 33% | 94 | 110 |
| 14 | Hornets | 67% | 100 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 97 | 103 |
| 17 | Rockets | 54% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 39% | 95 | 110 |
| 15 | Jazz | 61% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 45% | 101 | 99 |
| 6 | Suns | 55% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 61% | 105 | 93 |
| 20 | Clippers | 39% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 41% | 101 | 120 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 59% | 104 | 105 |