Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, November 14, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 67% | 111 | 109 |
 | 27 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Raptors | 28% | 109 | 129 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Mavericks | 37% | 104 | 91 |
Monday, November 13, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Knicks | 42% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Bucks | 57% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Pelicans | 75% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Lakers | 55% | 116 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 53% | 109 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Magic | 20% | 108 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, November 12, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 49% | 106 | 94 |
| 17 | Celtics | 51% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 48% | 106 | 103 |
 | 19 | Pistons | 52% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 60% | 114 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 18% | 101 | 99 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 82% | 114 | 112 |
Saturday, November 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 18% | 105 | 94 |
| 4 | Wizards | 82% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 33% | 107 | 103 |
| 7 | Pelicans | 67% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 32% | 104 | 91 |
| 23 | Knicks | 68% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 30% | 104 | 96 |
| 2 | Rockets | 70% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 59% | 114 | 111 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 41% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 31% | 107 | 90 |
| 8 | Bucks | 69% | 114 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 18% | 109 | 114 |
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 121 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bulls | 24% | 96 | 94 |
| 11 | Spurs | 76% | 106 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 32% | 110 | 107 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 68% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 75% | 123 | 110 |
| 30 | Suns | 25% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 27% | 103 | 106 |
| 16 | Jazz | 73% | 112 | 114 |
Friday, November 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 29% | 105 | 104 |
| 19 | Pistons | 71% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Hornets | 37% | 103 | 87 |
| 13 | Celtics | 63% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 49% | 106 | 105 |
| 25 | Bulls | 51% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 45% | 102 | 84 |
| 17 | Jazz | 55% | 104 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 63% | 119 | 128 |
| 30 | Suns | 37% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 40% | 104 | 94 |
| 9 | Spurs | 60% | 108 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 37% | 106 | 111 |
| 3 | Thunder | 63% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 30% | 110 | 101 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 117 | 97 |
Thursday, November 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 22% | 108 | 95 |
| 6 | Wizards | 78% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 42% | 109 | 118 |
| 7 | Raptors | 58% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 35% | 112 | 113 |
| 2 | Rockets | 65% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 73% | 111 | 108 |
| 30 | Kings | 27% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 56% | 112 | 94 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 44% | 110 | 102 |
Wednesday, November 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 34% | 110 | 99 |
| 22 | Magic | 66% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 33% | 108 | 97 |
| 19 | Pistons | 67% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 26% | 103 | 96 |
| 11 | Celtics | 74% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 68% | 115 | 126 |
| 29 | Suns | 32% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 24% | 110 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 76% | 120 | 125 |
Tuesday, November 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 27% | 106 | 113 |
| 5 | Wizards | 73% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pelicans | 55% | 112 | 117 |
| 21 | Pacers | 45% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 40% | 111 | 119 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 27% | 100 | 114 |
| 8 | Raptors | 73% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 48% | 109 | 113 |
| 22 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 48% | 106 | 107 |
| 12 | Spurs | 52% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 43% | 104 | 104 |
| 14 | Jazz | 57% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 25% | 112 | 104 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 75% | 122 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 79% | 111 | 86 |
| 30 | Kings | 21% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 48% | 105 | 98 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 106 | 97 |
Monday, November 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 68% | 108 | 110 |
| 26 | Hawks | 32% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 54% | 120 | 98 |
| 29 | Suns | 46% | 119 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 14% | 105 | 80 |
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 120 | 97 |
Sunday, November 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 21% | 109 | 117 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 79% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 36% | 106 | 104 |
| 4 | Clippers | 64% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 38% | 110 | 107 |
| 6 | Raptors | 62% | 115 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 57% | 109 | 104 |
| 23 | Magic | 43% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 36% | 101 | 110 |
| 3 | Rockets | 64% | 106 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 23% | 105 | 95 |
| 12 | Spurs | 77% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 48% | 112 | 101 |
| 22 | Knicks | 52% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 41% | 111 | 94 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 59% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 55% | 109 | 99 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 59% | 109 | 102 |
| 27 | Lakers | 41% | 106 | 107 |
Saturday, November 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 35% | 103 | 113 |
| 4 | Clippers | 65% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 25% | 99 | 99 |
| 20 | Pistons | 75% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pelicans | 62% | 106 | 96 |
| 25 | Bulls | 38% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 25% | 107 | 99 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 75% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 75% | 121 | 127 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 25% | 111 | 108 |
Friday, November 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 44% | 107 | 96 |
| 21 | Pistons | 56% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 32% | 104 | 105 |
| 20 | Magic | 68% | 110 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 35% | 109 | 110 |
| 11 | 76ers | 65% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 44% | 114 | 130 |
| 10 | Wizards | 56% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 72% | 114 | 119 |
| 28 | Hawks | 28% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 34% | 112 | 107 |
| 23 | Knicks | 66% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 44% | 103 | 101 |
| 13 | Spurs | 56% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pelicans | 60% | 111 | 99 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 40% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 40% | 110 | 94 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 60% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 42% | 101 | 109 |
| 5 | Jazz | 58% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 34% | 102 | 101 |
| 3 | Thunder | 66% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 49% | 115 | 112 |
| 27 | Lakers | 51% | 116 | 124 |
Thursday, November 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 72% | 113 | 112 |
| 14 | Spurs | 28% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 33% | 107 | 110 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 113 | 113 |
Wednesday, November 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 23% | 109 | 124 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 77% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 26% | 104 | 109 |
| 13 | 76ers | 74% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 20% | 110 | 122 |
| 17 | Wizards | 80% | 122 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 37% | 104 | 121 |
| 18 | Hornets | 63% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 15% | 95 | 86 |
| 11 | Celtics | 85% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 28% | 99 | 91 |
| 14 | Heat | 72% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 119 |
| 22 | Knicks | 41% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 36% | 106 | 101 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 64% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 43% | 114 | 104 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 57% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 51% | 114 | 111 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 49% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 99 | 103 |
| 7 | Jazz | 60% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 25% | 105 | 98 |
| 2 | Clippers | 75% | 115 | 119 |