Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, May 31, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23707271;}%20.st1{fill:%2312173F;}%20.st2{fill:%235D76A9;}%20.st3{fill:%23FFBB22;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M328.9,129.2c3.7-7,5.4-13.9,5.4-20.6c0-15.1-8.5-28.8-20.4-36.9c-16.6-11.2-41.4-12.9-58.9,8.2%20c-25.6-3.5-47.1,3.5-55.3,7c-8.2-3.3-29.7-10.4-55.3-7c-17.6-21-42.5-19.4-59-8.2c-11.9,8.1-20.4,21.7-20.4,36.9%20c0,6.7,1.7,13.6,5.4,20.6c-13.2,19.1-22.5,41.8-22.5,64.9c0,27.8,11.9,42.2,16.4,48.4c0,0,1.9-1.9,3.6-3.6%20c12.6,32,34.2,49.3,60.2,65c0,0,0.6-3.1,1-6c28,24.3,41.3,18.3,70.5,51.2c29-32.9,42.8-27.1,70.5-51.2c0.5,2.9,1,6,1,6%20c11.6-7,44.3-24.6,60.2-65c1.6,1.6,3.6,3.6,3.6,3.6c2.8-3.8,16.4-19,16.4-48.4C351.4,171.1,342.3,148.3,328.9,129.2'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M320.9,129.6c26.8-41-33.9-83.7-63.2-42.4c-29.6-5.2-54.7,5.5-58,7.1c-3.3-1.5-28.4-12.4-58-7.1%20c-29.3-41.3-90,1.4-63.2,42.4C48,171.4,51,212.7,65.2,232.1l5.8-5.8c0,0,8.3,40.3,52.2,66.8l1.6-8.7c27,28.9,51.7,28.2,74.9,54.6%20c23.2-26.4,47.9-25.7,74.9-54.6l1.6,8.7c43.9-26.5,52.2-66.8,52.2-66.8l5.8,5.8C348.4,212.6,351.4,171.4,320.9,129.6'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M200,283c0,0-21,0.3-24.2,2.3c0,0-3.6,6.3,24.2,6.2c26.5-0.1,22.6-5,22.8-5.6C222.6,285.7,213.8,283,200,283'%20/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M181.7,258.5c0,0,3.2-9.5,6.8-6.5c4.9,4.2,11.2,12.7,11.2,13.5v11.3l-7.7,0.4c-4.4,0.1-18.7,3.5-18.7,3.5%20c-19.6-48.5-8.8-85.1-3.5-98.3c-19.4,4.2-22.6-19-22.6-19c2-0.4,5,0.5,8.4,2.1c5.1,2.5,11.3,6.7,16.2,10.5l0,0%20c1.4,1.1,2.8,2.2,3.9,3.1c13.2,11.1,23.9,8.9,23.9,8.9v47.4C199.7,235.4,161.2,232.5,181.7,258.5'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M217.8,258.5c24.5-24.9-15.5-23.4-18-23C203.9,235.7,234.9,235.9,217.8,258.5'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M234.1,183.3c22.1,59.4-5.9,97.6-6.1,97.8c17.3-45.4,6.2-83.2-1.4-97.3c-3.9,0.4-8.6,0.2-8.6,0.2%20s5.9-3.6,9.6-7c0.3-0.3,0.6-0.5,0.9-0.8c3.1-2.8,9.1-7.7,16.5-10.6l0,0c2.7-1,5.5-1.8,8.5-2.1C253.5,163.4,251.4,183.1,234.1,183.3%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M269,106.4c0,0,9-22.5,36.6-17c0,0-25.3-16.7-42.9,13.4c0,0-25.2-11.8-62.9,4.5c0,0-35.4-12.5-62.3-5.4%20c0,0-15.7-27.2-37.8-16S89,123,92.8,129.7c0,0-36.7,37.3-22.9,83.4l7.3-9.2c0,0,10.5,50.3,37.7,66.1l1.6-12.4%20c0,0,28.4,34.2,61.7,48.8c3.1,1.5,20.9,10.3,21.3,14.6v-23.9c0,0-23.1,1.9-29.2-8.8c-4.2-7.2-30.8-54.7-17.6-104.4%20c0,0-12.8-1.9-15.2-23.5c0,0-9.5-4.7-21.4-3.7c0,0,21.2-6.7,41,1c19.9,7.7,25.1,27.2,38.7,18.6l3.7-55.1l4.2,55.3%20c13.4,8.7,18.8-11,38.7-18.6c19.9-7.7,41-1,41-1s-8.5-6-22.1-8.7c-11.3-2.3-28.1,5-28.1,5s2.3-15.6,9.9-24%20C249.7,122,264.5,120.4,269,106.4z%20M97.6,125.5c-0.8-7.5,8.7-15,8.7-15c-3.9-4-10.8-0.6-10.8-0.6c6.2-12.1,20.1-6.2,20.1-6.2%20c-5.2-6.5-16.4-6-16.4-6C113,84,129.7,105,129.7,105C114.8,108.3,97.6,125.5,97.6,125.5z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M171.9,176c-2.1-0.7-5.6,1.5-7.6,5.3c-6.6-1.9-8.9-9-8.6-15.8l0,0C160.8,168,166.9,172.2,171.9,176'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M236.6,181.4c-2.1-4-5.8-6.3-7.9-5.2c3.1-2.8,9.1-7.7,16.5-10.6l0,0C245.4,172.3,243,179.4,236.6,181.4'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 13 | Grizzlies | 40% | 110 | 113 |
Sunday, May 30, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Knicks | 32% | 103 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Lakers | 65% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Nets | 62% | 115 | 141 |
 | 16 | Celtics | 38% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Mavericks | 53% | 112 | 81 |
Saturday, May 29, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Bucks | 49% | 109 | 120 |
 | 14 | Heat | 51% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 6 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 58% | 114 | 132 |
| 18 | Wizards | 42% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 59% | 112 | 121 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 41% | 109 | 111 |
Friday, May 28, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 33% | 104 | 94 |
| 11 | Hawks | 67% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 55% | 114 | 119 |
| 15 | Celtics | 45% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 45% | 110 | 118 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 55% | 112 | 108 |
Thursday, May 27, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 51% | 110 | 113 |
| 13 | Heat | 49% | 109 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 38% | 104 | 95 |
| 3 | Lakers | 62% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 37% | 111 | 120 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 116 | 115 |
Wednesday, May 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 27% | 108 | 95 |
| 8 | 76ers | 73% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 47% | 107 | 92 |
| 16 | Knicks | 53% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 25% | 106 | 129 |
| 1 | Jazz | 75% | 115 | 141 |
Tuesday, May 25, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 26% | 110 | 108 |
| 1 | Nets | 74% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 40% | 105 | 109 |
| 5 | Suns | 60% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 31% | 107 | 127 |
| 3 | Clippers | 69% | 114 | 121 |
Monday, May 24, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 31% | 106 | 98 |
| 5 | Bucks | 69% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 113 | 109 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 58% | 115 | 128 |
Sunday, May 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 30% | 108 | 118 |
| 10 | 76ers | 70% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 51% | 106 | 90 |
| 14 | Suns | 49% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 39% | 103 | 107 |
| 15 | Knicks | 61% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 29% | 105 | 112 |
| 4 | Jazz | 71% | 113 | 109 |
Saturday, May 22, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 32% | 106 | 107 |
| 9 | Bucks | 68% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 35% | 107 | 113 |
| 4 | Clippers | 65% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 32% | 110 | 93 |
| 5 | Nets | 68% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 112 | 123 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 51% | 113 | 109 |
Friday, May 21, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 39% | 112 | 117 |
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Thursday, May 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Wizards | 54% | 119 | 142 |
Wednesday, May 19, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Grizzlies | 69% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 38% | 107 | 100 |
| 3 | Lakers | 62% | 112 | 103 |
Tuesday, May 18, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Hornets | 44% | 114 | 117 |
| 17 | Pacers | 56% | 116 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 42% | 114 | 100 |
| 14 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 118 |