Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 12, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Knicks | 52% | 115 | 96 |
 | 21 | Hornets | 48% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bucks | 38% | 105 | 113 |
 | 9 | Celtics | 62% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Pistons | 34% | 102 | 78 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Nets | 68% | 114 | 120 |
 | 26 | Pelicans | 32% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Thunder | 43% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Mavericks | 56% | 115 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | 31% | 107 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 51% | 115 | 107 |
 | 25 | Lakers | 49% | 114 | 83 |
Thursday, November 11, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Raptors | 29% | 103 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 30% | 106 | 109 |
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Wednesday, November 10, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Cavaliers | 44% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 75% | 114 | 123 |
 | 30 | Magic | 25% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 41% | 105 | 88 |
| 11 | Celtics | 59% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 42% | 110 | 112 |
| 13 | Knicks | 58% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 45% | 109 | 112 |
| 27 | Rockets | 55% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 41% | 109 | 107 |
| 7 | Bulls | 59% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 41% | 112 | 118 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 59% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 39% | 105 | 108 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 61% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 53% | 115 | 117 |
| 24 | Spurs | 47% | 114 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 51% | 107 | 98 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 49% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 114 | 109 |
| 6 | Suns | 63% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 110 |
| 2 | Warriors | 72% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 66% | 113 | 117 |
| 26 | Lakers | 34% | 107 | 120 |
Tuesday, November 9, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 46% | 108 | 118 |
| 8 | 76ers | 54% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 27% | 109 | 98 |
| 1 | Jazz | 73% | 118 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 113 | 109 |
| 2 | Clippers | 63% | 117 | 117 |
Monday, November 8, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 33% | 106 | 103 |
| 8 | 76ers | 67% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 46% | 110 | 95 |
| 7 | Bulls | 54% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 44% | 111 | 118 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 56% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 29% | 107 | 92 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 71% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 48% | 107 | 96 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 52% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 43% | 112 | 113 |
| 4 | Warriors | 57% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 56% | 117 | 109 |
| 18 | Kings | 44% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 45% | 115 | 123 |
| 26 | Lakers | 55% | 116 | 126 |
Sunday, November 7, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 56% | 111 | 116 |
| 14 | Raptors | 44% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 34% | 104 | 126 |
| 15 | Knicks | 66% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 76% | 114 | 100 |
| 30 | Magic | 24% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 45% | 108 | 94 |
| 16 | Wizards | 55% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 45% | 112 | 94 |
| 18 | Kings | 55% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 59% | 111 | 94 |
| 29 | Thunder | 41% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 15% | 104 | 107 |
| 4 | Warriors | 85% | 119 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 28% | 110 | 106 |
| 3 | Clippers | 72% | 118 | 120 |
Saturday, November 6, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 22% | 107 | 94 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 78% | 118 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 54% | 110 | 115 |
| 8 | Heat | 46% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 53% | 109 | 114 |
| 11 | Bulls | 47% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 46% | 109 | 104 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 54% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 42% | 112 | 117 |
| 7 | Suns | 58% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 33% | 113 | 90 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 119 | 105 |
Friday, November 5, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 76% | 116 | 96 |
| 27 | Pistons | 24% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 55% | 111 | 102 |
| 30 | Magic | 45% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 42% | 109 | 87 |
| 15 | Wizards | 58% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 36% | 103 | 102 |
| 17 | Raptors | 64% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 47% | 108 | 113 |
| 16 | Bucks | 53% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 58% | 114 | 104 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 42% | 111 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 27% | 106 | 85 |
| 6 | Warriors | 73% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 36% | 112 | 106 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 48% | 116 | 110 |
| 22 | Kings | 52% | 117 | 140 |
Thursday, November 4, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 76ers | 72% | 110 | 109 |
| 27 | Pistons | 28% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 55% | 112 | 116 |
| 10 | Hawks | 45% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 33% | 106 | 95 |
| 5 | Heat | 67% | 113 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 21% | 108 | 111 |
| 9 | Suns | 79% | 120 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 31% | 106 | 107 |
| 25 | Lakers | 69% | 113 | 104 |
Wednesday, November 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 116 | 104 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 41% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 51% | 110 | 98 |
| 18 | Pacers | 49% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 67% | 114 | 92 |
| 27 | Magic | 33% | 107 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 36% | 104 | 98 |
| 2 | 76ers | 64% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 45% | 107 | 109 |
| 14 | Wizards | 55% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 39% | 111 | 108 |
| 4 | Nets | 61% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 57% | 112 | 106 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 43% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 56% | 113 | 126 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 44% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 54% | 114 | 109 |
| 26 | Spurs | 46% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 38% | 112 | 92 |
| 12 | Warriors | 62% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 42% | 113 | 99 |
| 22 | Kings | 58% | 116 | 112 |
Tuesday, November 2, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 62% | 110 | 117 |
| 27 | Pistons | 38% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 54% | 110 | 125 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 46% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 22% | 109 | 113 |
| 1 | Jazz | 78% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 27% | 106 | 100 |
| 3 | Suns | 73% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 26% | 108 | 117 |
| 17 | Lakers | 74% | 117 | 119 |
Monday, November 1, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 41% | 110 | 113 |
| 19 | Hornets | 59% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Spurs | 44% | 108 | 118 |
| 23 | Pacers | 56% | 110 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 111 | 103 |
| 9 | 76ers | 63% | 116 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 39% | 110 | 111 |
| 8 | Hawks | 61% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 43% | 108 | 128 |
| 10 | Celtics | 57% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 39% | 106 | 113 |
| 7 | Knicks | 61% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 112 | 97 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 43% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 26% | 107 | 115 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 74% | 116 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 19% | 103 | 94 |
| 5 | Clippers | 81% | 115 | 99 |
Sunday, October 31, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 40% | 112 | 99 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 60% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 118 | 113 |
| 23 | Hornets | 46% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 57% | 115 | 107 |
| 14 | Bucks | 43% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 16% | 104 | 91 |
| 2 | Nets | 84% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 29% | 111 | 85 |
| 19 | Lakers | 71% | 119 | 95 |
Saturday, October 30, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 48% | 113 | 112 |
| 16 | Wizards | 52% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 34% | 104 | 103 |
| 27 | Pistons | 66% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 64% | 110 | 123 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 36% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 48% | 108 | 97 |
| 25 | Pacers | 52% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 39% | 108 | 94 |
| 3 | 76ers | 61% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 55% | 111 | 99 |
| 10 | Bulls | 45% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 48% | 110 | 129 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 52% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 33% | 109 | 102 |
| 14 | Bucks | 67% | 115 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 20% | 104 | 82 |
| 8 | Warriors | 80% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 43% | 113 | 93 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 57% | 115 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 24% | 106 | 92 |
| 4 | Suns | 76% | 116 | 101 |