Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, May 20, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Mavericks | 33% | 101 | 126 |
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Thursday, May 19, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 48% | 101 | 127 |
 | 6 | Heat | 52% | 102 | 102 |
Wednesday, May 18, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 34% | 102 | 87 |
| 5 | Warriors | 66% | 108 | 112 |
Tuesday, May 17, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 48% | 102 | 107 |
| 6 | Heat | 52% | 103 | 118 |
Sunday, May 15, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Bucks | 32% | 102 | 81 |
| 1 | Celtics | 68% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 32% | 104 | 123 |
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Friday, May 13, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 46% | 105 | 108 |
| 3 | Bucks | 54% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | Warriors | 60% | 108 | 110 |
Thursday, May 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 40% | 102 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 51% | 108 | 86 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 49% | 107 | 113 |
Wednesday, May 11, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 32% | 102 | 110 |
| 1 | Celtics | 68% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 49% | 106 | 95 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 51% | 107 | 134 |
Tuesday, May 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 44% | 103 | 85 |
| 8 | Heat | 56% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 30% | 104 | 80 |
| 2 | Suns | 70% | 112 | 110 |
Monday, May 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 48% | 105 | 116 |
| 5 | Bucks | 52% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 31% | 103 | 98 |
| 3 | Warriors | 69% | 110 | 101 |
Sunday, May 8, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 38% | 102 | 108 |
| 6 | 76ers | 62% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 52% | 109 | 101 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 48% | 108 | 111 |
Saturday, May 7, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 51% | 107 | 101 |
| 7 | Bucks | 49% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 35% | 107 | 112 |
| 3 | Warriors | 65% | 112 | 142 |
Friday, May 6, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 39% | 103 | 79 |
| 7 | 76ers | 61% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 52% | 109 | 94 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 48% | 108 | 103 |
Wednesday, May 4, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 33% | 100 | 103 |
| 8 | Heat | 67% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 29% | 105 | 109 |
| 2 | Suns | 71% | 113 | 129 |
Tuesday, May 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 32% | 103 | 86 |
| 1 | Celtics | 68% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 45% | 108 | 101 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 55% | 110 | 106 |
Monday, May 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 37% | 103 | 92 |
| 8 | Heat | 63% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 30% | 104 | 114 |
| 3 | Suns | 70% | 111 | 121 |
Sunday, May 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 29% | 102 | 101 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 44% | 108 | 117 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 56% | 110 | 116 |
Friday, April 29, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 48% | 112 | 114 |
 | 10 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 106 |
Thursday, April 28, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 49% | 105 | 132 |
 | 12 | Raptors | 51% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 54% | 109 | 115 |
 | 15 | Pelicans | 46% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 36% | 105 | 98 |
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Wednesday, April 27, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bulls | 21% | 103 | 100 |
| 7 | Bucks | 79% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Warriors | 74% | 115 | 102 |
Tuesday, April 26, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Heat | 58% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 28% | 104 | 97 |
| 3 | Suns | 72% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 35% | 109 | 109 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 65% | 115 | 111 |
Monday, April 25, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 47% | 109 | 116 |
 | 4 | Nets | 53% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 30% | 101 | 103 |
| 5 | 76ers | 70% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 49% | 108 | 77 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 51% | 109 | 102 |
Sunday, April 24, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 43% | 107 | 110 |
| 11 | Hawks | 57% | 109 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 56% | 110 | 119 |
| 20 | Bulls | 44% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 56% | 110 | 103 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 44% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 53% | 110 | 121 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 47% | 109 | 126 |
Saturday, April 23, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 47% | 108 | 109 |
| 5 | Nets | 53% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 49% | 107 | 102 |
| 10 | Raptors | 51% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 48% | 112 | 118 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 30% | 104 | 99 |
| 7 | Jazz | 70% | 111 | 100 |
Friday, April 22, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 46% | 108 | 110 |
| 14 | Hawks | 54% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 55% | 110 | 111 |
| 17 | Bulls | 45% | 109 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 56% | 110 | 114 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 44% | 108 | 111 |
Thursday, April 21, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 49% | 112 | 104 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 51% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 53% | 110 | 118 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 47% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 31% | 104 | 126 |
| 5 | Jazz | 69% | 112 | 118 |
Wednesday, April 20, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 28% | 104 | 107 |
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 27% | 106 | 114 |
| 8 | Bucks | 73% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 49% | 107 | 104 |
| 10 | Raptors | 51% | 108 | 101 |
Tuesday, April 19, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 35% | 106 | 105 |
| 9 | Heat | 65% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 24% | 104 | 125 |
| 2 | Suns | 76% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 34% | 110 | 96 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 66% | 116 | 124 |
Monday, April 18, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 31% | 103 | 97 |
| 4 | 76ers | 69% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 31% | 105 | 106 |
| 7 | Warriors | 69% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 56% | 107 | 104 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 44% | 105 | 110 |
Sunday, April 17, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 41% | 107 | 91 |
| 11 | Heat | 59% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 34% | 105 | 114 |
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 25% | 105 | 86 |
| 7 | Bucks | 75% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 37% | 105 | 99 |
| 13 | Suns | 63% | 110 | 110 |
Saturday, April 16, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 37% | 102 | 111 |
| 5 | 76ers | 63% | 107 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 37% | 109 | 130 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 63% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 34% | 105 | 107 |
| 4 | Warriors | 66% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 55% | 106 | 99 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 45% | 105 | 93 |
Friday, April 15, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 49% | 112 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 45% | 110 | 105 |
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Wednesday, April 13, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Hornets | 39% | 115 | 103 |
| 8 | Hawks | 61% | 119 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Pelicans | 61% | 114 | 113 |
Tuesday, April 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 31% | 109 | 108 |
| 3 | Nets | 69% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 47% | 112 | 104 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 53% | 113 | 109 |
Sunday, April 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Nets | 84% | 125 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Hornets | 73% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 54% | 112 | 115 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 46% | 111 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 25% | 106 | 120 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 75% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Lakers | 43% | 109 | 146 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 57% | 112 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 73% | 121 | 130 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Thunder | 21% | 100 | 88 |
| 12 | Clippers | 79% | 112 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 60% | 107 | 139 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 40% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 28% | 106 | 124 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 72% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 59% | 110 | 128 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 41% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 46% | 104 | 94 |
 | 13 | Knicks | 54% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 77% | 110 | 111 |
 | 29 | Magic | 23% | 100 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 20% | 101 | 106 |
| 4 | 76ers | 80% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Suns | 88% | 120 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 87% | 117 | 111 |
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Saturday, April 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 21% | 105 | 98 |
| 8 | Clippers | 79% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 29% | 107 | 114 |
| 3 | Grizzlies | 71% | 115 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 22% | 108 | 120 |
| 4 | 76ers | 78% | 120 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 76% | 112 | 100 |
| 24 | Spurs | 24% | 102 | 94 |