Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 8, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Pistons | 35% | 93 | 92 |
 | 14 | Celtics | 65% | 98 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Magic | 76% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Raptors | 34% | 85 | 83 |
 | 19 | Heat | 66% | 90 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Bulls | 38% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Bucks | 71% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 14% | 89 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 98 | 76 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 16% | 93 | 87 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 34% | 93 | 73 | |
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Thursday, March 7, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 54% | 94 | 95 |
| 23 | Wizards | 46% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 66% | 96 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 25% | 90 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 28% | 97 | 103 |
 | 4 | Mavericks | 72% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 45% | 96 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 26% | 91 | 89 | |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 74% | 99 | 92 | |
Wednesday, March 6, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 38% | 100 | 110 |
| 14 | Celtics | 62% | 104 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 25% | 90 | 76 |
| 13 | 76ers | 75% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 32% | 96 | 86 |
| 6 | Bucks | 68% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Lakers | 41% | 96 | 84 |
| 8 | Jazz | 59% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 63% | 89 | 92 |
| 28 | Bulls | 37% | 85 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 51% | 95 | 87 | |
| 19 | Suns | 49% | 94 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 29% | 96 | 78 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 103 | 85 |
Tuesday, March 5, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 27% | 89 | 90 |
| 23 | Wizards | 73% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Cavaliers | 76% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 62% | 101 | 89 |
| 26 | Knicks | 38% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 31% | 84 | 93 |
| 13 | Pistons | 69% | 90 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 49% | 99 | 98 |
| 16 | Pacers | 51% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 25% | 99 | 77 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 75% | 107 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 46% | 93 | 109 |
| 21 | Rockets | 54% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 19% | 91 | 88 |
| 10 | Spurs | 81% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 39% | 96 | 83 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 61% | 100 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 29% | 94 | 92 | |
| 2 | Lakers | 71% | 101 | 101 |
Monday, March 4, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 39% | 90 | 100 |
| 12 | 76ers | 61% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 22% | 90 | 76 |
| 24 | Hawks | 78% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 12% | 89 | 82 |
| 9 | Jazz | 88% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 41% | 99 | 95 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 101 | 107 |
Sunday, March 3, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 64% | 96 | 99 |
| 26 | Knicks | 36% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 16% | 87 | 84 |
| 10 | Nets | 84% | 100 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 58% | 100 | 102 |
| 23 | Wizards | 42% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 49% | 93 | 83 |
| 19 | Hornets | 51% | 94 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 75% | 99 | 96 | |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 25% | 91 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 45% | 89 | 96 |
| 17 | Raptors | 55% | 90 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 22% | 95 | 97 |
| 2 | Kings | 78% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 39% | 98 | 101 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 61% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 60% | 104 | 116 |
| 27 | Nuggets | 40% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 12% | 92 | 79 |
| 1 | Lakers | 88% | 106 | 95 |
Saturday, March 2, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 49% | 99 | 81 |
| 23 | Hawks | 51% | 100 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 97 | 104 |
| 6 | Bucks | 64% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 26% | 92 | 109 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 74% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 41% | 97 | 116 |
| 12 | Jazz | 59% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 35% | 92 | 104 |
| 18 | Suns | 65% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 24% | 94 | 95 |
| 20 | Clippers | 76% | 103 | 109 |
Friday, March 1, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 41% | 88 | 102 | |
| 14 | 76ers | 59% | 91 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 95 | 91 |
| 17 | Raptors | 48% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 30% | 92 | 100 | |
| 10 | Celtics | 70% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 68% | 98 | 87 | |
| 26 | Knicks | 32% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 44% | 96 | 102 |
| 11 | Pistons | 56% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 29% | 94 | 85 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 71% | 101 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 49% | 94 | 81 |
| 27 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 31% | 92 | 83 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 69% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 15% | 93 | 84 |
| 1 | Lakers | 85% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 72% | 105 | 116 |
| 25 | Warriors | 28% | 98 | 108 |
Thursday, February 28, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 51% | 98 | 107 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 49% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 37% | 86 | 86 |
| 22 | Heat | 63% | 91 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 21% | 89 | 70 |
| 16 | Jazz | 79% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 45% | 94 | 100 |
| 18 | Suns | 55% | 95 | 107 |
Wednesday, February 27, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 35% | 96 | 95 |
| 11 | Celtics | 65% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 34% | 82 | 72 |
| 15 | 76ers | 66% | 87 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 97 | 105 |
| 23 | Wizards | 44% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 57% | 94 | 85 | |
| 21 | Hornets | 43% | 92 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 53% | 97 | 98 | |
| 24 | Hawks | 47% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 14% | 86 | 89 |
| 12 | Pistons | 86% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 42% | 96 | 90 |
| 17 | Raptors | 58% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 41% | 100 | 101 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 59% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 33% | 95 | 93 |
| 26 | Warriors | 67% | 101 | 110 |
Tuesday, February 26, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 48% | 99 | 109 | |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 52% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 51% | 103 | 99 |
| 7 | Bucks | 49% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 65% | 100 | 112 |
| 27 | Bulls | 35% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 10% | 94 | 91 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 90% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 36% | 94 | 94 |
| 19 | Rockets | 64% | 98 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 27% | 89 | 91 |
| 9 | Spurs | 73% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 26% | 96 | 81 |
| 2 | Kings | 74% | 104 | 107 |
Monday, February 25, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 91 | 88 |
| 16 | 76ers | 52% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 59% | 98 | 97 |
| 19 | Hornets | 41% | 95 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 52% | 96 | 90 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 48% | 95 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 56% | 98 | 102 |
| 26 | Warriors | 44% | 97 | 97 |
Sunday, February 24, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 72% | 102 | 107 |
| 25 | Knicks | 28% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 25% | 89 | 93 | |
| 7 | Nets | 75% | 97 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 36% | 94 | 82 |
| 6 | Bucks | 64% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 49% | 93 | 101 | |
| 19 | Raptors | 51% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 35% | 98 | 96 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 65% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 42% | 88 | 80 |
| 21 | Heat | 58% | 91 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 46% | 92 | 83 |
| 18 | Suns | 54% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 56% | 97 | 89 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 44% | 95 | 84 |
Saturday, February 23, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 38% | 93 | 87 |
| 12 | Magic | 62% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 49% | 107 | 97 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 51% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 40% | 88 | 97 |
| 18 | Wizards | 60% | 91 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 44% | 94 | 88 |
| 16 | Pacers | 56% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 42% | 95 | 91 |
| 28 | Bulls | 58% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 52% | 96 | 89 |
| 21 | Rockets | 48% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 40% | 95 | 112 |
| 10 | Spurs | 60% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 13% | 90 | 90 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 87% | 104 | 101 |