Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 55% | 108 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 34% | 113 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bulls | 61% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Timberwolves | 26% | 115 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 46% | 108 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Mavericks | 64% | 118 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Nets | 23% | 106 | 104 |
 | 4 | Lakers | 77% | 117 | 102 |
Monday, March 9, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Hornets | 41% | 111 | 138 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Bucks | 41% | 110 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Raptors | 38% | 109 | 101 |
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Sunday, March 8, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 41% | 108 | 107 |
| 21 | Nets | 59% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Pelicans | 59% | 119 | 120 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 41% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 38% | 111 | 112 |
| 1 | Clippers | 62% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Thunder | 39% | 106 | 105 |
| 9 | Celtics | 61% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 62% | 115 | 131 |
| 16 | Suns | 38% | 111 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Heat | 63% | 120 | 100 |
| 20 | Wizards | 37% | 115 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 30% | 107 | 112 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 70% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 33% | 110 | 126 |
| 6 | Rockets | 67% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 58% | 115 | 129 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 42% | 112 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pistons | 45% | 109 | 84 |
| 29 | Knicks | 55% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 64% | 111 | 118 |
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Saturday, March 7, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 75% | 117 | 99 |
| 29 | Hornets | 25% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 64% | 113 | 111 |
| 25 | Pistons | 36% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 72% | 117 | 102 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 28% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 34% | 112 | 101 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 66% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Warriors | 32% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 44% | 112 | 123 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 114 | 111 |
Friday, March 6, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 33% | 115 | 112 |
| 22 | Wizards | 67% | 122 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 46% | 111 | 120 |
| 23 | Nets | 54% | 112 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 68% | 113 | 126 |
| 26 | Knicks | 32% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 43% | 108 | 99 |
| 6 | Celtics | 57% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 58% | 107 | 108 |
| 24 | Bulls | 42% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 47% | 113 | 132 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 51% | 116 | 104 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 49% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 24% | 108 | 96 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 76% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 113 | 117 |
| 14 | Suns | 57% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 53% | 112 | 103 |
| 4 | Lakers | 47% | 111 | 113 |
Thursday, March 5, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 76% | 112 | 114 |
| 30 | Hornets | 24% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 49% | 119 | 120 |
| 4 | Rockets | 51% | 120 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 48% | 110 | 125 |
| 17 | Kings | 52% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 72% | 115 | 121 |
| 26 | Warriors | 28% | 106 | 113 |
Wednesday, March 4, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 71% | 112 | 112 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 29% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 59% | 111 | 114 |
| 25 | Pistons | 41% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 25% | 105 | 100 |
| 1 | Bucks | 75% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 29% | 107 | 113 |
| 5 | Heat | 71% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 48% | 110 | 118 |
| 16 | Nets | 52% | 111 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 73% | 114 | 112 |
| 27 | Knicks | 27% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 45% | 112 | 108 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 55% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 29% | 113 | 123 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 71% | 121 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 41% | 117 | 104 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 120 | 125 |
Tuesday, March 3, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 60% | 109 | 104 |
| 29 | Hornets | 40% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 30% | 106 | 129 |
| 8 | Celtics | 70% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 31% | 114 | 139 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 69% | 121 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 60% | 116 | 109 |
| 13 | Thunder | 40% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 15% | 103 | 116 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 85% | 117 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 57% | 113 | 123 |
| 14 | Suns | 43% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 29% | 107 | 107 |
| 7 | Lakers | 71% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 43% | 114 | 126 |
| 16 | Kings | 57% | 117 | 133 |
Monday, March 2, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 76% | 117 | 126 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 24% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 76% | 119 | 123 |
| 27 | Knicks | 24% | 109 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 107 | 130 |
| 15 | Magic | 65% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 53% | 117 | 127 |
| 23 | Hawks | 47% | 116 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 51% | 114 | 89 |
| 4 | Heat | 49% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 65% | 115 | 107 |
| 26 | Bulls | 35% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 55% | 111 | 116 |
| 20 | Spurs | 45% | 109 | 111 |
Sunday, March 1, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 85% | 116 | 93 |
| 30 | Hornets | 15% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 62% | 119 | 111 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 38% | 115 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 23% | 108 | 130 |
| 1 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 49% | 109 | 118 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 51% | 110 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 36% | 107 | 100 |
| 17 | Kings | 64% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 45% | 113 | 122 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 55% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 64% | 118 | 124 |
| 29 | Warriors | 36% | 112 | 110 |
Saturday, February 29, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 51% | 108 | 115 |
| 27 | Knicks | 49% | 107 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 119 | 117 |
| 24 | Hawks | 46% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 27% | 107 | 113 |
| 4 | Heat | 73% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 75% | 115 | 113 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 25% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 71% | 115 | 88 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 29% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 42% | 111 | 111 |
| 3 | Celtics | 58% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 44% | 109 | 113 |
| 19 | Spurs | 56% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 24% | 105 | 115 |
| 14 | Suns | 76% | 115 | 99 |
Friday, February 28, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 37% | 109 | 125 |
| 15 | Magic | 63% | 114 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 53% | 117 | 118 |
| 24 | Hawks | 47% | 116 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 15% | 100 | 99 |
| 10 | Raptors | 85% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 51% | 116 | 118 |
| 11 | Heat | 49% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 44% | 109 | 104 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 56% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 25% | 105 | 86 |
| 1 | Bucks | 75% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 18% | 110 | 104 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 82% | 123 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 28% | 107 | 113 |
| 14 | Suns | 72% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 27% | 112 | 119 |
| 7 | Jazz | 73% | 121 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 35% | 111 | 103 |
| 2 | Clippers | 65% | 117 | 132 |
Thursday, February 27, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 25% | 102 | 106 |
| 16 | 76ers | 75% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 108 | 100 |
| 13 | Pacers | 68% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 28% | 105 | 108 |
| 8 | Thunder | 72% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | 78% | 114 | 116 |
| 29 | Warriors | 22% | 103 | 86 |
Wednesday, February 26, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 56% | 107 | 101 |
| 29 | Hornets | 44% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 77% | 116 | 94 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 23% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 53% | 117 | 106 |
| 19 | Wizards | 47% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 55% | 116 | 130 |
| 23 | Hawks | 45% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 24% | 109 | 129 |
| 12 | Heat | 76% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 24% | 110 | 112 |
| 4 | Rockets | 76% | 120 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 63% | 117 | 109 |
| 18 | Spurs | 37% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 58% | 118 | 102 |
| 15 | Suns | 42% | 115 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 40% | 107 | 114 |
| 7 | Jazz | 60% | 110 | 103 |