Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, May 3, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | |||
 | 8 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Magic | |||
 | 2 | Celtics | |||
Friday, May 2, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Lakers | |||
 | 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 4 | Cavaliers | |||
 | 15 | Heat | |||
Thursday, May 1, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| 15 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | |||
| 16 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 12 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| 3 | Clippers | |||
Wednesday, April 30, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| 10 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| 8 | Lakers | |||
Tuesday, April 29, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | |||
| 11 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | |||
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | |||
| 8 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | |||
| 5 | Nuggets | |||
Monday, April 28, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | |||
| 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
Sunday, April 27, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | |||
| 14 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | |||
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| 16 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | |||
| 12 | Bucks | |||
Saturday, April 26, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 12 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | |||
| 3 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
Friday, April 25, 2025
Wednesday, April 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 27% | 99 | 100 |
| 5 | Celtics | 73% | 109 | 109 |
Updated: Apr 23, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 28% | 106 | 112 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 72% | 115 | 121 |
Updated: Apr 23, 2025 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 46% | 108 | 94 |
| 9 | Rockets | 54% | 109 | 109 |
Updated: Apr 24, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailTuesday, April 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 42% | 115 | 115 |
| 12 | Pacers | 58% | 118 | 123 |
Updated: Apr 22, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 22% | 108 | 99 |
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 119 | 118 |
Updated: Apr 22, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 85 |
| 10 | Lakers | 56% | 111 | 94 |
Updated: Apr 22, 2025 11:55 PM
game detailMonday, April 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 38% | 110 | 100 |
| 8 | Knicks | 62% | 114 | 94 |
Updated: Apr 21, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 43% | 113 | 105 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 102 |
Updated: Apr 22, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailSunday, April 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 23% | 108 | 80 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 119 | 131 |
Updated: Apr 20, 2025 04:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 23% | 104 | 100 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 77% | 115 | 121 |
Updated: Apr 20, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 47% | 109 | 95 |
| 11 | Rockets | 53% | 110 | 85 |
Updated: Apr 21, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail