Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 9, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Celtics | 87% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Raptors | 66% | 113 | 93 |
 | 23 | Bulls | 34% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Magic | 21% | 105 | 101 |
 | 1 | Bucks | 79% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | 54% | 117 | 105 |
 | 24 | Pelicans | 46% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Timberwolves | 37% | 118 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Thunder | 32% | 104 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, December 8, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Nets | 42% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Hornets | 55% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 28% | 105 | 105 |
 | 9 | Heat | 72% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 56% | 110 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 70% | 125 | 135 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 32% | 110 | 110 |
 | 6 | Mavericks | 68% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 45% | 115 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 25% | 111 | 125 |
 | 2 | Lakers | 75% | 120 | 142 |
Saturday, December 7, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 26% | 114 | 84 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 74% | 123 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 70% | 112 | 104 |
 | 30 | Knicks | 30% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 19% | 103 | 94 |
| 14 | 76ers | 81% | 116 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 25% | 116 | 109 |
| 5 | Rockets | 75% | 126 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 27% | 107 | 112 |
| 11 | Jazz | 73% | 115 | 126 |
Friday, December 6, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 59% | 117 | 111 |
| 26 | Hornets | 41% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 67% | 113 | 93 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 33% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 52% | 112 | 101 |
| 17 | Pistons | 48% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 40% | 106 | 95 |
| 9 | Celtics | 60% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 22% | 112 | 103 |
| 7 | Heat | 78% | 123 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 37% | 110 | 100 |
| 24 | Bulls | 63% | 115 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 39% | 111 | 127 |
| 11 | Thunder | 61% | 115 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 43% | 115 | 91 |
| 4 | Bucks | 57% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 45% | 112 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 60% | 117 | 136 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 114 | 113 |
Thursday, December 5, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 63% | 121 | 113 |
| 23 | Wizards | 37% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 78% | 114 | 129 |
| 29 | Knicks | 22% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 39% | 114 | 119 |
| 2 | Raptors | 61% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 40% | 118 | 139 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 60% | 121 | 132 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 47% | 113 | 91 |
| 26 | Hornets | 53% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 66% | 118 | 127 |
| 16 | Pistons | 34% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 54% | 112 | 114 |
| 23 | Magic | 46% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 59% | 118 | 130 |
| 28 | Hawks | 41% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 39% | 106 | 93 |
| 10 | Celtics | 61% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 38% | 112 | 99 |
| 24 | Bulls | 62% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 55% | 110 | 107 |
| 15 | Thunder | 45% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 33% | 115 | 114 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 67% | 122 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 48% | 108 | 121 |
| 12 | Jazz | 52% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 44% | 113 | 116 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 115 | 127 |
Tuesday, December 3, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 63% | 116 | 127 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 37% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 47% | 117 | 127 |
| 24 | Wizards | 53% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 36% | 106 | 121 |
| 2 | Raptors | 64% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 61% | 121 | 118 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 39% | 118 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 62% | 121 | 133 |
| 19 | Spurs | 38% | 117 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 45% | 108 | 105 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 55% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 114 | 97 |
| 1 | Clippers | 75% | 123 | 117 |
Monday, December 2, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 61% | 119 | 109 |
| 26 | Hornets | 39% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 36% | 104 | 94 |
| 6 | 76ers | 64% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 43% | 115 | 79 |
| 28 | Hawks | 57% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 71% | 116 | 117 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 29% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 10% | 105 | 88 |
| 3 | Bucks | 90% | 124 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 41% | 109 | 113 |
| 19 | Kings | 59% | 112 | 106 |
Sunday, December 1, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 56% | 114 | 109 |
| 21 | Nets | 44% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 75% | 113 | 113 |
| 28 | Knicks | 25% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 26% | 114 | 115 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 74% | 123 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 42% | 114 | 114 |
| 3 | Lakers | 58% | 117 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 44% | 114 | 98 |
| 17 | Pistons | 56% | 116 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 46% | 115 | 107 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 54% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 37% | 107 | 96 |
| 22 | Magic | 63% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 42% | 107 | 110 |
| 5 | Raptors | 58% | 110 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 19% | 115 | 125 |
| 1 | Clippers | 81% | 128 | 150 |
Saturday, November 30, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 60% | 111 | 97 |
| 19 | Kings | 40% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 39% | 105 | 116 |
| 10 | 76ers | 61% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 13% | 112 | 111 |
| 3 | Rockets | 87% | 128 | 158 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 15% | 109 | 96 |
| 2 | Bucks | 85% | 124 | 137 |
Friday, November 29, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 63% | 114 | 107 |
| 22 | Nets | 37% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 30% | 110 | 110 |
| 17 | Pistons | 70% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 65% | 110 | 90 |
| 23 | Magic | 35% | 104 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 83% | 124 | 119 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 17% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 72% | 112 | 101 |
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 20% | 108 | 104 |
| 10 | Pacers | 80% | 120 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 24% | 106 | 105 |
| 11 | Heat | 76% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 67% | 116 | 103 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 33% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 42% | 115 | 104 |
| 15 | Thunder | 58% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 63% | 119 | 97 |
| 14 | Spurs | 37% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 61% | 121 | 120 |
| 20 | Suns | 39% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 36% | 114 | 103 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 22% | 114 | 103 |
| 4 | Lakers | 78% | 125 | 125 |
Wednesday, November 27, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 27% | 106 | 110 |
| 9 | Celtics | 73% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 63% | 116 | 101 |
| 28 | Hornets | 37% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 59% | 111 | 116 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 41% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 48% | 108 | 102 |
| 12 | Pacers | 52% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 24% | 105 | 91 |
| 3 | 76ers | 76% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 16% | 102 | 98 |
| 5 | Raptors | 84% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 38% | 115 | 108 |
| 6 | Rockets | 62% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 72% | 121 | 121 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 28% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 13% | 111 | 102 |
| 2 | Bucks | 87% | 126 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 44% | 118 | 113 |
| 14 | Spurs | 56% | 120 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 36% | 120 | 140 |
| 20 | Suns | 64% | 125 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 65% | 120 | 114 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 35% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 49% | 115 | 119 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 52% | 114 | 90 |
| 26 | Warriors | 48% | 113 | 104 |
Tuesday, November 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 49% | 118 | 114 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 51% | 119 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 26% | 114 | 104 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 74% | 123 | 117 |