Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, November 17, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Wizards | 47% | 110 | 87 | |
21 | Hornets | 53% | 111 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pacers | 89 | |||
27 | Pistons | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Celtics | 40% | 108 | 99 | |
12 | Hawks | 60% | 112 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Cavaliers | 99 | |||
5 | Nets | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 33% | 106 | 98 | |
9 | Heat | 67% | 113 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Magic | 104 | |||
18 | Knicks | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Lakers | 25% | 107 | 102 | |
4 | Bucks | 75% | 116 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Kings | 97 | |||
20 | Timberwolves | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Rockets | 47% | 108 | 89 | |
30 | Thunder | 53% | 109 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 98 | |||
8 | Suns | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bulls | 44% | 112 | 107 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 114 | 112 |
Tuesday, November 16, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | 117 | |||
4 | Nets | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 76ers | 32% | 108 | 85 | |
2 | Jazz | 68% | 114 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Spurs | 92 | |||
1 | Clippers | 106 |
Monday, November 15, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 55% | 104 | 98 | |
24 | Cavaliers | 45% | 103 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Kings | 129 | |||
28 | Pistons | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 37% | 104 | 100 | |
17 | Wizards | 63% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Magic | 111 | |||
12 | Hawks | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pacers | 47% | 109 | 84 | |
18 | Knicks | 53% | 110 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 101 | |||
11 | Mavericks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Rockets | 25% | 106 | 102 | |
21 | Grizzlies | 75% | 115 | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 99 | |||
23 | Timberwolves | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Heat | 73% | 112 | 103 | |
30 | Thunder | 27% | 103 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Raptors | 113 | |||
16 | Trail Blazers | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bulls | 56% | 111 | 121 | |
19 | Lakers | 44% | 109 | 103 |
Sunday, November 14, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Spurs | 106 | |||
21 | Lakers | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 48% | 111 | 100 | |
15 | Hawks | 52% | 112 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Warriors | 102 | |||
23 | Hornets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 71% | 117 | 115 | |
27 | Rockets | 29% | 109 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 120 | |||
30 | Thunder | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 107 | 95 | |
6 | Nuggets | 65% | 112 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bulls | 100 | |||
1 | Clippers | 90 |
Saturday, November 13, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 111 | |
2 | Jazz | 73% | 114 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 76ers | 113 | |||
14 | Pacers | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Wizards | 71% | 111 | 104 | |
28 | Magic | 29% | 103 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Grizzlies | 101 | |||
20 | Pelicans | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 19% | 99 | 127 | |
12 | Raptors | 81% | 111 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Celtics | 89 | |||
24 | Cavaliers | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Timberwolves | 25% | 108 | 102 | |
1 | Clippers | 75% | 117 | 129 |
Friday, November 12, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Knicks | 96 | |||
24 | Hornets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 38% | 105 | 113 | |
10 | Celtics | 62% | 110 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 78 | |||
25 | Cavaliers | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 119 | 104 | |
27 | Rockets | 32% | 113 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 119 | |||
20 | Grizzlies | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 68% | 114 | 120 | |
22 | Pelicans | 32% | 107 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Kings | 103 | |||
30 | Thunder | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 56% | 115 | 123 | |
23 | Spurs | 44% | 112 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Hawks | 96 | |||
6 | Nuggets | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Bulls | 31% | 107 | 93 | |
7 | Warriors | 69% | 114 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Timberwolves | 107 | |||
19 | Lakers | 83 |
Thursday, November 11, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Raptors | 29% | 103 | 115 | |
3 | 76ers | 71% | 110 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 111 | |||
2 | Jazz | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Heat | 30% | 106 | 109 | |
1 | Clippers | 70% | 114 | 112 |
Wednesday, November 10, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Wizards | 97 | |||
25 | Cavaliers | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 75% | 114 | 123 | |
28 | Magic | 25% | 104 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Raptors | 88 | |||
10 | Celtics | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Bucks | 42% | 110 | 112 | |
14 | Knicks | 58% | 112 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 112 | |||
27 | Rockets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 41% | 109 | 107 | |
17 | Bulls | 59% | 112 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 118 | |||
19 | Grizzlies | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Thunder | 39% | 105 | 108 | |
21 | Pelicans | 61% | 110 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Kings | 117 | |||
26 | Spurs | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 51% | 107 | 98 | |
5 | Nuggets | 49% | 106 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 109 | |||
8 | Suns | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 110 | |
7 | Warriors | 72% | 117 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Heat | 117 | |||
20 | Lakers | 120 |
Tuesday, November 9, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Bucks | 46% | 108 | 118 | |
3 | 76ers | 54% | 109 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Hawks | 98 | |||
2 | Jazz | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 113 | 109 | |
1 | Clippers | 63% | 117 | 117 |
Monday, November 8, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Knicks | 33% | 106 | 103 | |
3 | 76ers | 67% | 112 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 95 | |||
18 | Bulls | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Timberwolves | 44% | 111 | 118 | |
19 | Grizzlies | 56% | 113 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 92 | |||
11 | Mavericks | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Heat | 48% | 107 | 96 | |
7 | Nuggets | 52% | 108 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Hawks | 113 | |||
8 | Warriors | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Suns | 56% | 117 | 109 | |
23 | Kings | 44% | 114 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Hornets | 123 | |||
20 | Lakers | 126 |
Sunday, November 7, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 56% | 111 | 116 | |
14 | Raptors | 44% | 109 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Cavaliers | 126 | |||
15 | Knicks | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jazz | 76% | 114 | 100 | |
28 | Magic | 24% | 104 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Bucks | 94 | |||
17 | Wizards | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 45% | 112 | 94 | |
21 | Kings | 55% | 114 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Spurs | 94 | |||
30 | Thunder | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Rockets | 15% | 104 | 107 | |
7 | Warriors | 85% | 119 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 106 | |||
2 | Clippers | 120 |
Saturday, November 6, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Rockets | 22% | 107 | 94 | |
5 | Nuggets | 78% | 118 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jazz | 115 | |||
9 | Heat | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 76ers | 53% | 109 | 114 | |
18 | Bulls | 47% | 108 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 104 | |||
12 | Mavericks | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Hawks | 42% | 112 | 117 | |
6 | Suns | 58% | 115 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Lakers | 90 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 105 |
Friday, November 5, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nets | 96 | |||
29 | Pistons | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 55% | 111 | 102 | |
28 | Magic | 45% | 110 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 87 | |||
18 | Wizards | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Cavaliers | 36% | 103 | 102 | |
14 | Raptors | 64% | 108 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Knicks | 113 | |||
7 | Bucks | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 58% | 114 | 104 | |
21 | Timberwolves | 42% | 111 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 85 | |||
9 | Warriors | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 36% | 112 | 106 | |
13 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 117 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 110 | |||
25 | Kings | 140 |
Thursday, November 4, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 76ers | 72% | 110 | 109 | |
29 | Pistons | 28% | 102 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jazz | 116 | |||
10 | Hawks | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Celtics | 33% | 106 | 95 | |
7 | Heat | 67% | 113 | 78 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Rockets | 111 | |||
6 | Suns | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Thunder | 31% | 106 | 107 | |
20 | Lakers | 69% | 113 | 104 |