Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, May 11, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, May 10, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | |||
 | 10 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | |||
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Friday, May 9, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| 11 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 5 | Nuggets | |||
Thursday, May 8, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
Wednesday, May 7, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | |||
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
Sunday, May 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 30% | 111 | 121 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 70% | 118 | 112 |
Updated: May 4, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 40% | 107 | 103 |
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Updated: May 5, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailSaturday, May 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C8102E;}%20.st2{fill:%231D428A;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M42.4,200.4c0-86.9,70.4-157.3,157.3-157.3S357,113.5,357,200.4s-70.4,157.3-157.3,157.3%20S42.4,287.3,42.4,200.4'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M199.8,56.1c-79.6,0-144.3,64.7-144.3,144.3s64.7,144.3,144.3,144.3S344.1,280,344.1,200.4%20C344.1,120.9,279.3,56.1,199.8,56.1%20M304.1,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.2,73.9h-54.4C278.2,167.2,287.6,141.7,304.1,120.3%20M95.5,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.3,73.9H68.2C69.6,167.1,78.9,141.7,95.5,120.3%20M95.5,280.6c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.2-73.9h54.4%20C121.4,233.7,112,259.2,95.5,280.6%20M206.1,332v-37.7h-12.7V332c-34.3-1.6-66-16.3-89.6-41.4c19.3-24.1,30.1-53,31.4-83.7v-12.7%20c-1.3-30.7-12.2-59.6-31.4-83.7c23.6-25.1,55.3-39.8,89.6-41.4v37.4h12.7V68.9c34.3,1.6,66,16.3,89.6,41.4%20c-19.3,24.1-30.1,53-31.4,83.7v12.7c1.3,30.7,12.2,59.6,31.4,83.7C272.1,315.6,240.3,330.3,206.1,332%20M304.1,280.6%20c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.3-73.9h54.4C329.9,233.7,320.6,259.2,304.1,280.6'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='167.6,140%20167.6,260.4%20232,260.4%20232,243.9%20184.8,243.9%20184.8,140%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M253.8,180.3v-49.6c0-7.5-3-10.5-10.3-10.5h-87.6c-7.2,0-10.2,3.1-10.2,10.5v139.4c0,7.5,3,10.5,10.2,10.5%20h87.6c7.3,0,10.3-3.1,10.3-10.5v-49.7h-17.4v44.9H163V135.5h73.5v44.8L253.8,180.3L253.8,180.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M232,239.2V140h-41.9l-0.4,99.2h16.7l0.3-30.9h8.5l-0.1,30.9H232z%20M215.1,191.7h-8.4v-35.2h8.4V191.7z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 3 | Clippers | 38% | 112 | 101 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 62% | 116 | 120 |
Updated: May 3, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFriday, May 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 41% | 106 | 115 |
| 10 | Warriors | 59% | 109 | 107 |
Updated: May 3, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailThursday, May 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 49% | 112 | 116 |
 | 12 | Pistons | 51% | 113 | 113 |
Updated: May 1, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 33% | 111 | 105 |
| 3 | Clippers | 67% | 116 | 111 |
Updated: May 2, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailWednesday, April 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 41% | 107 | 116 |
| 9 | Rockets | 59% | 110 | 131 |
Updated: Apr 30, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 39% | 108 | 103 |
 | 8 | Lakers | 61% | 111 | 96 |
Updated: May 1, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailTuesday, April 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 34% | 113 | 118 |
| 11 | Pacers | 66% | 118 | 119 |
Updated: Apr 29, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 33% | 110 | 106 |
| 9 | Knicks | 67% | 115 | 103 |
Updated: Apr 29, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 20% | 100 | 89 |
| 2 | Celtics | 80% | 111 | 120 |
Updated: Apr 30, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 45% | 114 | 115 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 55% | 115 | 131 |
Updated: Apr 30, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailMonday, April 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 58% | 110 | 138 |
 | 15 | Heat | 42% | 107 | 83 |
Updated: Apr 28, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 42% | 107 | 106 |
| 9 | Warriors | 58% | 110 | 109 |
Updated: Apr 29, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailSunday, April 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 46% | 112 | 94 |
| 12 | Pistons | 54% | 113 | 93 |
Updated: Apr 27, 2025 04:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 40% | 108 | 113 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 60% | 112 | 116 |
Updated: Apr 27, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 66% | 108 | 107 |
| 15 | Magic | 34% | 103 | 98 |
Updated: Apr 27, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 45% | 116 | 129 |
| 14 | Bucks | 55% | 117 | 103 |
Updated: Apr 28, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailSaturday, April 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 56% | 109 | 124 |
| 16 | Heat | 44% | 108 | 87 |
Updated: Apr 26, 2025 04:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 117 |
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Updated: Apr 26, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 38% | 112 | 101 |
| 3 | Clippers | 62% | 116 | 99 |
Updated: Apr 26, 2025 09:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 41% | 106 | 93 |
| 10 | Warriors | 59% | 109 | 104 |
Updated: Apr 27, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFriday, April 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 63% | 107 | 93 |
| 16 | Magic | 37% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 40% | 115 | 101 |
| 14 | Bucks | 60% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 36% | 107 | 104 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 64% | 111 | 116 |
Thursday, April 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 48% | 112 | 118 |
| 12 | Pistons | 52% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 64% | 115 | 114 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 36% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 38% | 112 | 83 |
| 3 | Clippers | 62% | 116 | 117 |
Wednesday, April 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 27% | 99 | 100 |
| 5 | Celtics | 73% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 28% | 106 | 112 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 72% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 46% | 108 | 94 |
| 10 | Rockets | 54% | 109 | 109 |
Tuesday, April 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 42% | 115 | 115 |
| 13 | Pacers | 58% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 22% | 108 | 99 |
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 85 |
| 10 | Lakers | 56% | 111 | 94 |
Monday, April 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 38% | 110 | 100 |
| 8 | Knicks | 62% | 114 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 43% | 113 | 105 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 102 |
Sunday, April 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 23% | 108 | 80 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 119 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 21% | 98 | 86 |
| 2 | Celtics | 79% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 23% | 104 | 100 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 77% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 47% | 109 | 95 |
| 11 | Rockets | 53% | 110 | 85 |
Saturday, April 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 32% | 113 | 98 |
| 11 | Pacers | 68% | 120 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 38% | 112 | 110 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 62% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 112 |
| 9 | Knicks | 68% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 41% | 109 | 117 |
| 6 | Lakers | 59% | 112 | 95 |
Friday, April 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 49% | 116 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Mavericks | 34% | 115 | 106 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 66% | 121 | 120 |
Wednesday, April 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 49% | 116 | 109 |
 | 20 | Bulls | 51% | 117 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 43% | 114 | 120 |
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Tuesday, April 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 40% | 112 | 95 |
| 13 | Magic | 60% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 38% | 116 | 116 |
| 4 | Warriors | 62% | 120 | 121 |