Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, April 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 49% | 116 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Mavericks | 34% | 115 | 106 |
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Wednesday, April 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 49% | 116 | 109 |
 | 20 | Bulls | 51% | 117 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 43% | 114 | 120 |
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Tuesday, April 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 40% | 112 | 95 |
 | 13 | Magic | 60% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 38% | 116 | 116 |
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Sunday, April 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 15% | 99 | 86 |
 | 5 | Celtics | 85% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 48% | 108 | 105 |
| 16 | Hawks | 52% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Knicks | 68% | 109 | 113 |
 | 25 | Nets | 32% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Heat | 72% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 59% | 118 | 122 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Pistons | 76% | 116 | 133 |
 | 28 | Bucks | 24% | 106 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Timberwolves | 87% | 124 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Thunder | 86% | 119 | 115 |
 | 30 | Pelicans | 14% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Raptors | 43% | 111 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Warriors | 53% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Lakers | 52% | 102 | 81 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Kings | 68% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 48% | 114 | 97 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 52% | 115 | 132 |
Friday, April 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 38% | 111 | 125 |
| 10 | Pistons | 62% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 48% | 107 | 129 |
| 20 | Pacers | 52% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 64% | 119 | 124 |
| 26 | 76ers | 36% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 6% | 97 | 94 |
| 1 | Celtics | 94% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 46% | 111 | 108 |
| 9 | Knicks | 54% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 28% | 113 | 89 |
| 18 | Bulls | 72% | 121 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 81% | 113 | 153 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 19% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 31% | 106 | 102 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 69% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 39% | 119 | 109 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 61% | 123 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 9% | 97 | 91 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 91% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 76% | 121 | 145 |
| 25 | Jazz | 24% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 42% | 115 | 98 |
| 17 | Suns | 58% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 75% | 112 | 103 |
| 23 | Blazers | 25% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 63% | 116 | 101 |
| 13 | Kings | 37% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 24% | 106 | 109 |
| 5 | Lakers | 76% | 116 | 140 |
Thursday, April 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 47% | 114 | 106 |
| 10 | Pistons | 53% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 43% | 115 | 112 |
| 8 | Pacers | 57% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 71% | 117 | 133 |
| 28 | Nets | 29% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pelicans | 16% | 103 | 111 |
| 15 | Bucks | 84% | 118 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 49% | 115 | 141 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 51% | 116 | 125 |
Wednesday, April 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 58% | 113 | 122 |
| 27 | Wizards | 42% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 49% | 105 | 76 |
| 13 | Magic | 51% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 53% | 113 | 112 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 47% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 19% | 101 | 96 |
| 22 | Raptors | 81% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 58% | 114 | 111 |
| 21 | Bulls | 42% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Blazers | 55% | 115 | 126 |
| 25 | Jazz | 45% | 113 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 51% | 118 | 124 |
| 15 | Kings | 49% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 117 | 125 |
| 20 | Suns | 28% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | 20% | 109 | 114 |
| 3 | Warriors | 80% | 121 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 28% | 103 | 117 |
| 2 | Clippers | 72% | 112 | 134 |
Tuesday, April 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 17% | 109 | 98 |
| 10 | Pacers | 83% | 123 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 79% | 120 | 124 |
| 27 | Hornets | 21% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 16% | 107 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 84% | 122 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 42% | 110 | 112 |
| 13 | Magic | 58% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pelicans | 41% | 103 | 114 |
| 29 | Nets | 59% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 54% | 113 | 119 |
| 7 | Knicks | 46% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 59% | 113 | 103 |
| 16 | Bucks | 41% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 27% | 108 | 120 |
| 1 | Thunder | 73% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 66% | 117 | 133 |
| 20 | Suns | 34% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 25% | 107 | 117 |
| 9 | Clippers | 75% | 117 | 122 |
Monday, April 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 36% | 112 | 127 |
| 12 | Pistons | 64% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 25% | 102 | 105 |
| 18 | Heat | 75% | 112 | 117 |
Sunday, April 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 64% | 116 | 131 |
| 25 | Hornets | 36% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 57% | 106 | 120 |
| 28 | Nets | 43% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 25% | 107 | 126 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 117 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 49% | 111 | 109 |
| 22 | Blazers | 51% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 29% | 117 | 134 |
| 16 | Hawks | 71% | 125 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 10% | 102 | 90 |
| 3 | Celtics | 90% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 23% | 113 | 120 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 77% | 124 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 33% | 110 | 98 |
| 10 | Knicks | 67% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 45% | 117 | 125 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 55% | 119 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 68% | 111 | 111 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 32% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 43% | 110 | 106 |
| 4 | Warriors | 57% | 113 | 96 |
Saturday, April 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 51% | 117 | 121 |
| 15 | Hawks | 49% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 83% | 119 | 114 |
| 28 | 76ers | 17% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 59% | 118 | 109 |
| 13 | Pistons | 41% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 49% | 105 | 121 |
| 18 | Heat | 51% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 27% | 106 | 104 |
| 6 | Clippers | 73% | 115 | 135 |