Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, May 20, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Timberwolves | |||
Monday, May 19, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Knicks | |||
 | 3 | Celtics | |||
Sunday, May 18, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| 9 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 4 | Cavaliers | |||
Friday, May 16, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | |||
| 10 | Knicks | |||
Thursday, May 15, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| 12 | Pacers | |||
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | |||
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | |||
| 2 | Celtics | |||
Tuesday, May 13, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | |||
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
Monday, May 12, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| 8 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| 13 | Warriors | |||
Sunday, May 11, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| 10 | Pacers | |||
Friday, May 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 54% | 117 | 126 |
| 10 | Pacers | 46% | 116 | 104 |
Updated: May 9, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 54% | 116 | 104 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 46% | 115 | 113 |
Updated: May 10, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailThursday, May 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 34% | 104 | 93 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 66% | 109 | 117 |
Updated: May 9, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailWednesday, May 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 24% | 111 | 106 |
| 1 | Thunder | 76% | 120 | 149 |
Updated: May 8, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailTuesday, May 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 24% | 111 | 120 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 76% | 120 | 119 |
Updated: May 6, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 38% | 108 | 99 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 62% | 112 | 88 |
Updated: May 7, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailMonday, May 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 25% | 107 | 108 |
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 115 | 105 |
Updated: May 5, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 24% | 111 | 121 |
| 1 | Thunder | 76% | 120 | 119 |
Updated: May 6, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailSunday, May 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 30% | 111 | 121 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 70% | 118 | 112 |
Updated: May 4, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 40% | 107 | 103 |
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Updated: May 5, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailSaturday, May 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Nuggets | 62% | 116 | 120 |
Updated: May 3, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFriday, May 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 41% | 106 | 115 |
| 10 | Warriors | 59% | 109 | 107 |
Updated: May 3, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailThursday, May 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 49% | 112 | 116 |
 | 12 | Pistons | 51% | 113 | 113 |
Updated: May 1, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 33% | 111 | 105 |
| 3 | Clippers | 67% | 116 | 111 |
Updated: May 2, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailWednesday, April 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 41% | 107 | 116 |
| 9 | Rockets | 59% | 110 | 131 |
Updated: Apr 30, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 39% | 108 | 103 |
 | 8 | Lakers | 61% | 111 | 96 |
Updated: May 1, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailTuesday, April 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 34% | 113 | 118 |
| 11 | Pacers | 66% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 33% | 110 | 106 |
| 9 | Knicks | 67% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 20% | 100 | 89 |
| 2 | Celtics | 80% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 45% | 114 | 115 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 55% | 115 | 131 |
Monday, April 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 58% | 110 | 138 |
 | 15 | Heat | 42% | 107 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 42% | 107 | 106 |
| 9 | Warriors | 58% | 110 | 109 |
Sunday, April 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 46% | 112 | 94 |
| 12 | Pistons | 54% | 113 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 40% | 108 | 113 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 60% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 66% | 108 | 107 |
| 15 | Magic | 34% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 45% | 116 | 129 |
| 14 | Bucks | 55% | 117 | 103 |
Saturday, April 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 56% | 109 | 124 |
| 16 | Heat | 44% | 108 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 38% | 112 | 101 |
| 3 | Clippers | 62% | 116 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 41% | 106 | 93 |
| 10 | Warriors | 59% | 109 | 104 |
Friday, April 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 63% | 107 | 93 |
| 16 | Magic | 37% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 40% | 115 | 101 |
| 14 | Bucks | 60% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 36% | 107 | 104 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 64% | 111 | 116 |
Thursday, April 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 48% | 112 | 118 |
| 12 | Pistons | 52% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 64% | 115 | 114 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 36% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 38% | 112 | 83 |
| 3 | Clippers | 62% | 116 | 117 |
Wednesday, April 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 27% | 99 | 100 |
| 5 | Celtics | 73% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 28% | 106 | 112 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 72% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 46% | 108 | 94 |
| 10 | Rockets | 54% | 109 | 109 |