Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, May 30, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | ||||
8 | Timberwolves |
Thursday, May 29, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | ||||
9 | Knicks |
Wednesday, May 28, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Tuesday, May 27, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Knicks | ||||
9 | Pacers |
Monday, May 26, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | ||||
8 | Timberwolves |
Sunday, May 25, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Knicks | ||||
10 | Pacers |
Saturday, May 24, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | ||||
8 | Timberwolves |
Thursday, May 22, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | 22% | 104 | 103 | |
1 | Thunder | 78% | 114 | 118 |
Updated: May 23, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailWednesday, May 21, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 35% | 111 | 138 | |
8 | Knicks | 65% | 116 | 135 |
Updated: May 21, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailTuesday, May 20, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 22% | 104 | 88 | |
1 | Thunder | 78% | 113 | 114 |
Updated: May 21, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailSunday, May 18, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 23% | 109 | 93 | |
1 | Thunder | 77% | 119 | 125 |
Updated: May 18, 2025 07:12 PM
game detailFriday, May 16, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Celtics | 48% | 109 | 81 | |
9 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 119 |
Updated: May 16, 2025 11:46 PM
game detailThursday, May 15, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 49% | 115 | 107 | |
4 | Nuggets | 51% | 116 | 119 |
Updated: May 16, 2025 12:22 AM
game detailWednesday, May 14, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Knicks | 28% | 105 | 102 | |
3 | Celtics | 72% | 112 | 127 |
Updated: May 14, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Warriors | 34% | 104 | 110 | |
8 | Timberwolves | 66% | 109 | 121 |
Updated: May 15, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailTuesday, May 13, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pacers | 24% | 111 | 114 | |
5 | Cavaliers | 76% | 120 | 105 |
Updated: May 13, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 27% | 111 | 105 | |
1 | Thunder | 73% | 119 | 112 |
Updated: May 14, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailMonday, May 12, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 54% | 110 | 113 | |
9 | Knicks | 46% | 109 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 45% | 105 | 117 | |
10 | Warriors | 55% | 107 | 110 |
Sunday, May 11, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 56% | 117 | 92 | |
5 | Nuggets | 44% | 115 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 51% | 117 | 109 | |
12 | Pacers | 49% | 116 | 129 |
Saturday, May 10, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 57% | 111 | 115 | |
9 | Knicks | 43% | 109 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 44% | 105 | 102 | |
10 | Warriors | 56% | 107 | 97 |
Friday, May 9, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 54% | 117 | 126 | |
10 | Pacers | 46% | 116 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 54% | 116 | 104 | |
8 | Nuggets | 46% | 115 | 113 |
Thursday, May 8, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Warriors | 34% | 104 | 93 | |
7 | Timberwolves | 66% | 109 | 117 |
Wednesday, May 7, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Knicks | 23% | 105 | 91 | |
2 | Celtics | 77% | 115 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 24% | 111 | 106 | |
1 | Thunder | 76% | 120 | 149 |
Tuesday, May 6, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 24% | 111 | 120 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 76% | 120 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 38% | 108 | 99 | |
7 | Timberwolves | 62% | 112 | 88 |
Monday, May 5, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Knicks | 25% | 107 | 108 | |
2 | Celtics | 75% | 115 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 24% | 111 | 121 | |
1 | Thunder | 76% | 120 | 119 |
Sunday, May 4, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 30% | 111 | 121 | |
5 | Cavaliers | 70% | 118 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Warriors | 40% | 107 | 103 | |
7 | Rockets | 60% | 111 | 89 |
Saturday, May 3, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 38% | 112 | 101 | |
4 | Nuggets | 62% | 116 | 120 |