Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, May 22, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | |||
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Wednesday, May 20, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
Friday, May 15, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Pistons | 51% | 114 | 115 |
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Updated: May 15, 2026 09:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 61% | 113 | 139 |
 | 19 | Timberwolves | 39% | 110 | 109 |
Updated: May 15, 2026 11:02 PM
game detailWednesday, May 13, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 29% | 107 | 117 |
| 5 | Pistons | 71% | 114 | 113 |
Updated: May 13, 2026 11:31 PM
game detailTuesday, May 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 17% | 103 | 97 |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 116 | 126 |
Updated: May 12, 2026 09:57 AM
game detailMonday, May 11, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 55% | 115 | 103 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 45% | 113 | 112 |
Updated: May 11, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 114 | 115 |
 | 20 | Lakers | 22% | 104 | 110 |
Updated: May 11, 2026 11:32 PM
game detailSunday, May 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Knicks | 41% | 108 | 144 |
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Updated: May 10, 2026 06:32 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 113 | 109 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 36% | 109 | 114 |
Updated: May 10, 2026 11:01 PM
game detailSaturday, May 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 47% | 112 | 109 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 53% | 113 | 116 |
Updated: May 9, 2026 06:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 112 | 131 |
| 20 | Lakers | 25% | 103 | 108 |
Updated: May 10, 2026 12:01 AM
game detailFriday, May 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 62% | 113 | 115 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 38% | 109 | 108 |
Updated: May 9, 2026 12:02 AM
game detailThursday, May 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 30% | 109 | 97 |
| 3 | Pistons | 70% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 11% | 97 | 107 |
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 113 | 125 |
Wednesday, May 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 23% | 103 | 102 |
| 7 | Knicks | 77% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 13% | 102 | 95 |
| 2 | Spurs | 87% | 116 | 133 |
Tuesday, May 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 29% | 108 | 101 |
| 3 | Pistons | 71% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 8% | 95 | 90 |
| 1 | Thunder | 92% | 113 | 108 |
Monday, May 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 35% | 108 | 98 |
| 6 | Knicks | 65% | 113 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 17% | 103 | 104 |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 115 | 102 |
Sunday, May 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Magic | 24% | 102 | 94 |
| 3 | Pistons | 76% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Raptors | 28% | 106 | 102 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 72% | 114 | 114 |
Saturday, May 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 27% | 104 | 109 |
 | 4 | Celtics | 73% | 112 | 100 |
Friday, May 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 53% | 107 | 93 |
| 18 | Magic | 47% | 106 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 43% | 110 | 110 |
| 11 | Raptors | 57% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 34% | 104 | 98 |
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Thursday, April 30, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 52% | 112 | 140 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 63% | 114 | 93 |
| 8 | 76ers | 37% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 110 |
Wednesday, April 29, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 20% | 100 | 109 |
| 4 | Pistons | 80% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 25% | 106 | 120 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 75% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 48% | 106 | 99 |
| 20 | Lakers | 52% | 107 | 93 |
Tuesday, April 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 22% | 105 | 113 |
| 2 | Celtics | 78% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 32% | 108 | 97 |
| 5 | Knicks | 68% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Spurs | 82% | 117 | 114 |
Monday, April 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 57% | 110 | 88 |
| 8 | Magic | 43% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 112 | 131 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 113 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 72% | 115 | 125 |
Sunday, April 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 58% | 115 | 89 |
| 18 | Raptors | 42% | 112 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 56% | 113 | 114 |
| 14 | Blazers | 44% | 111 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 56% | 111 | 128 |
| 10 | 76ers | 44% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 23% | 99 | 96 |
| 16 | Rockets | 77% | 109 | 115 |
Saturday, April 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 48% | 107 | 105 |
| 11 | Magic | 52% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 73% | 110 | 121 |
| 19 | Suns | 27% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 53% | 112 | 114 |
| 9 | Hawks | 47% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 48% | 114 | 96 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 52% | 115 | 112 |
Friday, April 24, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 116 | 108 |
| 19 | 76ers | 23% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 23% | 99 | 112 |
| 16 | Rockets | 77% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 55% | 114 | 120 |
| 14 | Blazers | 45% | 112 | 108 |
Thursday, April 23, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 53% | 112 | 108 |
| 9 | Hawks | 47% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 113 | 104 |
| 17 | Raptors | 48% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 115 | 96 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 51% | 116 | 113 |
Wednesday, April 22, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 24% | 102 | 83 |
| 3 | Pistons | 76% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 9% | 97 | 107 |
| 1 | Thunder | 91% | 114 | 120 |
Tuesday, April 21, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 13% | 100 | 111 |
| 2 | Celtics | 87% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 20% | 107 | 106 |
| 3 | Spurs | 80% | 118 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 73% | 113 | 94 |
| 20 | Lakers | 27% | 105 | 101 |
Monday, April 20, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 28% | 108 | 105 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 72% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 34% | 108 | 107 |
| 6 | Knicks | 66% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 36% | 113 | 119 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 64% | 117 | 114 |
Sunday, April 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 16% | 102 | 91 |
| 2 | Celtics | 84% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 16% | 100 | 84 |
| 1 | Thunder | 84% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 26% | 103 | 112 |
| 4 | Pistons | 74% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 17% | 106 | 98 |
| 3 | Spurs | 83% | 118 | 111 |
Saturday, April 18, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 27% | 108 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 73% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 33% | 112 | 105 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 67% | 118 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 30% | 108 | 102 |
| 6 | Knicks | 70% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 59% | 106 | 98 |
| 20 | Lakers | 41% | 103 | 107 |
Friday, April 17, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 90 |
| 11 | Magic | 49% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Suns | 56% | 115 | 111 |
Wednesday, April 15, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 59% | 115 | 97 |
| 19 | 76ers | 41% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 41% | 112 | 126 |
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Tuesday, April 14, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 39% | 117 | 126 |
| 8 | Hornets | 61% | 121 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 45% | 112 | 114 |
| 18 | Suns | 55% | 113 | 110 |
Sunday, April 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Cavaliers | 79% | 120 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 57% | 110 | 108 |
| 11 | Celtics | 43% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 84% | 117 | 133 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 18% | 110 | 117 |
| 7 | Heat | 82% | 122 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hornets | 71% | 113 | 110 |
| 13 | Knicks | 29% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bucks | 19% | 107 | 106 |
| 9 | 76ers | 81% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Nets | 7% | 99 | 101 |
| 3 | Raptors | 93% | 117 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 40% | 113 | 128 |
 | 17 | Mavericks | 60% | 116 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | Rockets | 84% | 112 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Pelicans | 31% | 108 | 126 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 69% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 35% | 102 | 135 |
| 18 | Thunder | 65% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 23% | 110 | 128 |
| 4 | Spurs | 77% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Lakers | 69% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 49% | 112 | 110 |
| 10 | Clippers | 51% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Blazers | 84% | 119 | 122 |