Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, May 17, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Celtics | 53% | 110 | 104 |
Tuesday, May 16, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, May 15, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Celtics | 64% | 110 | 115 |
Sunday, May 14, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 21% | 98 | 111 |
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 110 | 113 |
Friday, May 12, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 43% | 106 | 91 |
| 10 | Wizards | 57% | 108 | 92 |
Thursday, May 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 31% | 102 | 114 |
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Wednesday, May 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wizards | 39% | 105 | 101 |
| 5 | Celtics | 61% | 109 | 123 |
Tuesday, May 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 37% | 104 | 107 |
| 3 | Spurs | 63% | 109 | 110 |
Monday, May 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 106 | 121 |
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Sunday, May 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 58% | 107 | 109 |
 | 20 | Raptors | 42% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 43% | 106 | 102 |
| 8 | Wizards | 57% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 44% | 106 | 104 |
| 4 | Rockets | 56% | 108 | 125 |
Saturday, May 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 68% | 106 | 102 |
| 6 | Jazz | 32% | 100 | 91 |
Friday, May 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 49% | 107 | 115 |
| 8 | Raptors | 51% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 43% | 106 | 103 |
| 4 | Rockets | 57% | 108 | 92 |
Thursday, May 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 46% | 107 | 89 |
| 9 | Wizards | 54% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 18% | 96 | 104 |
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 108 | 115 |
Wednesday, May 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 30% | 104 | 103 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 70% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 37% | 104 | 96 |
| 3 | Spurs | 63% | 109 | 121 |
Tuesday, May 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 34% | 106 | 119 |
| 7 | Celtics | 66% | 111 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 25% | 98 | 94 |
| 1 | Warriors | 75% | 107 | 106 |
Monday, May 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 29% | 104 | 105 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 71% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 36% | 105 | 126 |
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 110 | 99 |
Sunday, April 30, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 36% | 105 | 111 |
| 7 | Celtics | 64% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 41% | 98 | 104 |
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Friday, April 28, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 46% | 104 | 115 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2_1_'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23E03A3E;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_2_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M312.9,93.7c-28.8-30.8-70.7-48.4-115-48.4c-3.8,0-7.6,0.1-11.3,0.5c-71.5,4.8-106,55.7-109.6,61.3%20c-5.4,6.7-50.7,68-20.3,152.6l0.6,1.8C57.6,262.4,87.2,353,193,353l0,0c5.6,0,11.5-0.3,17.4-0.8c79.1-6.9,137.8-65.3,142.8-141.9%20C356.3,166.2,342,124.8,312.9,93.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M305.4,100.6c-29.7-31.7-73.5-48-118.3-44.9C116,60.5,84.4,113.4,84.4,113.4s56.4,17.1,64.1,19.5%20c5.4,1.6,40.4,10.4,56.3,19c3.3,1.8,6.5,5.5,9.7,8.8c2.4,2.5,4.6,4.9,6.9,6.8c4.2,3.4,8.2,6.3,12.2,9.2%20c9.7,7.1,18.2,13.1,22.2,22.4c3.4,8,3.5,16.4,0.5,24.1c-2.7,6.7-8,12.8-14.4,17c0.7-3.4,1.5-8.3-3.1-11.3%20c-2.1-1.3-12.6-3.8-19.7-4.6c-3.4-0.3-41.5-2.1-94.3,26.4c15.8-21.2,27.2-24.7,27.2-24.7c-0.5-2.5-85.5,31.9-85.5,31.9%20s29.4,94.1,142.8,84.1c73.9-6.5,128.9-60.6,133.7-132.7C345.8,168.2,332.4,129.5,305.4,100.6%20M281.8,233.8%20c10.7-23.6,5.4-49.2-12.8-69.5c-5-5.6-11.3-9.5-17.3-13.1c-3.9-2.4-8-4.9-11.6-7.9c-1.7-1.4-3.1-3.3-4.6-5.2%20c-1.8-2.5-3.9-5.4-6.9-7.4c-16.7-12.2-36.5-16.5-55.9-22.2c-9.2-2.7-18.1-4.7-26.5-7.7c10.5-7.2,23.8-12,38.4-13.3%20c4.6-0.5,9.1-0.7,13.7-0.7c43.1,0,80.5,21.6,100.5,58c19.9,36.3,18.7,80.4-3.4,115.2c-22.7,35.7-62.9,54.6-108.4,50.8%20c-27.2-2.2-56.3-16.6-65.2-32c5.5-3.4,55.2-29.7,89.3-19.1c9.7,0-5.8,23.7-5.8,23.7S261.6,278.4,281.8,233.8'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M197.7,162.3c-18.2,0.7-35.1-21.3-49.1-6.8c2.7,0.7,8.3-1.4,9.1,1.1C150.5,185,197.3,192.4,197.7,162.3'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 19 | Hawks | 54% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 49% | 104 | 105 |
 | 15 | Bulls | 51% | 105 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 41% | 98 | 98 |
| 6 | Jazz | 59% | 101 | 93 |
Thursday, April 27, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 46% | 101 | 92 |
 | 13 | Bucks | 54% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 58% | 101 | 103 |
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Wednesday, April 26, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 36% | 102 | 99 |
| 9 | Wizards | 64% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 33% | 101 | 97 |
| 7 | Celtics | 67% | 107 | 108 |
Tuesday, April 25, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Thunder | 27% | 106 | 99 |
| 4 | Rockets | 73% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 24% | 93 | 103 |
| 3 | Spurs | 76% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 35% | 97 | 96 |
| 5 | Clippers | 65% | 103 | 92 |
Monday, April 24, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 34% | 99 | 93 |
| 7 | Raptors | 66% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 44% | 103 | 101 |
| 18 | Hawks | 56% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 111 | 128 |
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Sunday, April 23, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 53% | 108 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 53% | 111 | 113 |
| 9 | Thunder | 47% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 46% | 102 | 104 |
| 10 | Bulls | 54% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 47% | 99 | 98 |
| 8 | Jazz | 53% | 100 | 105 |
Saturday, April 22, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 45% | 101 | 87 |
| 12 | Bucks | 55% | 103 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 47% | 104 | 98 |
| 19 | Hawks | 53% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 57% | 99 | 108 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 43% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 110 | 119 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 103 | 113 |
Friday, April 21, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 43% | 102 | 104 |
| 8 | Bulls | 57% | 105 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 54% | 110 | 113 |
| 13 | Thunder | 46% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 55% | 102 | 111 |
| 12 | Jazz | 45% | 100 | 106 |
Thursday, April 20, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 53% | 107 | 119 |
| 14 | Pacers | 47% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 45% | 102 | 77 |
| 10 | Bucks | 55% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 99 | 94 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 39% | 95 | 105 |