Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, October 23, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Pistons | 48% | 112 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Pelicans | 65% | 123 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, October 22, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Magic | 19% | 106 | 93 |
 | 4 | Celtics | 81% | 119 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Hornets | 24% | 112 | 106 |
 | 2 | Raptors | 76% | 122 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 26% | 111 | 113 |
 | 8 | Bucks | 74% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Timberwolves | 54% | 118 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bulls | 37% | 116 | 109 |
 | 22 | Mavericks | 63% | 121 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Lakers | 61% | 123 | 142 |
Sunday, October 21, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 22% | 112 | 131 |
 | 13 | Thunder | 78% | 123 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 66% | 122 | 98 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 34% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Clippers | 40% | 119 | 115 |
Saturday, October 20, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Nets | 28% | 107 | 112 |
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 46% | 114 | 117 |
| 14 | Wizards | 54% | 116 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 73% | 117 | 103 |
| 25 | Knicks | 27% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 15% | 105 | 115 |
| 5 | 76ers | 85% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 34% | 112 | 113 |
 | 15 | Heat | 66% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 64% | 118 | 118 |
| 28 | Bulls | 36% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 46% | 114 | 136 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 54% | 115 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 22% | 109 | 91 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 78% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 47% | 118 | 108 |
| 16 | Blazers | 53% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 58% | 125 | 124 |
| 9 | Lakers | 42% | 122 | 115 |
Friday, October 19, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 48% | 115 | 120 |
| 22 | Magic | 52% | 116 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 42% | 115 | 105 |
| 24 | Nets | 58% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 42% | 112 | 101 |
| 3 | Raptors | 58% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 29% | 108 | 117 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 71% | 116 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 25% | 111 | 123 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 75% | 120 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 19% | 109 | 129 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 81% | 121 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 42% | 109 | 101 |
| 9 | Bucks | 58% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 56% | 114 | 124 |
| 6 | Jazz | 44% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 48% | 114 | 92 |
| 18 | Clippers | 52% | 115 | 108 |
Thursday, October 18, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 17% | 101 | 108 |
| 6 | 76ers | 83% | 115 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 36% | 106 | 113 |
| 14 | Wizards | 64% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | 49% | 111 | 119 |
| 15 | Blazers | 51% | 112 | 128 |
Wednesday, October 17, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 61% | 114 | 113 |
| 21 | Hornets | 39% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 33% | 104 | 100 |
| 17 | Pistons | 67% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 33% | 104 | 83 |
| 10 | Pacers | 67% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 58% | 107 | 101 |
| 23 | Magic | 42% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 41% | 105 | 107 |
| 24 | Knicks | 59% | 108 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 15% | 104 | 104 |
| 3 | Raptors | 85% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 25% | 106 | 131 |
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 52% | 114 | 108 |
| 16 | Spurs | 48% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 79% | 109 | 123 |
| 29 | Kings | 21% | 97 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 57% | 115 | 107 |
| 19 | Clippers | 43% | 113 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 57% | 110 | 100 |
| 28 | Suns | 43% | 108 | 121 |
Tuesday, October 16, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 38% | 104 | 87 |
| 4 | Celtics | 62% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 17% | 103 | 100 |
| 1 | Warriors | 83% | 117 | 108 |
Friday, October 12, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 100 | |
| Magic | - | - | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 111 | |||
| Wizards | - | - | 140 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 123 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 129 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 113 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 113 | |
| Heat | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 98 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 121 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 121 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 143 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 115 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 119 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 105 | |
Thursday, October 11, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 134 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 132 | |
| Kings | - | - | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 76 | |||
| Clippers | - | - | 124 | |
Wednesday, October 10, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 102 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 86 | |
| Magic | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 111 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 127 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 130 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 128 | |
| Heat | - | - | 140 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 89 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 83 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 113 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 123 | |
Tuesday, October 9, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 86 | |||
| Rockets | - | - | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 115 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 103 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 109 | |
Monday, October 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 115 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 104 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 111 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 110 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 89 | |
| Heat | - | - | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 110 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 100 | |||
| Kings | - | - | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 117 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 109 | |
Sunday, October 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 94 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 108 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 125 | |
| Timberwolves | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 123 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 112 | |
Saturday, October 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 102 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 104 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 103 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 87 | |
Friday, October 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 120 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 82 | |||
| Magic | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 82 | |||
| Raptors | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 114 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 100 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 110 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 113 | |
| Timberwolves | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 93 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 88 | |||
| Nuggets | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 99 | |||
| Jazz | - | - | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 115 | |
| Suns | - | - | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 94 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 122 | |
Thursday, October 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 110 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 123 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 128 | |
Wednesday, October 3, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 107 | |
| Nets | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 82 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 97 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 86 | |||
| Suns | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 101 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 128 | |
Tuesday, October 2, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 113 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 102 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 115 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 90 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 113 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 111 | |
Monday, October 1, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 114 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 124 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 102 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 106 | |
| Suns | - | - | 102 | |
Sunday, September 30, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 100 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 112 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 116 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 124 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 91 | |||
| Clippers | - | - | 110 | |
Saturday, September 29, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 104 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 63 | |||
| Mavericks | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 114 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 72 | |||
| Jazz | - | - | 130 | |
Friday, September 28, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 84 | |||
| 76ers | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 97 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 104 | |