Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 36% | 106 | 83 | |
23 | Pacers | 64% | 111 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 122 | |||
25 | Nets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 53% | 108 | 110 | |
14 | Bucks | 47% | 107 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 93 | |||
28 | Lakers | 113 |
Monday, October 30, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 94 | |||
12 | Celtics | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Timberwolves | 51% | 113 | 125 | |
18 | Heat | 49% | 112 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Nuggets | 110 | |||
23 | Knicks | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | 76ers | 33% | 105 | 115 | |
2 | Rockets | 67% | 111 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hornets | 104 | |||
11 | Grizzlies | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 29% | 111 | 115 | |
9 | Pelicans | 71% | 118 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Mavericks | 89 | |||
13 | Jazz | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 44% | 111 | 99 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 113 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 141 | |||
4 | Clippers | 113 |
Sunday, October 29, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bucks | 62% | 108 | 117 | |
27 | Hawks | 38% | 103 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 94 | |||
23 | Pacers | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Nuggets | 61% | 116 | 124 | |
24 | Nets | 39% | 112 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 113 | |||
16 | Hornets | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Wizards | 71% | 113 | 110 | |
30 | Kings | 29% | 105 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 114 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pistons | 10% | 105 | 115 | |
1 | Warriors | 90% | 123 | 107 |
Saturday, October 28, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 55% | 114 | 101 | |
10 | Pelicans | 45% | 112 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Celtics | 96 | |||
17 | Heat | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 63% | 108 | 101 | |
24 | Bulls | 37% | 103 | 69 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 89 | |||
16 | Grizzlies | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | 76ers | 52% | 110 | 112 | |
19 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 81 | |||
12 | Jazz | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Suns | 20% | 107 | 107 | |
11 | Trail Blazers | 80% | 119 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pistons | 95 | |||
5 | Clippers | 87 |
Friday, October 27, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 109 | |||
14 | Hornets | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 63% | 111 | 87 | |
22 | Magic | 37% | 106 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Nuggets | 105 | |||
28 | Hawks | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nets | 49% | 115 | 86 | |
26 | Knicks | 51% | 116 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 116 | |||
9 | Timberwolves | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Wizards | 14% | 110 | 117 | |
1 | Warriors | 86% | 125 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 101 | |||
27 | Lakers | 92 |
Thursday, October 26, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hawks | 43% | 103 | 86 | |
25 | Bulls | 57% | 105 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Mavericks | 91 | |||
14 | Grizzlies | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Celtics | 41% | 104 | 96 | |
11 | Bucks | 59% | 107 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 104 | |||
15 | Trail Blazers | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pelicans | 64% | 110 | 114 | |
29 | Kings | 36% | 105 | 106 |
Wednesday, October 25, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nuggets | 49% | 110 | 93 | |
14 | Hornets | 51% | 111 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | 101 | |||
23 | Pistons | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 105 | |
19 | 76ers | 47% | 111 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 107 | |||
24 | Nets | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 56% | 106 | 117 | |
15 | Heat | 44% | 104 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pacers | 96 | |||
6 | Thunder | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 59% | 108 | 94 | |
20 | Mavericks | 41% | 105 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Jazz | 88 | |||
29 | Suns | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 17% | 109 | 112 | |
1 | Warriors | 83% | 122 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Wizards | 99 | |||
27 | Lakers | 102 |
Tuesday, October 24, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 18% | 100 | 112 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 82% | 113 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 121 | |||
22 | Magic | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 33% | 107 | 89 | |
18 | Celtics | 67% | 113 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pacers | 130 | |||
7 | Timberwolves | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pelicans | 45% | 110 | 93 | |
17 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 112 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Jazz | 84 | |||
6 | Clippers | 102 |
Monday, October 23, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | 76ers | 45% | 110 | 97 | |
20 | Pistons | 55% | 112 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hawks | 93 | |||
15 | Heat | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Grizzlies | 35% | 106 | 98 | |
2 | Rockets | 65% | 111 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hornets | 94 | |||
12 | Bucks | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 82% | 119 | 133 | |
19 | Mavericks | 18% | 106 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Raptors | 97 | |||
3 | Spurs | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Wizards | 47% | 113 | 109 | |
13 | Nuggets | 53% | 115 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Kings | 115 | |||
30 | Suns | 117 |
Sunday, October 22, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hawks | 104 | |||
25 | Nets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 40% | 108 | 115 | |
5 | Thunder | 60% | 112 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pelicans | 119 | |||
26 | Lakers | 112 |
Saturday, October 21, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | 76ers | 27% | 108 | 94 | |
9 | Raptors | 73% | 117 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 114 | |||
2 | Cavaliers | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pacers | 28% | 111 | 108 | |
17 | Heat | 72% | 119 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pistons | 111 | |||
22 | Knicks | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Spurs | 72% | 107 | 87 | |
27 | Bulls | 28% | 99 | 77 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Mavericks | 91 | |||
3 | Rockets | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 69% | 116 | 101 | |
14 | Grizzlies | 31% | 109 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 110 | |||
13 | Bucks | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Kings | 23% | 104 | 79 | |
12 | Nuggets | 77% | 114 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 87 | |||
11 | Jazz | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Suns | 15% | 114 | 88 | |
6 | Clippers | 85% | 129 | 130 |
Friday, October 20, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hawks | 33% | 105 | 91 | |
16 | Hornets | 67% | 111 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Trail Blazers | 114 | |||
23 | Pacers | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Celtics | 44% | 110 | 102 | |
20 | 76ers | 56% | 112 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pistons | 111 | |||
7 | Wizards | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 116 | |
13 | Bucks | 42% | 111 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 121 | |||
24 | Nets | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Jazz | 40% | 104 | 97 | |
8 | Timberwolves | 60% | 108 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 93 | |||
19 | Mavericks | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 68% | 113 | 128 | |
10 | Pelicans | 32% | 107 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 132 | |||
28 | Suns | 130 |
Thursday, October 19, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bulls | 100 | |||
11 | Raptors | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Knicks | 20% | 104 | 84 | |
5 | Thunder | 80% | 116 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Clippers | 108 | |||
28 | Lakers | 92 |
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Hornets | 54% | 106 | 90 | |
22 | Pistons | 46% | 105 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 131 | |||
23 | Pacers | 140 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 58% | 108 | 109 | |
24 | Magic | 42% | 105 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | 76ers | 115 | |||
8 | Wizards | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bucks | 49% | 107 | 108 | |
14 | Celtics | 51% | 108 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pelicans | 91 | |||
18 | Grizzlies | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Hawks | 38% | 102 | 117 | |
19 | Mavericks | 62% | 106 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Nuggets | 96 | |||
11 | Jazz | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 49% | 108 | 99 | |
4 | Spurs | 51% | 109 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Trail Blazers | 124 | |||
26 | Suns | 76 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 73% | 114 | 105 | |
27 | Kings | 27% | 105 | 100 |
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Celtics | 28% | 106 | 99 | |
2 | Cavaliers | 72% | 114 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | 122 | |||
1 | Warriors | 121 |